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Attempts to replicate probabilistic reasoning in expert systems have typically overlooked a critical ingredient of that process. Probabilistic analysis typically requires extensive judgments regarding interdependencies among hypotheses and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Marvin S. Cohen

We define a product of algebraic probability spaces equipped with two states. This product is called a conditionally monotone product. This product is a new example of independence in non-commutative probability theory and unifies the…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2013-12-04 Takahiro Hasebe

Representations of probability measures in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces provide a flexible framework for fully nonparametric hypothesis tests of independence, which can capture any type of departure from independence, including…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-11 Qinyi Zhang , Sarah Filippi , Arthur Gretton , Dino Sejdinovic

The problem of measuring conditional dependence between two random phenomena arises when a third one (a confounder) has a potential influence on the amount of information between them. A typical issue in this challenging problem is the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Ferran de Cabrera , Marc Vilà-Insa , Jaume Riba

We propose the conditional predictive impact (CPI), a consistent and unbiased estimator of the association between one or several features and a given outcome, conditional on a reduced feature set. Building on the knockoff framework of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-14 David S. Watson , Marvin N. Wright

Understanding causal relationships between variables is a fundamental problem with broad impact in numerous scientific fields. While extensive research has been dedicated to learning causal graphs from data, its complementary concept of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Jiaqi Zhang , Kirankumar Shiragur , Caroline Uhler

This article introduces a Bayesian nonparametric method for quantifying the relative evidence in a dataset in favour of the dependence or independence of two variables conditional on a third. The approach uses Polya tree priors on spaces of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-15 Onur Teymur , Sarah Filippi

R. Duncan Luce once mentioned in a conversation that he did not consider Kolmogorov's probability theory well-constructed because it treats stochastic independence as a "numerical accident," while it should be treated as a fundamental…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Ehtibar Dzhafarov

In this article we provide a substantial discussion on the statistical concept of conditional independence, which is not routinely mentioned in most elementary statistics and mathematical statistics textbooks. Under the assumption of…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-03-10 Jun Hu , Xianggui Qu

In this paper, the notion of conditionally bi-free independence for pairs of algebras is introduced. The notion of conditional $(\ell, r)$-cumulants are introduced and it is demonstrated that conditionally bi-free independence is equivalent…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2019-02-08 Yinzheng Gu , Paul Skoufranis

In this paper, we examine how various notions of independence in non-commutative probability theory arise in bi-free probability. We exhibit how Boolean and monotone independence occur from bi-free pairs of faces and establish a Kac/Loeve…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2016-09-08 Paul Skoufranis

We propose a novel approach to concentration for non-independent random variables. The main idea is to ``pretend'' that the random variables are independent and pay a multiplicative price measuring how far they are from actually being…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Amedeo Roberto Esposito , Marco Mondelli

We study a class of conditional independence models for discrete data with the property that one or more log-linear interactions are defined within two different marginal distributions and then constrained to 0; all the conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-31 R. Colombi , A. Forcina

We show how to estimate a model's test error from unlabeled data, on distributions very different from the training distribution, while assuming only that certain conditional independencies are preserved between train and test. We do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-17 Jacob Steinhardt , Percy Liang

We present a framework for studying the concept of independence in a general context covering database theory, algebra and model theory as special cases. We show that well-known axioms and rules of independence for making inferences…

Logic · Mathematics 2016-03-10 Gianluca Paolini , Jouko Väänänen

The paper introduces a generalization for known probabilistic models such as log-linear and graphical models, called here multiplicative models. These models, that express probabilities via product of parameters are shown to capture…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Ydo Wexler , Christopher Meek

An extension of the latent class model is presented for clustering categorical data by relaxing the classical "class conditional independence assumption" of variables. This model consists in grouping the variables into inter-independent and…

Computation · Statistics 2015-10-01 Matthieu Marbac , Christophe Biernacki , Vincent Vandewalle

Unlike classical and free independence, the boolean and monotone notions of independence lack of the property of independent constants. In the scalar case, this leads to restrictions for the central limit theorems, as observed by F.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Carlos Dias-Aguilera , Tulio Gaxiola , Jorge Santos , Carlos Vargas

Inference metaprogramming enables effective probabilistic programming by supporting the decomposition of executions of probabilistic programs into subproblems and the deployment of hybrid probabilistic inference algorithms that apply…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2019-07-16 Shivam Handa , Vikash Mansinghka , Martin Rinard

Testing conditional independence between two random vectors given a third is a fundamental and challenging problem in statistics, particularly in multivariate nonparametric settings due to the complexity of conditional structures. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-28 Chenxuan He , Yuan Gao , Liping Zhu , Jian Huang