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Measles is a significant source of global disease burden and child mortality. Measles vaccination through routine immunization (RI) programs in high-burden settings remains a challenge due to poor health care infrastructure and access.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-20 Tracy Qi Dong , Jon Wakefield

This paper considers large-scale vaccination campaigns, a major platform for vaccine access in a lot of the world, as a recapture estimate of the target population marked by routine immunization. Framing the campaign as a measurement, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-18 Niket Thakkar

Many people living in low- and middle-income countries are not covered by civil registration and vital statistics systems. Consequently, a wide variety of other types of data, including many household sample surveys, are used to estimate…

It is becoming increasingly popular to produce high-resolution maps of vaccination coverage by fitting Bayesian geostatistical models to data from household surveys. Often, the surveys adopt a stratified cluster sampling design. We discuss…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-27 Tracy Qi Dong , Jon Wakefield

Immunization remains one of the most effective public health interventions, substantially reducing childhood morbidity and mortality worldwide. Yet, gender disparity and women's disempowerment continue to hinder access to vaccination…

The increasing availability of complex survey data, and the continued need for estimates of demographic and health indicators at a fine spatial and temporal scale, which leads to issues of data sparsity, has led to the need for…

While conducting probabilistic surveys is the gold standard for assessing vaccine coverage, implementing these surveys poses challenges for global health. There is a need for more convenient option that is more affordable and practical.…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-30 Nathaniel Dyrkton , Shomoita Alam , Susan Shepherd , Ibrahim Sana , Kevin Phelan , Jay JH Park

\textbf{Background} Measles has resurged globally in the post-pandemic period as routine immunisation recovery remains below the two-dose threshold required to interrupt transmission. Bangladesh, previously nearing measles--rubella…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Md. Kamrujjaman , Faizunnesa Khondaker , Alvi Ahmed Sarker , Nuzhat Nuari Khan Rivu

Inadequate dietary micronutrient intake is a significant risk factor for deficiency and remains a major global health challenge. Nutrition programmes and interventions are most effective when targeted to populations at greatest risk.…

The resurgence of measles is largely attributed to the decline in vaccine adoption and the increase in mobility. Although the vaccine for measles is readily available and highly successful, its current adoption is not adequate to prevent…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-26 Sheryl L. Chang , Mahendra Piraveenan , Mikhail Prokopenko

This paper develops mathematical tools to estimate seasonal changes in measles transmission rates and corresponding variation in population susceptibility. The tools are designed to leverage times series of cases in the absence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-17 Niket Thakkar , Sonia Jindal , Katherine Rosenfeld

Improvements to Zambia's malaria surveillance system allow better monitoring of incidence and targetting of responses at refined spatial scales. As transmission decreases, understanding heterogeneity in risk at fine spatial scales becomes…

Malaria is a mosquito-borne, lethal disease that affects millions and kills hundreds of thousands of people each year. In this paper, we develop a model for allocating malaria interventions across geographic regions and time, subject to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-28 Harry J. Dudley , Abhishek Goenka , Cesar J. Orellana , Susan E. Martonosi

We present a Monte Carlo simulation of the transmission of measles within a population sample during its growing and equilibrium states by introducing two different vaccination schedules of one and two doses. We study the effects of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Nouredine Zekri , Jean Pierre Clerc

Accurate estimates of subnational health and demographic indicators are critical for informing health policy decisions. Many countries collect relevant data using complex household surveys, but when data are limited, direct survey weighted…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

It has been recently discovered that the measles virus can wipe out the adaptive immune system, destroying B lymphocytes and reducing the diversity of non-specific B cells of the infected host. In particular, this implies that previously…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-07-15 Guillermo B. Morales , Miguel A. Muñoz

Estimates of national immunization coverage are crucial for guiding policy and decision-making in national immunization programs and setting the global immunization agenda. WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage (WUENIC)…

The rubeola virus, commonly known as measles, is one of the major causes of vaccine-preventable deaths among children worldwide. This is the case despite the fact that an effective vaccine is widely available. Even in developed countries…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-05 Elaine T. Alexander , Savanah D. McMahon , Nicholas Roberts , Emilio Sutti , Daniel Burkow , Miles Manning , Kamuela E. Yong , Sergei Suslov

Recently developed vaccines provide a new way of controlling rotavirus in sub-Saharan Africa. Models for the transmission dynamics of rotavirus are critical both for estimating current burden from imperfect surveillance and for assessing…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-09 Jaewoo Park , Joshua Goldstein , Murali Haran , Matthew Ferrari

Measles presents a unique and imminent challenge for epidemiologists and public health officials: the disease is highly contagious, yet vaccination rates are declining precipitously in many localities. Consequently, the risk of a measles…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-02 Daniel R. Kowal
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