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Estimating spot covariance is an important issue to study, especially with the increasing availability of high-frequency financial data. We study the estimation of spot covariance using a kernel method for high-frequency data. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-21 Konul Mustafayeva , Weining Wang

The discrepancy between realized volatility and the market's view of volatility has been known to predict individual equity options at the monthly horizon. It is not clear how this predictability depends on a forecast's ability to predict…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-10 Austin Pollok

We statistically analyse a multivariate HJM diffusion model with stochastic volatility. The volatility process of the first factor is left totally unspecified while the volatility of the second factor is the product of an unknown process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-07 Olivier Féron , Pierre Gruet , Marc Hoffmann

The non-parametric estimation of covariance lies at the heart of functional data analysis, whether for curve or surface-valued data. The case of a two-dimensional domain poses both statistical and computational challenges, which are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Tomas Masak , Soham Sarkar , Victor M. Panaretos

In Part I of this article (Banerjee and Kuchibhotla (2023)), we have introduced a new method to bound the difference in expectations of an average of independent random vector and the limiting Gaussian random vector using level sets. In the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-27 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

A large class of statistics can be formulated as smooth functions of sample means of random vectors. In this paper, we propose a general partial Cram\'{e}r's condition (GPCC) and apply it to establish the validity of the Edgeworth expansion…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Yashi Wei , Jiang Hu , Zhidong Bai

We observe n possibly dependent random variables, the distribution of which is presumed to be stationary even though this might not be true, and we aim at estimating the stationary distribution. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-10 Alexandre Lecestre

We show how to calculate individual terms of the Edgeworth series to approximate the distribution of the Pearson correlation coefficient with the help of a simple Mathematica program. We also demonstrate how to eliminate the corresponding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-11 Jan Vrbik

The implied volatility is a crucial element of any financial toolbox, since it is used for quoting and the hedging of options as well as for model calibration. In contrast to the Black-Scholes formula its inverse, the implied volatility, is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-06 Kathrin Glau , Paul Herold , Dilip B. Madan , Christian Pötz

Jump diffusion processes are widely used to model asset prices over time, mainly for their ability to capture complex discontinuous behavior, but inference on the model parameters remains a challenge. Here our goal is posterior inference on…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-23 Ryan Martin , Cheng Ouyang , Francois Domagni

We present an explicit hedging strategy, which enables to prove arbitrageness of market incorporating at least two assets depending on the same random factor. The implied Black-Scholes volatility, computed taking into account the form of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-01 Mikhail Martynov , Olga Rozanova

We study a new measure of codependency in the second moment of a continuous-time multivariate asset price process, which we name the realized copula of volatility. The statistic is based on local volatility estimates constructed from…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Kim Christensen , Wenjing Liu , Zhi Liu , Yoann Potiron

The purpose of this paper is to prove new fine regularity results for nonlocal drift-diffusion equations via pointwise potential estimates. Our analysis requires only minimal assumptions on the divergence free drift term, enabling us to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Quoc-Hung Nguyen , Simon Nowak , Yannick Sire , Marvin Weidner

We prove the convergence at an exponential rate towards the invariant probability measure for a class of solutions of stochastic differential equations with finite delay. This is done, in this non-Markovian setting, using the cluster…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-11 Laure Pédèches

We consider a stochastic volatility asset price model in which the volatility is the absolute value of a continuous Gaussian process with arbitrary prescribed mean and covariance. By exhibiting a Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve expansion for the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-08 Archil Gulisashvili , Frederi Viens , Xin Zhang

We analyze fluctuations of random walks with generally distributed increments. Integral representations for key performance measures are obtained by extending an inversion theorem of Hewitt [11] for Laplace-Stieltjes transforms. Another…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-05 E. S. Badila

We explore the role that random arbitrage opportunities play in hedging financial derivatives. We extend the asymptotic pricing theory presented by Fedotov and Panayides [Stochastic arbitrage return and its implication for option pricing,…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Stephanos Panayides

We analyse the behaviour of the implied volatility smile for options close to expiry in the exponential L\'evy class of asset price models with jumps. We introduce a new renormalisation of the strike variable with the property that the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-17 Aleksandar Mijatović , Peter Tankov

We consider a microstructure model for a financial asset, allowing for price discreteness and for a diffusive behavior at large sampling scale. This model, introduced by Delattre and Jacod, consists in the observation at the high frequency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-07 Mathieu Rosenbaum

We present a flexible approach for the valuation of interest rate derivatives based on Affine Processes. We extend the methodology proposed in Keller-Ressel et al. (2009) by changing the choice of the state space. We provide…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-03-22 José Da Fonseca , Alessandro Gnoatto , Martino Grasselli