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Related papers: Exact closed-form solution of a modified SIR model

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In this paper, we introduce a general framework for co-infection as cooperative SIR dynamics. We first solve analytically CGCG model [1] and then the generalized model in symmetric scenarios. We calculate transition points, order parameter,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-24 Fatemeh Zarei , Saman Moghimi-Araghi , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad

We consider the spread of a Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) disease through finite populations and derive an expression for the final size distribution. Our derivation allows arbitrary distributions of the number of transmissions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-12 Joel C Miller

We consider an epidemiological SIR model with an infection rate depending on the recovered population. We establish sufficient conditions for existence, uniqueness, and stability (local and global) of endemic equilibria and consider also…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2021-07-09 Andres David Báez-Sánchez , Nara Bobko

In this comment we give a simple analytic approximate solution to the infectious recovery SIR (irSIR) model given by J. Cannarella and J. A. Spechler arXiv:1401.4208, which is a variant of the traditional SIR model.

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-05-27 Kazuyuki Fujii

This study focuses on analyzing a deterministic SIR model governing the dynamics of the hosts and vectors on an urban network. Our analysis scrutinizes the typical existence--stability of the equilibria as well as the sensitivity of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-11-13 Karunia Putra Wijaya , Dipo Aldila

This paper presents a simple continuous-time linear vaccination-based control strategy for a SEIR (susceptible plus infected plus infectious plus removed populations) propagation disease model. The model takes into account the total…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-03-28 M. De la Sen , A. Ibeas , S. Alonso-Quesada

Recent years have seen a large amount of interest in epidemics on networks as a way of representing the complex structure of contacts capable of spreading infections through the modern human population. The configuration model is a popular…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-23 Frank Ball , Thomas House

We study the problem of optimal control of the stochastic SIR model. Models of this type are used in mathematical epidemiology to capture the time evolution of highly infectious diseases such as COVID-19. Our approach relies on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-04 Andrew Lesniewski

This article considers the optimal control of the SIR model with both transmission and treatment uncertainty. It follows the model presented in Gatto and Schellhorn (2021). We make four significant improvements on the latter paper. First,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Yujia Ding , Henry Schellhorn

Here we propose and implement a generalized mathematical model to find the time evolution of population in infectious diseases and apply the model to study the recent COVID-19 pandemic. Our model at the core is a non-local generalization of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-01 Saumyak Mukherjee , Sayantan Mondal , Biman Bagchi

We consider a single outbreak susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model and corresponding estimation procedures for the effective reproductive number $\mathcal{R}(t)$. We discuss the estimation of the underlying SIR parameters with a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-16 Ariel Cintrón-Arias , Carlos Castillo-Chávez , Luís M. A. Bettencourt , Alun L. Lloyd , H. T. Banks

The SIR-compartment model is among the simplest models that describe the spread of a disease through a population. The model makes the unrealistic assumption that the population through which the disease is spreading is well-mixed. Although…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-16 Ryan Wilkinson , Marcus Roper

The general epidemic process (GEP), also known as susceptible-infected-recovered model (SIR), describes how an epidemic spreads within a population of susceptible individuals who acquire permanent immunization upon recovery. This model…

A pandemic is the spread of a disease across large regions, and can have devastating costs to the society in terms of health, economic and social. As such, the study of effective pandemic mitigation strategies can yield significant positive…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Ari Gestetner , Buser Say

Accurate identification of effective epidemic threshold is essential for understanding epidemic dynamics on complex networks. The existing studies on the effective epidemic threshold of the susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model generally…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-14 Panpan Shu , Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Pengcheng Zhao , Yi-Cheng Zhang

Using a stochastic Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) meta-population model of disease transmission, we present analytical calculations and numerical simulations dissecting the interplay between stochasticity and the division of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-17 Philip Bittihn , Ramin Golestanian

Modeling epidemic dynamics plays an important role in studying how diseases spread, predicting their future course, and designing strategies to control them. In this letter, we introduce a model of SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) type…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-17 Li Chen , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Weiran Cai , Peter Grassberger

The impact of spatial structure on the spread of an epidemic is an important issue in the propagation of infectious diseases. Recent studies, both deterministic and stochastic, have made it possible to understand the importance of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Alphonse Emakoua

Traditional studies about disease dynamics have focused on global stability issues, due to their epidemiological importance. We study a classical SIR-SI model for arboviruses in two different directions: we begin by describing an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-28 Max O. Souza

We introduce a mathematical description of the impact of sociality in the spread of infectious diseases by integrating an epidemiological dynamics with a kinetic modeling of population-based contacts. The kinetic description leads to study…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-02 G. Dimarco , B. Perthame , G. Toscani , M. Zanella
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