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Adoption of deep neural networks in fields such as economics or finance has been constrained by the lack of interpretability of model outcomes. This paper proposes a generative neural network architecture - the parameter encoder neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-11 Johann Pfitzinger

Causal inference in multivariate time series is challenging due to the fact that the sampling rate may not be as fast as the timescale of the causal interactions. In this context, we can view our observed series as a subsampled version of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-11 Alex Tank , Emily B. Fox , Ali Shojaie

Real-world time series data exhibit non-stationary behavior, regime shifts, and temporally varying noise (heteroscedastic) that degrade the robustness of standard regression models. We introduce the Variability-Aware Recursive Neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Haroon Gharwi , Kai Shu

With the rapid development of big data, how to efficiently and accurately discover tight community structures in large-scale networks for knowledge discovery has attracted more and more attention. In this paper, a community detection…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Chenyang Qiu , Zhaoci Huang , Wenzhe Xu , Huijia Li

Multivariate time series is prevalent in many scientific and industrial domains. Modeling multivariate signals is challenging due to their long-range temporal dependencies and intricate interactions--both direct and indirect. To confront…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Juhyeon Kim , Hyungeun Lee , Seungwon Yu , Ung Hwang , Wooyul Jung , Miseon Park , Kijung Yoon

Existing autoregressive (AR) image generative models use a token-by-token generation schema. That is, they predict a per-token probability distribution and sample the next token from that distribution. The main challenge is how to model the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Qinyu Zhao , Stephen Gould , Liang Zheng

The proliferation of large-scale and structurally complex data has spurred the integration of machine learning methods into statistical modeling. Recurrent neural networks (RNNs), a foundational class of models for time-dependent data, can…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Yuxi Cai , Lan Li , Feiqing Huang , Guodong Li

The development of graph neural networks (GCN) makes it possible to learn structural features from evolving complex networks. Even though a wide range of realistic networks are directed ones, few existing works investigated the properties…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Jinsong Li , Jianhua Peng , Shuxin Liu , Lintianran Weng , Cong Li

Recurrence networks are powerful tools used effectively in the nonlinear analysis of time series data. The analysis in this context is done mostly with unweighted and undirected complex networks constructed with specific criteria from the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-09-18 Rinku Jacob , K. P. Harikrishnan , R. Misra , G. Ambika

Many real-world systems can be expressed in temporal networks with nodes playing far different roles in structure and function and edges representing the relationships between nodes. Identifying critical nodes can help us control the spread…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-07-07 En-Yu Yu , Yan Fu , Jun-Lin Zhou , Hong-Liang Sun , Duan-Bing Chen

Failures in complex systems often emerge through gradual degradation and the propagation of stress across interacting components rather than through isolated shocks. Democratic systems exhibit similar dynamics, where weakening institutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Dmitry Zaytsev , Valentina Kuskova , Michael Coppedge

We propose FNETS, a methodology for network estimation and forecasting of high-dimensional time series exhibiting strong serial- and cross-sectional correlations. We operate under a factor-adjusted vector autoregressive (VAR) model which,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Dom Owens

Recent advancements in recurrent neural network (RNN) research have demonstrated the superiority of utilizing multiscale structures in learning temporal representations of time series. Currently, most of multiscale RNNs use fixed scales,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-18 Hao Hu , Liqiang Wang , Guo-Jun Qi

This paper introduces a tensor neural network (TNN) to address nonparametric regression problems, leveraging its distinct sub-network structure to effectively facilitate variable separation and enhance the approximation of complex,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-16 Yongxin Li , Yifan Wang , Zhongshuo Lin , Hehu Xie

Estimating causal relations is vital in understanding the complex interactions in multivariate time series. Non-linear coupling of variables is one of the major challenges inaccurate estimation of cause-effect relations. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Wasim Ahmad , Maha Shadaydeh , Joachim Denzler

This paper focuses on jointly inferring network and community structures from the dynamics of complex systems. Although many approaches have been designed to solve these two problems solely, none of them consider explicit shareable…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Kai Wu , Chao Wang , Junyuan Chen , Jing Liu

Non-autoregressive (NAR) generation, which is first proposed in neural machine translation (NMT) to speed up inference, has attracted much attention in both machine learning and natural language processing communities. While NAR generation…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-07-07 Yisheng Xiao , Lijun Wu , Junliang Guo , Juntao Li , Min Zhang , Tao Qin , Tie-yan Liu

Networks of interconnected agents are essential to study complex networked systems' state evolution, stability, resilience, and control. Nevertheless, the high dimensionality and nonlinear dynamics are vital factors preventing us from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-24 Cheng Ma , Gyorgy Korniss , Boleslaw K. Szymanski , Jianxi Gao

Causal networks offer an intuitive framework to understand influence structures within time series systems. However, the presence of cycles can obscure dynamic relationships and hinder hierarchical analysis. These networks are typically…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-20 Cameron Cornell , Lewis Mitchell , Matthew Roughan

Network representation learning (NRL) aims to learn low-dimensional vectors for vertices in a network. Most existing NRL methods focus on learning representations from local context of vertices (such as their neighbors). Nevertheless,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-07-05 Cunchao Tu , Xiangkai Zeng , Hao Wang , Zhengyan Zhang , Zhiyuan Liu , Maosong Sun , Bo Zhang , Leyu Lin
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