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This study investigates the impact of masking strategies on time series imputation models in healthcare settings. While current approaches predominantly rely on random masking for model evaluation, this practice fails to capture the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Linglong Qian , Yiyuan Yang , Wenjie Du , Jun Wang , Richard Dobsoni , Zina Ibrahim

Disability insurance claims are often affected by lengthy reporting delays and adjudication processes. The classic multistate life insurance modeling framework is ill-suited to handle such information delays since the cash flow and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-22 Oliver Lunding Sandqvist

We present a general approach to the pricing of products in finance and insurance in the multi-period setting. It is a combination of the utility indifference pricing and optimal intertemporal risk allocation. We give a characterization of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Kei Fukuda , Akihiko Inoue , Yumiharu Nakano

Breast cancer screening policies attempt to achieve timely diagnosis by the regular screening of apparently healthy women. Various clinical decisions are needed to manage the screening process; those include: selecting the screening tests…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-02-02 Ahmed M. Alaa , Kyeong H. Moon , William Hsu , Mihaela van der Schaar

Individualized treatment rules (ITR) can improve health outcomes by recognizing that patients may respond differently to treatment and assigning therapy with the most desirable predicted outcome for each individual. Flexible and efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-25 Brent R. Logan , Rodney Sparapani , Robert E. McCulloch , Purushottam W. Laud

When assessing the causal effect of a binary exposure using observational data, confounder imbalance across exposure arms must be addressed. Matching methods, including propensity score-based matching, can be used to deconfound the causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-01 Ernesto Ulloa-Pérez , Marco Carone , Alex Luedtke

Decision makers often need to rely on imperfect probabilistic forecasts. While average performance metrics are typically available, it is difficult to assess the quality of individual forecasts and the corresponding utilities. To convey…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-03 Shengjia Zhao , Stefano Ermon

Rationing of healthcare resources has emerged as an important issue, which has been discussed by medical experts, policy-makers, and the general public. We consider a rationing problem where medical units are to be allocated to patients.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Haris Aziz , Florian Brandl

The risk premium of a policy is the sum of the pure premium and the risk loading. In the classification ratemaking process, generalized linear models are usually used to calculate pure premiums, and various premium principles are applied to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-07 Liang Yang , Zhengxiao Li , Shengwang Meng

Dynamic, risk-based pricing can systematically exclude vulnerable consumer groups from essential resources such as health insurance and consumer credit. We show that a regulator can realign private incentives with social objectives through…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Jesse Thibodeau , Hadi Nekoei , Afaf Taïk , Janarthanan Rajendran , Golnoosh Farnadi

To select outcomes for clinical trials testing experimental therapies for Huntington disease, a fatal neurodegenerative disorder, analysts model how potential outcomes change over time. Yet, subjects with Huntington disease are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-06 Kyle F. Grosser , Sarah C. Lotspeich , Tanya P. Garcia

The increasing impact of algorithmic decisions on people's lives compels us to scrutinize their fairness and, in particular, the disparate impacts that ostensibly-color-blind algorithms can have on different groups. Examples include credit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-17 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao , Angela Zhou

Cancer pathology is unique to a given individual, and developing personalized diagnostic and treatment protocols are a primary concern. Mathematical modeling and simulation is a promising approach to personalized cancer medicine. Yet, the…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-03 Alvaro Köhn-Luque , Xiaoran Lai , Arnoldo Frigessi

Multistate process data are common in studies of chronic diseases such as cancer. These data are ideal for precision medicine purposes as they can be leveraged to improve more refined health outcomes, compared to standard survival outcomes,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-28 Giorgos Bakoyannis

Background and Objective High medicine diversity has always been a significant challenge for prescription, causing confusion or doubt in physicians' decision-making process. This paper aims to develop a medicine recommender system called…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Maryam Sajde , Hamed Malek , Mehran Mohsenzadeh

This paper presents advancements in automated early-stage prediction of the success of reprogramming human induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSCs) as a potential source for regenerative cell therapies.The minuscule success rate of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Abhineet Singh , Ila Jasra , Omar Mouhammed , Nidheesh Dadheech , Nilanjan Ray , James Shapiro

Predictive biomarkers are playing an essential role in precision medicine. Identifying an optimal cutoff to select patient subsets with greater benefit from treatment is critical and more challenging for predictive biomarkers measured with…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-29 Chi Zhang , Wei Shi , Spencer Woody , Qing Liu

Active surveillance (AS), where biopsies are conducted to detect cancer progression, has been acknowledged as an efficient way to reduce the overtreatment of prostate cancer. Most AS cohorts use fixed biopsy schedules for all patients.…

Autocalibration is known to be an important requirement for insurance premiums since it guarantees that premium income balances corresponding claims, on average, not only at portfolio level but also inside each group paying similar…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-03-18 Michel Denuit , Marie Michaelides , Julien Trufin

Individualized treatment rule (ITR) recommends treatment on the basis of individual patient characteristics and the previous history of applied treatments and their outcomes. Despite the fact there are many ways to estimate ITR with binary…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-15 Pavel Shvechikov , Evgeniy Riabenko
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