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Generalizing earlier works of Delbaen & Haezendonck [5] as well as of [18] and [16] for given compound mixed renewal process S under a probability measure P, we characterize all those probability measures Q on the domain of P such that Q…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Nikolaos D. Macheras

If a given aggregate process $S$ is a compound mixed renewal process under a probability measure $P$, we provide a characterization of all probability measures $Q$ on the domain of $P$ such that $Q$ and $P$ are progressively equivalent and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Nikolaos D. Macheras

Some characterizations of mixed renewal processes in terms of exchangeability and of different types of disintegrations are given. As a consequence, an existence result for mixed renewal processes, providing also a new construction for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-01 D. P. Lyberopoulos , N. D. Macheras

In this paper we give few expressions and asymptotics of ruin probabilities for a Markov modulated risk process for various regimes of a time horizon, initial reserves and a claim size distribution. We also consider few versions of the ruin…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Zbigniew Palmowski

We study the ruin problem over a risk process described by a discrete-time Markov model. In contrast to previous studies that focused on the asymptotic behaviour of ruin probabilities for large values of the initial capital, we provide a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-26 Ilya Tkachev , Alessandro Abate

In this short note, we derive explicit formulas for the joint densities of the time to ruin and the number of claims until ruin in perturbed classical risk models, by constructing several auxiliary random processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-22 Peng Liu , Chunsheng Zhang , Lanpeng Ji

This paper presents a novel model for bivariate stochastic fluid processes that incorporate a ruin-dependent behavioral switch. Unlike typical models that assume a shared underlying process, our model allows each process to operate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Hamed Amini , Andreea Minca , Oscar Peralta

We consider a risk model with a counting process whose intensity is a Markovian shot-noise process, to resolve one of the disadvantages of the Cram\'er-Lundberg model, namely the constant jump intensity of the Poisson process. Due to this…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Simon Pojer , Stefan Thonhauser

We reprove a result concerning certain ruin in the classical problem of the probability of ruin with risky investments and several of it's generalisations. We also provide the combined transition density of the risk and investment processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 David Maher

We analyse the ruin probabilities for a renewal insurance risk process with inter-arrival time distributions depending on the claims that arrived within a fixed (past) time window. This dependence could be explained through a regenerative…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-22 Corina Constantinescu , Suhang Dai , Weihong Ni , Zbigniew Palmowski

We consider continuous time risk processes in which the claim sizes are dependent and non-identically distributed phase-type distributions. The class of distributions we propose is easy to characterize and allows to incorporate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-28 Oscar Peralta , Matthieu Simon

In this paper we investigate continuity properties for ruin probability in the classical risk model. Properties of contractive integral operators are used to derive continuity estimates for the deficit at ruin. These results are also…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Lazaros Kanellopoulos

Generalizing earlier work of Delbaen and Haezendonck for given compound renewal process $S$ under a probability measure $P$ we characterize all probability measures $Q$ on the domain of $P$ such that $Q$ and $P$ are progressively equivalent…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-31 Nikolaos D. Macheras , Spyridon M. Tzaninis

Lundberg-type inequalities for ruin probabilities of non-homogeneous risk models are presented in this paper. By employing martingale method, the upper bounds of ruin probabilities are obtained for the general risk models under weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Qianqian Zhou , Alexander Sakhanenko , Junyi Guo

In this paper, we adapt the classic Cram\'er-Lundberg collective risk theory model to a perturbed model by adding a Wiener process to the compound Poisson process, which can be used to incorporate premium income uncertainty, interest rate…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-07 Yacine Koucha , Alfredo D. Egidio dos Reis

Consider a surplus process which both of collected premium and payed claim size are two independent compound Poisson processes. This article derives two approximated formulas for the ruin probability of such surplus process, say double…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-20 Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi , Dan Kucerovsky

Following an article by Muller and Pflug, we study the adjustment coefficient of ruin theory in a context of temporal dependency. We provide a consistent estimator of this coefficient, and perform some simulations.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-05 H. Cossette , E. Marceau , V. Maume-Deschamps

We study modified ruin probabilities in a Cram\'er-Lundberg model driven by a compound mixed Poisson process. In the heavy-tailed regime, if the integrated claim-size distribution is subexponential and the upper endpoint of the mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Noriyoshi Sakuma , Momoka Tashiro

In this work, we derive a complete characterization of all ruin-inducing probability measures that preserve the structure of a given compound renewal process in terms of suitable pairs of functions $(\gamma,\delta)$. This result allows us…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Apostolos Bozikas

This article studies in detail the solution of an integral equation due to Rongming et al. [13]. The methods involve complex analysis. As an application, we find the ruin probability of a given Bonus-Malus system in a steady state. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-23 Dan Kucerovsky , Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi
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