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We prove a Chernoff-type bound for sums of matrix-valued random variables sampled via a random walk on an expander, confirming a conjecture due to Wigderson and Xiao. Our proof is based on a new multi-matrix extension of the Golden-Thompson…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Ankit Garg , Yin Tat Lee , Zhao Song , Nikhil Srivastava

We prove the first Chernoff-Hoeffding bounds for general nonreversible finite-state Markov chains based on the standard L_1 (variation distance) mixing-time of the chain. Specifically, consider an ergodic Markov chain M and a weight…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-31 Kai-Min Chung , Henry Lam , Zhenming Liu , Michael Mitzenmacher

This paper develops an optimal Chernoff type bound for the probabilities of large deviations of sums $\sum_{k=1}^n f (X_k)$ where $f$ is a real-valued function and $(X_k)_{k \in \mathbb{Z}_{\ge 0}}$ is a finite state Markov chain with an…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Vrettos Moulos , Venkat Anantharam

This paper addresses the advancement of probability tail bound analysis, a crucial statistical tool for assessing the probability of large deviations of random variables from their expected values. Traditional tail bounds, such as Markov's,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-22 Shih-Yu Chang

We establish Chernoff-type bounds for the largest eigenvalue of sums of Hermitian random matrices generated by a time-inhomogeneous Markov chain. Our primary regime assumes a compact state space and contractivity of each Markov kernel in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Luca Zanetti

In this paper we develop algorithms for approximating matrix multiplication with respect to the spectral norm. Let A\in{\RR^{n\times m}} and B\in\RR^{n \times p} be two matrices and \eps>0. We approximate the product A^\top B using two…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2010-10-28 Avner Magen , Anastasios Zouzias

Let $\{Y_i\}_{i=1}^{\infty}$ be a stationary reversible Markov chain with state space $[N]$, let $(X, \| \cdot \|)$ be a real-valued Banach space and let $f_1, \ldots, f_n: [N] \rightarrow X$ be functions with mean $0$ such that $\|f_i(v)\|…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Shravas Rao

The Chernoff bound is an important inequality relation in probability theory. The original version of the Chernoff bound is to give an exponential decreasing bound on the tail distribution of sums of independent random variables. Recent…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Shih Yu Chang

We investigate the mixing properties of a model of reversible Markov chains in random environment, which notably contains the simple random walk on the superposition of a deterministic graph and a second graph whose vertex set has been…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Bastien Dubail

This work introduces the minimax Laplace transform method, a modification of the cumulant-based matrix Laplace transform method developed in "User-friendly tail bounds for sums of random matrices" (arXiv:1004.4389v6) that yields both upper…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-22 Alex Gittens , Joel A. Tropp

Mixing of finite time-homogeneous Markov chains is well understood nowadays, with a rich set of techniques to estimate their mixing time. In this paper, we study the mixing time of random walks in dynamic random environments. To that end,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-27 Raphael Erb

We present new scalar and matrix Chernoff-style concentration bounds for a broad class of probability distributions over the binary hypercube $\{0,1\}^n$. Motivated by recent tools developed for the study of mixing times of Markov chains on…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2022-01-07 Tali Kaufman , Rasmus Kyng , Federico Soldá

In probability theory, the Chernoff bound gives exponentially decreasing bounds on tail distributions for sums of independent random variables and such bound is applied at different fields in science and engineering. In this work, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-29 Shih Yu Chang

In a Markov chain started at a state $x$, the hitting time $\tau(y)$ is the first time that the chain reaches another state $y$. We study the probability $\mathbf{P}_x(\tau(y) = t)$ that the first visit to $y$ occurs precisely at a given…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-06 James Norris , Yuval Peres , Alex Zhai

We study the approximation of a (finite) continuous-time Markov chain by a Markov chain on a reduced state space, and we provide formal error bounds for the approximated transient distributions in the Wasserstein distance. These bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-19 Fabian Michel

Let {X_n,n\geq0} be a Markov chain on a general state space X with transition probability P and stationary probability \pi. Suppose an additive component S_n takes values in the real line R and is adjoined to the chain such that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Cheng-Der Fuh

We study continuous time Markov processes on graphs. The notion of frequency is introduced, which serves well as a scaling factor between any Markov time of a continuous time Markov process and that of its jump chain. As an application, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jianjun Tian , Xiao-Song Lin

In this paper we extend the results of the research started by the first author, in which Karlin-McGregor diagonalization of certain reversible Markov chains over countably infinite general state spaces by orthogonal polynomials was used to…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2012-02-15 Yevgeniy Kovchegov , Nicholas Michalowski

There is a long history of establishing central limit theorems for Markov chains. Quantitative bounds for chains with a spectral gap were proved by Mann and refined later. Recently, rates of convergence for the total variation distance were…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-24 Rafael Chiclana , Yuval Peres

Markov chains are convenient means of generating realizations of networks with a given (joint or otherwise) degree distribution, since they simply require a procedure for rewiring edges. The major challenge is to find the right number of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-11-01 J. Ray , A. Pinar , C. Seshadhri
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