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We propose a neural network model for contextual regression in which the regression model depends on contextual features that determine the active submodel and an algorithm to fit the model. The proposed simple contextual neural network…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 Seksan Kiatsupaibul , Pakawan Chansiripas

Incorporating nonlinearity is paramount to predicting the future states of a dynamical system, its response to shocks, and its underlying causal network. However, most existing methods for causality detection and impulse response, such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-08 Kurt Izak Cabanilla , Kevin Thomas Go

Optimal decision-making in social settings is often based on forecasts from time series (TS) data. Recently, several approaches using deep neural networks (DNNs) such as recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have been introduced for TS…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Philippe Chatigny , Jean-Marc Patenaude , Shengrui Wang

We propose a vector auto-regressive (VAR) model with a low-rank constraint on the transition matrix. This new model is well suited to predict high-dimensional series that are highly correlated, or that are driven by a small number of hidden…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-17 Pierre Alquier , Karine Bertin , Paul Doukhan , Rémy Garnier

Time series forecasting is extensively applied across diverse domains. Transformer-based models demonstrate significant potential in modeling cross-time and cross-variable interaction. However, we notice that the cross-variable correlation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Ao Hu , Dongkai Wang , Yong Dai , Shiyi Qi , Liangjian Wen , Jun Wang , Zhi Chen , Xun Zhou , Zenglin Xu , Jiang Duan

Spatial autoregressive model, introduced by Clif and Ord in 1970s has been widely applied in many areas of science and econometrics such as regional economics, public finance, political sciences, agricultural economics, environmental…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-14 Wenqian Wang , Beth Andrews

Over the past decade, Deep Convolutional Neural Networks (DCNNs) have shown remarkable performance in most computer vision tasks. These tasks traditionally use a fixed dataset, and the model, once trained, is deployed as is. Adding new…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-10 Deboleena Roy , Priyadarshini Panda , Kaushik Roy

Community detection is a fundamental and important issue in network science, but there are only a few community detection algorithms based on graph neural networks, among which unsupervised algorithms are almost blank. By fusing the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Chenyang Qiu , Zhaoci Huang , Wenzhe Xu , Huijia Li

In this work we present a novel recurrent neural network architecture designed to model systems characterized by multiple characteristic timescales in their dynamics. The proposed network is composed by several recurrent groups of neurons…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-01-19 Filippo Maria Bianchi , Michael Kampffmeyer , Enrico Maiorino , Robert Jenssen

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models have become a staple in the analysis of multivariate time series and are formulated in the time domain as difference equations, with an implied covariance structure. In many contexts, it is desirable to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-04 Scott H. Holan , Tucker S. McElroy , Guohui Wu

This work introduces a novel approach for the joint selection of model structure and parameter learning for nonlinear dynamical systems identification. Focusing on a specific Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) family, i.e., Nonlinear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-27 Corrado Sgadari , Alessio La Bella , Marcello Farina

This paper proposes a flexible framework for inferring large-scale time-varying and time-lagged correlation networks from multivariate or high-dimensional non-stationary time series with piecewise smooth trends. Built on a novel and unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

To have a superior generalization, a deep learning neural network often involves a large size of training sample. With increase of hidden layers in order to increase learning ability, neural network has potential degradation in accuracy.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-01 Lianfa Li , Ying Fang , Jun Wu , Jinfeng Wang

Network embedding has recently emerged as a promising technique to embed nodes of a network into low-dimensional vectors. While fairly successful, most existing works focus on the embedding techniques for static networks. But in practice,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Zenan Xu , Zijing Ou , Qinliang Su , Jianxing Yu , Xiaojun Quan , Zhenkun Lin

Chemical reaction networks are widely used to model stochastic dynamics in chemical kinetics, systems biology and epidemiology. Solving the chemical master equation that governs these systems poses a significant challenge due to the large…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-16 Jiayu Weng , Xinyi Zhu , Jing Liu , Linyuan Lü , Pan Zhang , Ying Tang

Most of the current complex networks that are of interest to practitioners possess a certain community structure that plays an important role in understanding the properties of these networks. Moreover, many machine learning algorithms and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Bogumił Kamiński , Paweł Prałat , François Théberge

Multiple-subject network data are fast emerging in recent years, where a separate connectivity matrix is measured over a common set of nodes for each individual subject, along with subject covariates information. In this article, we propose…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-23 Jingfei Zhang , Will Wei Sun , Lexin Li

We describe a novel method for modeling non-stationary multivariate time series, with time-varying conditional dependencies represented through dynamic networks. Our proposed approach combines traditional multi-scale modeling and network…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-25 Xinyu Kang , Apratim Ganguly , Eric D. Kolaczyk

Multivariate time series forecasting enables the prediction of future states by leveraging historical data, thereby facilitating decision-making processes. Each data node in a multivariate time series encompasses a sequence of multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Xinlong Zhao , Liying Zhang , Tianbo Zou , Yan Zhang

The regression of a functional response on a set of scalar predictors can be a challenging task, especially if there is a large number of predictors, or the relationship between those predictors and the response is nonlinear. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-24 Sidi Wu , Cédric Beaulac , Jiguo Cao