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Precision medicine involves developing individualized treatment regimes (ITRs) which allow for treatment decisions to be tailored to patient characteristics. Naturally, the identification of the optimal regime, that is, the rule which…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Misha Dolmatov , Erica E. M. Moodie , David A. Stephens , Dipankar Bandyopadhyay

Binary observations are often repeated to improve data quality, creating technical replicates. Several scoring methods are commonly used to infer the actual individual state and obtain a probability for each state. The common practice of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-24 Manuela Royer-Carenzi , Hadrien Lorenzo , Pierre Pudlo

In data-driven optimization, the sample performance of the obtained decision typically incurs an optimistic bias against the true performance, a phenomenon commonly known as the Optimizer's Curse and intimately related to overfitting in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Garud Iyengar , Henry Lam , Tianyu Wang

This paper introduces a method for pricing insurance policies using market data. The approach is designed for scenarios in which the insurance company seeks to enter a new market, in our case: pet insurance, lacking historical data. The…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-23 Pierre-Olivier Goffard , Pierrick Piette , Gareth W. Peters

We seek to understand the probability an individual benefits from treatment (PIBT), an inestimable quantity that must be bounded in practice. Given the innate uncertainty in the population-level bounds on PIBT, we seek to better understand…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-04 Gabriel Ruiz , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

There is tremendous interest in precision medicine as a means to improve patient outcomes by tailoring treatment to individual characteristics. An individualized treatment rule formalizes precision medicine as a map from patient information…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-28 Daniel J. Luckett , Eric B. Laber , Michael R. Kosorok

This paper proposes a general framework for probabilistic certification of cancer therapies. The certification is defined in terms of two key issues which are the tumor contraction and the lower admissible bound on the circulating…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-02-24 Mazen Alamir

With advances in estimating heterogeneous treatment effects, firms can personalize and target individuals at a granular level. However, feasibility constraints limit full personalization. In practice, firms choose segments of individuals…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-02 Walter W. Zhang , Sanjog Misra

We focus on modeling the relationship between an input feature vector and the predicted outcome of a trained decision tree using mixed-integer optimization. This can be used in many practical applications where a decision tree or tree…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Max Biggs , Georgia Perakis

Panel data consists of a collection of $N$ units that are observed over $T$ units of time. A policy or treatment is subject to staggered adoption if different units take on treatment at different times and remains treated (or never at all).…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-14 Eric Xia , Yuling Yan , Martin J. Wainwright

The concept of personalised medicine in cancer therapy is becoming increasingly important. There already exist drugs administered specifically for patients with tumours presenting well-defined mutations. However, the field is still in its…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-26 Abbi Abdel-Rehim , Oghenejokpeme Orhobor , Gareth Griffiths , Larisa Soldatova , Ross D. King

The choice titration procedure presents a subject with a repeated choice between a standard option that always provides the same reward and an adjusting option for which the reward schedule is adjusted based on the subjects previous…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2013-06-25 Abran Steele-Feldman , James J. Anderson

Health care claims data refer to information generated from interactions within health systems. They have been used in health services research for decades to assess effectiveness of interventions, determine the quality of medical care,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-16 Jacob Spertus , Samrachana Adhikari , Sharon-Lise Normand

Low precision arithmetic, in particular half precision floating point arithmetic, is now available in commercial hardware. Using lower precision can offer significant savings in computation and communication costs with proportional savings…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Eda Oktay , Erin Carson

Every time drivers take to the road, and with each mile that they drive, exposes themselves and others to the risk of an accident. Insurance premiums are only weakly linked to mileage, however, and have lump-sum characteristics largely. The…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-11 Safoora Zarei , Ali R. Fallahi

Discovering useful temporal abstractions, in the form of options, is widely thought to be key to applying reinforcement learning and planning to increasingly complex domains. Building on the empirical success of the Expert Iteration…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Kenny Young , Richard S. Sutton

It is not clear how to target patients who are most likely to benefit from digital care management programs ex-ante, a shortcoming of current risk score based approaches. This study focuses on defining impactability by identifying those…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-16 Heather Mattie , Patrick Reidy , Patrik Bachtiger , Emily Lindemer , Mohammad Jouni , Trishan Panch

AI-driven clinical text classification is vital for explainable automated retrieval of population-level health information. This work investigates whether human-based clinical rationales can serve as additional supervision to improve both…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Christoph Metzner , Shang Gao , Drahomira Herrmannova , Heidi A. Hanson

Individualized treatments are crucial for optimal decision making and treatment allocation, specifically in personalized medicine based on the estimation of an individual's dose-response curve across a continuum of treatment levels, e.g.,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-20 Max Sampson , Kung-Sik Chan

Screening traditionally refers to the problem of detecting active inputs in the computer model. In this paper, we develop methodology that applies to screening, but the main focus is on detecting active inputs not in the computer model…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-20 Pierre Barbillon , Anabel Forte , Rui Paulo
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