English
Related papers

Related papers: Do not forget interaction: Predicting fatality of …

200 papers

We present an empirical algorithm to forecast the evolution of the number of COVID-19 symptomatic patients in the early stages of the pandemic spread and after strict social distancing interventions. The algorithm is based on a low…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-20 Luis Alvarez

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused devastating economic and social disruption, straining the resources of healthcare institutions worldwide. This has led to a nationwide call for models to predict hospitalization and severe illness in…

The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly increased the incidence of post-infection cardiovascular events, particularly myocardial infarction, in individuals over 40. While the underlying mechanisms remain elusive, this study employs a hybrid…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-28 Subhagata Chattopadhyay , Amit K Chattopadhyay

Covid-19 is raging a devastating trail with the highest mortality-to-infected ratio ever for a pandemic. Lack of vaccine and therapeutic has rendered social exclusion through lockdown as the singular mode of containment. Harnessing the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-14 Amit k Chattopadhyay , Debajyot Choudhury , Goutam Ghosh , Bidisha Kundu , Sujit Kumar Nath

The need to forecast COVID-19 related variables continues to be pressing as the epidemic unfolds. Different efforts have been made, with compartmental models in epidemiology and statistical models such as AutoRegressive Integrated Moving…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-07 Bahman Rostami-Tabar , Juan F. Rendon-Sanchez

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) has a profound impact on global health and economy, making it crucial to build accurate and interpretable data-driven predictive models for COVID-19 cases to improve policy making. The extremely large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Yangyi Zhang , Sui Tang , Guo Yu

As the COVID-19 ravaging through the globe, accurate forecasts of the disease spread is crucial for situational awareness, resource allocation, and public health decision-making. Alternative to the traditional disease surveillance data…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-04 Simin Ma , Shihao Yang

We propose a deterministic SAIVRD model and a stochastic SARV model of the epidemic COVID-19 involving asymptomatic infections and vaccinations to conduct data forecasts using time-dependent parameters. The forecast by our deterministic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-28 Bo-Sheng Chen , Zong-Ying Wu , Yen-Jia Chen , Jann-Long Chern

Intercity travel is one of the most important parameters for combating a pandemic. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in different computational studies involving intercity connections. In this study, the effects of intercity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-02-18 Emir Baysazan , A. Nihat Berker , Hasan Mandal , Hakan Kaygusuz

Long COVID is a general term of post-acute sequelae of COVID-19. Patients with long COVID can endure long-lasting symptoms including fatigue, headache, dyspnea and anosmia, etc. Identifying the cohorts with severe long-term complications in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-12 Degan Hao , Mohammadreza Negahdar

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic continues to pose significant challenges to global public health, despite the widespread availability of vaccines. Early detection of the disease remains paramount in curbing its transmission and mitigating its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Mohsen Asghari Ilani , Saba Moftakhar Tehran , Ashkan Kavei , Arian Radmehr

This study aims to determine the demographic, epidemiologic, and clinical characteristics of COVID-19 cases that are highly susceptible to COVID-19 infection, with longer hospitalization and at higher risk of mortality and to provide…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-08 Roel F. Ceballos

Disadvantaged groups around the world have suffered and endured higher mortality during the current COVID-19 pandemic. This contrast disparity suggests that socioeconomic and health-related factors may drive inequality in disease outcome.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Behzad Javaheri

Aplastic anemia is a rare, life-threatening hematologic disorder characterized by pancytopenia and bone marrow failure. ICU admission in these patients often signals critical complications or disease progression, making early risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Junyi Fan , Shuheng Chen , Li Sun , Yong Si , Elham Pishgar , Kamiar Alaei , Greg Placencia , Maryam Pishgar

An analytical study of the disease COVID-19 in Colombia was carried out using mathematical models such as Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed (SEIR), Logistic Regression (LR), and a machine learning method called Polynomial Regression…

The current outbreak of COVID-19 has called renewed attention to the need for sound statistical analysis for monitoring mortality patterns and trends over time. Excess mortality has been suggested as the most appropriate indicator to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-13 Patrizio Vanella , Ugofilippo Basellini , Berit Lange

During the first wave of COVID-19, hospitals were overwhelmed with the high number of admitted patients. An accurate prediction of the most likely individual disease progression can improve the planning of limited resources and finding the…

Accurate early prediction of in-hospital mortality in intensive care units (ICUs) is essential for timely clinical intervention and efficient resource allocation. This study develops and evaluates machine learning models that integrate both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Nursultan Mamatov , Philipp Kellmeyer

Causal inference from electronic health records (EHR) is fundamentally limited by unmeasured confounding: critical clinical states such as frailty, goals of care, and mental status are documented in free-text notes but absent from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Lei Liu , Jialin Chen , Kathy Macropol

This contribution analyzes the COVID-19 outbreak by comparably simple mathematical and numerical methods. The final goal is to predict the peak of the epidemic outbreak per country with a reliable technique. This is done by an algorithm…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-15 Robert Schaback