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Variable-length Markov chains (VLMCs) are a flexible class of higher-order Markov models that admit a natural representation as context trees. Existing Bayesian methods for specifying prior distributions on tree structures rely on branching…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Thiago Paulichen , Victor Freguglia

This paper considers large families of Markov chains (MCs) that are defined over a set of parameters with finite discrete domains. Such families occur in software product lines, planning under partial observability, and sketching of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Milan Ceska , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

We introduce an algorithm for generating a random sequence of fragmentation trees, which we call the ancestral branching algorithm. This algorithm builds on the recursive partitioning structure of a tree and gives rise to an associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-02 Harry Crane

This article examines a recent body of work on stochastic processes indexed by a tree. Emphasis is on the application of this new framework to existing probability models. Proofs are largely omitted, with references provided.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Robin Pemantle

Coalescent models of bifurcating genealogies are used to infer evolutionary parameters from molecular data. However, there are many situations where bifurcating genealogies do not accurately reflect the true underlying ancestral history of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-13 Julie Zhang , Noah A. Rosenberg , Julia A. Palacios

The main purpose of this article is to establish moderate deviation principles for additive functionals of bifurcating Markov chains. Bifurcating Markov chains are a class of processes which are indexed by a regular binary tree. They can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Gorgui Gackou

Markov chains for probability distributions related to matrix product states and 1D Hamiltonians are introduced. With appropriate 'inverse temperature' schedules, these chains can be combined into a random approximation scheme for ground…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2014-05-14 S. Iblisdir

The invariant measure is a fundamental object in the theory of Markov processes. In finite dimensions a Markov process is defined by transition rates of the corresponding stochastic matrix. The Markov tree theorem provides an explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-08 Artur Stephan

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are based on the construction of a Markov chain with transition probabilities leaving invariant a probability distribution of interest. In this work, we look at these transition probabilities as…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Rocco Caprio , Adam M. Johansen

A block Markov chain is a Markov chain whose state space can be partitioned into a finite number of clusters such that the transition probabilities only depend on the clusters. Block Markov chains thus serve as a model for Markov chains…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-03 Jaron Sanders , Alexander Van Werde

Markov chains are a class of probabilistic models that have achieved widespread application in the quantitative sciences. This is in part due to their versatility, but is compounded by the ease with which they can be probed analytically.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Eddie Seabrook , Laurenz Wiskott

Bayesian inference for Markov processes has become increasingly relevant in recent years. Problems of this type often have intractable likelihoods and prior knowledge about model rate parameters is often poor. Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2014-10-23 Jamie Owen , Darren J. Wilkinson , Colin S. Gillespie

A Markov chain is considered whose states are orderings of an underlying fixed tree and whose transitions are local "random-to-front" reorderings, driven by a probability distribution on subsets of the leaves. The eigenvalues of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-28 Anders Björner

Random forests are decision tree ensembles that can be used to solve a variety of machine learning problems. However, as the number of trees and their individual size can be large, their decision making process is often incomprehensible. In…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Nico Potyka , Xiang Yin , Francesca Toni

This paper explicitly details the relation between $M$-matrices, nonnegative roots of nonnegative matrices, and the embedding problem for finite-state stationary Markov chains. The set of nonsingular nonnegative matrices with arbitrary…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-29 Alexander Van-Brunt

We consider a sequence of Markov chains $(\mathcal X^n)_{n=1,2,...}$ with $\mathcal X^n = (X^n_\sigma)_{\sigma\in\mathcal T}$, indexed by the full binary tree $\mathcal T = \mathcal T_0 \cup \mathcal T_1 \cup ...$, where $\mathcal T_k$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-17 Peter Czuppon , Peter Pfaffelhuber

The goal of these lectures is to survey some of the recent progress on the description of large-scale structure of random trees. We use the framework of Markov-Branching sequences of trees and discuss several applications.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-26 Bénédicte Haas

The standard coalescent is widely used in evolutionary biology and population genetics to model the ancestral history of a sample of molecular sequences as a rooted and ranked binary tree. In this paper, we present a representation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Mackenzie Simper , Julia A. Palacios

We present a novel approach to detecting and utilizing symmetries in probabilistic graphical models with two main contributions. First, we present a scalable approach to computing generating sets of permutation groups representing the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Mathias Niepert

We present a novel approach to detecting and utilizing symmetries in probabilistic graphical models with two main contributions. First, we present a scalable approach to computing generating sets of permutation groups representing the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-29 Mathias Niepert