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We show that the stochastic independence of real-valued random variables is equivalent to the conditional uncorrelation, where the conditioning takes place over the Cartesian products of intervals. Next, we express the mutual independence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Dawid Tarłowski

In broad applications, it is routinely of interest to assess whether there is evidence in the data to refute the assumption of conditional independence of $Y$ and $X$ conditionally on $Z$. Such tests are well developed in parametric models…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-25 Tsuyoshi Kunihama , David B. Dunson

Cyclic monotone independence is an algebraic notion of noncommutative independence, introduced in the study of multi-matrix random matrix models with small rank. Its algebraic form turns out to be surprisingly close to monotone…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Benoît Collins , Felix Leid , Noriyoshi Sakuma

Inferring causal relationships from dynamical systems is the central interest of many scientific inquiries. Conditional local independence, which describes whether the evolution of one process is influenced by another process given…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-09 Mingzhou Liu , Xinwei Sun , Yizhou Wang

Causal knowledge is vital for effective reasoning in science, as causal relations, unlike correlations, allow one to reason about the outcomes of interventions. Algorithms that can discover causal relations from observational data are based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-12 Anish Dhir , Ciarán M. Lee

We propose a sequential, anytime-valid method to test the conditional independence of a response $Y$ and a predictor $X$ given a random vector $Z$. The proposed test is based on e-statistics and test martingales, which generalize likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-22 Peter Grünwald , Alexander Henzi , Tyron Lardy

A major reason behind the success of probability calculus is that it possesses a number of valuable tools, which are based on the notion of probabilistic independence. In this paper, I identify a notion of logical independence that makes…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Adnan Darwiche

In this paper we investigate the applicability of standard model checking approaches to verifying properties in probabilistic programming. As the operational model for a standard probabilistic program is a potentially infinite parametric…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2016-07-28 Nils Jansen , Christian Dehnert , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Lukas Westhofen

In theory, the probabilistic linkage method provides two distinct advantages over non-probabilistic methods, including minimal rates of linkage error and accurate measures of these rates for data users. However, implementations can fall…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-06 Abel Dasylva , Arthur Goussanou , David Ajavon , Hanan Abousaleh

We study probabilistic team semantics which is a semantical framework allowing the study of logical and probabilistic dependencies simultaneously. We examine and classify the expressive power of logical formalisms arising by different…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Miika Hannula , Åsa Hirvonen , Juha Kontinen , Vadim Kulikov , Jonni Virtema

We consider graphs that represent pairwise marginal independencies amongst a set of variables (for instance, the zero entries of a covariance matrix for normal data). We characterize the directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) that faithfully…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-08-04 Johannes Textor , Alexander Idelberger , Maciej Liśkiewicz

We consider the first-order theory of random variables with the probabilistic independence relation, which concerns statements consisting of random variables, the probabilistic independence symbol, logical operators, and existential and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Cheuk Ting Li

The algorithmic independence of conditionals, which postulates that the causal mechanism is algorithmically independent of the cause, has recently inspired many highly successful approaches to distinguish cause from effect given only…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-06 Alexander Marx , Jilles Vreeken

We present general principles underlying analysis of the dependence of random variables (outputs) on deterministic conditions (inputs). Random outputs recorded under mutually exclusive input values are labeled by these values and considered…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-01-27 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala

In a previous paper [Pearl and Verma, 1991] we presented an algorithm for extracting causal influences from independence information, where a causal influence was defined as the existence of a directed arc in all minimal causal models…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Tom S. Verma , Judea Pearl

Learning causal relations from observational data is a fundamental problem with wide-ranging applications across many fields. Constraint-based methods infer the underlying causal structure by performing conditional independence tests.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Marc Franquesa Monés , Jiaqi Zhang , Caroline Uhler

This work reports the most relevant technical aspects in the problem of learning the \emph{Markov network structure} from data. Such problem has become increasingly important in machine learning, and many other application fields of machine…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-11-21 Federico Schlüter

We consider a general statistical estimation problem wherein binary labels across different observations are not independent conditioned on their feature vectors, but dependent, capturing settings where e.g. these observations are collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Yuval Dagan , Constantinos Daskalakis , Nishanth Dikkala , Surbhi Goel , Anthimos Vardis Kandiros

We prove oracle inequalities for a penalized log-likelihood criterion that hold even if the data are not independent and not stationary, based on a martingale approach. The assumptions are checked for various contexts: density estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Julien Aubert , Luc Lehéricy , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret

Probabilistic databases (PDBs) model uncertainty in data. The current standard is to view PDBs as finite probability spaces over relational database instances. Since many attributes in typical databases have infinite domains, such as…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-06-01 Martin Grohe , Peter Lindner
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