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With the prevailing efforts to combat the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, there are still uncertainties that are yet to be discovered about its spread, future impact, and resurgence. In this paper, we present a three-stage…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-19 Oluwaseun T. Ajayi , Yu Cheng

We present a machine learning pipeline and model that uses the entire uncurated EHR for prediction of in-hospital mortality at arbitrary time intervals, using all available chart, lab and output events, without the need for pre-processing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-18 Jacob Deasy , Pietro Liò , Ari Ercole

This article presents a new model to predict the evolution of infective diseases under uncertainty or low-quality information, just as it has happened in the initial scenario during the CoVid-19 spread in China and Europe. The model has…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-14 Efren M. Benavides

To better predict the dynamics of epidemics such as COVID-19, it is important not only to investigate the network of local and long-range contagious contacts but also to understand the temporal dynamics of infectiousness and detectable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Miguel A. Cajahuanca Ricaldi , Yaroslav Ispolatov

The COVID-19 pandemic is one of the most challenging healthcare crises during the 21st century. As the virus continues to spread on a global scale, the majority of efforts have been on the development of vaccines and the mass immunization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Meysam Effati , Yu-Chen Sun , Hani E. Naguib , Goldie Nejat

COVID-19 had a strong and disruptive impact on our society, and yet further analyses on most relevant factors explaining the spread of the pandemic are needed. Interdisciplinary studies linking epidemiological, mobility, environmental, and…

During an epidemic outbreak of a new disease, the probability of dying once infected is considered an important though difficult task to be computed. Since it is very hard to know the true number of infected people, the focus is placed on…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Agustín Alvarez , Marina Fragalá , Marina Valdora

While COVID-19 has resulted in a significant increase in global mortality rates, the impact of the pandemic on mortality from other causes remains uncertain. To gain insight into the broader effects of COVID-19 on various causes of death,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-05 Wei Zhang , Antonietta Mira , Ernst C. Wit

This work provides an overview on deterministic and stochastic models that have previously been proposed by us to study the transmission dynamics of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Europe and USA. Briefly, we describe realistic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-11 Giorgio Sonnino , Philippe Peeters , Pasquale Nardone

We developed MLHO (pronounced as melo), an end-to-end Machine Learning framework that leverages iterative feature and algorithm selection to predict Health Outcomes. MLHO implements iterative sequential representation mining, and feature…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-28 Hossein Estiri , Zachary H. Strasser , Shawn N. Murphy

Objective: Identifying patients at high risk of mortality is crucial for emergency physicians to allocate hospital resources effectively, particularly in regions with limited medical services. This need becomes even more pressing during…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-21 Mohammad Dehghani , Mohadeseh Zarei Ghobadi , Mobin Mohammadi , Diyana Tehrany Dehkordy

We propose a high dimensional Bayesian inference framework for learning heterogeneous dynamics of a COVID-19 model, with a specific application to the dynamics and severity of COVID-19 inside and outside long-term care (LTC) facilities. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-04 Peng Chen , Keyi Wu , Omar Ghattas

Long-term adherence to medication is a critical factor in preventing chronic diseases, such as cardiovascular disease. To address poor adherence, physicians may recommend adherence-improving interventions; however, such interventions are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Daniel Otero-Leon , Mariel Lavieri , Brian Denton , Jeremy Sussman , Rodney Hayward

Spatiotemporal modelling of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 involves using a variety of epidemiological metrics such as regional proportion of cases or regional positivity rates. Although observing their changes over time is critical…

Understanding how widely COVID-19 has spread is critical for examining the pandemic's progression. Despite efforts to carefully monitor the pandemic, the number of confirmed cases may underestimate the total number of infections. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-27 Christina Bohk-Ewald , Christian Dudel , Mikko Myrskylä

We provide a predictive analysis of the spread of COVID-19, also known as SARS-CoV-2, using the dataset made publicly available online by the Johns Hopkins University. Our main objective is to provide predictions of the number of infected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Alireza M. Javid , Xinyue Liang , Arun Venkitaraman , Saikat Chatterjee

Hospitalizations that follow closely on the heels of one or more emergency department visits are often symptoms of missed opportunities to form a proper diagnosis. These diagnostic errors imply a failure to recognize the need for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Dat Hong , Philip M. Polgreen , Alberto Maria Segre

COVID 19 is a disease that has abnormal over 170 nations worldwide. The number of infected people (either sick or dead) has been growing at a worrying ratio in virtually all the affected countries. Forecasting procedures can be instructed…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-20 Aseel Sameer Mohamed , Nooriya A. Mohammed

A reasonable prediction of infectious diseases transmission process under different disease control strategies is an important reference point for policy makers. Here we established a dynamic transmission model via Python and realized…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-23 Yuxuan Zhang , Chen Gong , Dawei Li , Zhi-Wei Wang , Shengda D Pu , Alex W Robertson , Hong Yu , John Parrington

Epidemiological models with constant parameters may not capture satisfactory infection patterns in the presence of pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical mitigation measures during a pandemic, since infectiousness is a function of time. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-16 K. D. Olumoyin , A. Q. M. Khaliq , K. M. Furati
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