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Forecasting traffic flows is a central task in intelligent transportation system management. Graph structures have shown promise as a modeling framework, with recent advances in spatio-temporal modeling via graph convolution neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Yuanjie Lu , Parastoo Kamranfar , David Lattanzi , Amarda Shehu

With an ever-increasing number of sensors in modern society, spatio-temporal time series forecasting has become a de facto tool to make informed decisions about the future. Most spatio-temporal forecasting models typically comprise distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Lars Ødegaard Bentsen , Narada Dilp Warakagoda , Roy Stenbro , Paal Engelstad

Forecasting graph-based, time-dependent data has broad practical applications but presents challenges. Effective models must capture both spatial and temporal dependencies in the data, while also incorporating auxiliary information to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Yang Li , Di Wang , José M. F. Moura

Traffic forecasting is an important application of spatiotemporal series prediction. Among different methods, graph neural networks have achieved so far the most promising results, learning relations between graph nodes then becomes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Ting Gao , Rodrigo Kappes Marques , Lei Yu

Utilizing non-concurrent control data (NCC) in the analysis of late-entering arms in platform trials has recently received considerable attention. While incorporating NCC can lead to increased power and lower sample sizes, it might…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-12 Pavla Krotka , Martin Posch , Mohamed Gewily , Günter Höglinger , Marta Bofill Roig

Researchers regard crime as a social phenomenon that is influenced by several physical, social, and economic factors. Different types of crimes are said to have different motivations. Theft, for instance, is a crime that is based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Deborah Djon , Jitesh Jhawar , Kieron Drumm , Vincent Tran

To ensure the safety of railroad operations, it is important to monitor and forecast track geometry irregularities. A higher safety requires forecasting with higher spatiotemporal frequencies, which in turn requires capturing spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Katsuya Kosukegawa , Yasukuni Mori , Hiroki Suyari , Kazuhiko Kawamoto

Additive spatial statistical models with weakly stationary process assumptions have become standard in spatial statistics. However, one disadvantage of such models is the computation time, which rapidly increases with the number of data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-18 Sudipto Saha , Jonathan R. Bradley

To maintain the accuracy of supervised learning models in the presence of evolving data streams, we provide temporally-biased sampling schemes that weight recent data most heavily, with inclusion probabilities for a given data item decaying…

Databases · Computer Science 2018-01-31 Brian Hentschel , Peter J. Haas , Yuanyuan Tian

Gibbs sampling is a Markov chain Monte Carlo technique commonly used for estimating marginal distributions. To speed up Gibbs sampling, there has recently been interest in parallelizing it by executing asynchronously. While empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-20 Christopher De Sa , Kunle Olukotun , Christopher Ré

Spatio-temporal problems are ubiquitous and of vital importance in many research fields. Despite the potential already demonstrated by deep learning methods in modeling spatio-temporal data, typical approaches tend to focus solely on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-28 Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco C. Pereira

Sensors are the key to environmental monitoring, which impart benefits to smart cities in many aspects, such as providing real-time air quality information to assist human decision-making. However, it is impractical to deploy massive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-24 Junfeng Hu , Yuxuan Liang , Zhencheng Fan , Li Liu , Yifang Yin , Roger Zimmermann

Gibbs samplers are preeminent Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms used in computational physics and statistical computing. Yet, their most fundamental properties, such as relations between convergence characteristics of their various…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-11 Iwona Chlebicka , Krzysztof Łatuszyński , Błażej Miasojedow

Modeling a precipitation field is challenging due to its intermittent and highly scale-dependent nature. Motivated by the features of high-frequency precipitation data from a network of rain gauges, we propose a threshold space-time $t$…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-10 Ying Sun , Michael L. Stein

We propose a hybrid approach to temporal anomaly detection in access data of users to databases --- or more generally, any kind of subject-object co-occurrence data. We consider a high-dimensional setting that also requires fast computation…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Eyal Gutflaish , Aryeh Kontorovich , Sivan Sabato , Ofer Biller , Oded Sofer

Investigating relationships between response variables and covariates in areas such as environmental science, geoscience, and public health is an important endeavor. Based on a Bayesian mixture of finite mixtures model, we present a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-06 Peng Zhao , Hou-Cheng Yang , Dipak K. Dey , Guanyu Hu

Extreme floods cause casualties, and widespread damage to property and vital civil infrastructure. We here propose a Bayesian approach for predicting extreme floods using the generalized extreme-value (GEV) distribution within gauged and…

This article introduces a dynamic spatiotemporal stochastic volatility (SV) model with explicit terms for the spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal spillover effects. Moreover, the model includes time-invariant site-specific constant…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-10 Philipp Otto , Osman Doğan , Süleyman Taşpınar

High-dimensional multivariate spatial-temporal data arise frequently in a wide range of applications; however, there are relatively few statistical methods that can simultaneously deal with spatial, temporal and variable-wise dependencies…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-05 Elynn Y. Chen , Xin Yun , Rong Chen , Qiwei Yao

This paper is concerned with a nonparametric regression problem in which the input variables and the errors are autocorrelated in time. The motivation for the research stems from modeling wind power curves. Using existing model selection…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-13 Abhinav Prakash , Rui Tuo , Yu Ding