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Early identification of intensive care patients at risk of in-hospital mortality enables timely intervention and efficient resource allocation. Despite high predictive performance, existing machine learning approaches lack transparency and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Alexander Bakumenko , Janine Hoelscher , Hudson Smith

Reliable short term forecasting can provide potentially lifesaving insights into logistical planning, and in particular, into the optimal allocation of resources such as hospital staff and equipment. By reinterpreting COVID-19 daily cases…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-06 Yi Liang , James Unwin

Heart disease remains the leading cause of death in the United States. Compared with risk assessment guidelines that require manual calculation of scores, machine learning-based prediction for disease outcomes such as mortality can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-13 Laura A. Barrett , Seyedeh Neelufar Payrovnaziri , Jiang Bian , Zhe He

The first cases of COVID-19 in France were detected on January 24, 2020. The number of screening tests carried out and the methodology used to target the patients tested do not allow for a direct computation of the real number of cases and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-15 Lionel Roques , Etienne Klein , Julien Papax , Antoine Sar , Samuel Soubeyrand

In this work, we study the pandemic course in the United States by considering national and state levels data. We propose and compare multiple time-series prediction techniques which incorporate auxiliary variables. One type of approach is…

The generalized logistic equation is used to interpret the COVID-19 epidemic data in several countries: Austria, Switzerland, the Netherlands, Italy, Turkey and South Korea. The model coefficients are calculated: the growth rate and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-03 Efim Pelinovsky , Andrey Kurkin , Oxana Kurkina , Maria Kokoulina , Anastasia Epifanova

A prompt severity assessment model of patients confirmed for having infectious diseases could enable efficient diagnosis while alleviating burden on the medical system. This study aims to develop a SARS-CoV-2 severity assessment model and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-18 Min Sue Park , Hyeontae Jo , Haeun Lee , Se Young Jung , Hyung Ju Hwang

Despite the widespread testing protocols for COVID-19, there are still significant challenges in early detection of the disease, which is crucial for preventing its spread and optimizing patient outcomes. Owing to the limited testing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Moyosolu Akinloye

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has exerted a profound impact on patients with end-stage renal disease relying on kidney dialysis to sustain their lives. Motivated by a request by the U.S. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-02 Wenbo Wu , John D. Kalbfleisch , Jeremy M. G. Taylor , Jian Kang , Kevin He

As the COVID-19 outbreak evolves, accurate forecasting continues to play an extremely important role in informing policy decisions. In this paper, we present our continuous curation of a large data repository containing COVID-19 information…

In a worldwide health crisis as exigent as COVID-19, there has become a pressing need for rapid, reliable diagnostics. Currently, popular testing methods such as reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) can have high false…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-15 Justin Liu

The COVID-19 pandemic has had far-reaching implications for global public health. As we continue to grapple with its consequences, it becomes increasingly clear that post-COVID-19 complications are a significant concern. Among these…

Forecasting new cases, hospitalizations, and disease-induced deaths is an important part of infectious disease surveillance and helps guide health officials in implementing effective countermeasures. For disease surveillance in the U.S.,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-22 Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Lucas Böttcher

Patients with severe Coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19) typically require supplemental oxygen as an essential treatment. We developed a machine learning algorithm, based on a deep Reinforcement Learning (RL), for continuous management of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Hua Zheng , Jiahao Zhu , Wei Xie , Judy Zhong

Background: Hypertensive kidney disease (HKD) patients in intensive care units (ICUs) face high short-term mortality, but tailored risk prediction tools are lacking. Early identification of high-risk individuals is crucial for clinical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-28 Yong Si , Junyi Fan , Li Sun , Shuheng Chen , Minoo Ahmadi , Elham Pishgar , Kamiar Alaei , Greg Placencia , Maryam Pishgar

This study develops a framework for quantification of the impact of changes in population mobility due to social distancing on the COVID-19 infection growth rate. Using the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemiological model we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-05 Benjamin Seibold , Zivjena Vucetic , Slobodan Vucetic

The last two centuries have seen a significant increase in life expectancy. Although past trends suggest that mortality will continue to decline in the future, uncertainty and instability about the development is greatly increased due to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-28 Asmik Nalmpatian , Christian Heumann , Stefan Pilz

As the COVID-19 spread over the globe and new variants of COVID-19 keep occurring, reliable real-time forecasts of COVID-19 hospitalizations are critical for public health decision on medical resources allocations such as ICU beds,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Tao Wang , Simin Ma , Soobin Baek , Shihao Yang

COVID 19 is an acute disease that started spreading throughout the world, beginning in December 2019. It has spread worldwide and has affected more than 7 million people, and 200 thousand people have died due to this infection as of Oct…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-04-26 Shradha Shinde , Jay Joshi , Sowmya Mareedu , Yeon Pyo Kim , Jongwook Woo

COVID-19 is a pandemic disease that began to rapidly spread in the US with the first case detected on January 19, 2020, in Washington State. March 9, 2020, and then increased rapidly with total cases of 25,739 as of April 20, 2020. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-30 Shashank Reddy Vadyala , Sai Nethra Betgeri , Eric A. Sherer , Amod Amritphale
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