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New generation electricity network called Smart Grid is a recently conceived vision for a cleaner, more efficient and cheaper electricity system. One of the major challenges of electricity network is that generation and consumption should…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-08-02 Lorant Kovacs , Rajmund Drenyovszki , Andras Olah , Janos Levendovszky , Kalman Tornai , Istvan Pinter

A critical aspect of power systems research is the availability of suitable data, access to which is limited by privacy concerns and the sensitive nature of energy infrastructure. This lack of data, in turn, hinders the development of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Minas Chatzos , Mathieu Tanneau , Pascal Van Hentenryck

In this paper we formulate an optimization approach to schedule electrical loads given a short term prediction of time-varying power production and the ability to store only a limited amount of electrical energy. The proposed approach is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Raymond A. de Callafon , Abdulelah H. Habib , Jan Kleissl

In this paper, we propose novel approaches using state-of-the-art machine learning techniques, aiming at predicting energy demand for electric vehicle (EV) networks. These methods can learn and find the correlation of complex hidden…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-04 Yuris Mulya Saputra , Dinh Thai Hoang , Diep N. Nguyen , Eryk Dutkiewicz , Markus Dominik Mueck , Srikathyayani Srikanteswara

Building heat electrification is central to economy-wide decarbonization efforts and directly affects energy infrastructure planning through increasing electricity demand and reducing the building sector's use of gas infrastructure that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Rahman Khorramfar , Morgan Santoni-Colvin , Saurabh Amin , Leslie K. Norford , Audun Botterud , Dharik Mallapragada

Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS) can provide constant, reliable electricity and heat with minimal emissions, but high drilling costs and uncertain cost reductions leave their future unclear. We explore scenarios for the future adoption of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-14 Lukas Franken , Elisabeth Zeyen , Orestis Angelidis , Tom Brown , Daniel Friedrich

We describe results on the creation and use of synthetic data that were derived in the context of a project to make synthetic extracts available for users of the UK Longitudinal Studies. A critical review of existing methods of inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-12 Gillian Raab , Beata Nowok , Chris Dibben

Ambient air pollution remains a critical issue in the United Kingdom, where data on air pollution concentrations form the foundation for interventions aimed at improving air quality. However, the current air pollution monitoring station…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-18 Liam J Berrisford , Lucy S Neal , Helen J Buttery , Benjamin R Evans , Ronaldo Menezes

High-resolution time series data are crucial for the operation and planning of energy systems such as electrical power systems and heating systems. Such data often cannot be shared due to privacy concerns, necessitating the use of synthetic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Nan Lin , Peter Palensky , Pedro P. Vergara

This paper introduces a generalised version of importance subsampling for time series reduction/aggregation in optimisation-based power system planning models. Recent studies indicate that reliably determining optimal electricity…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-26 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

Consumption-based carbon emission measures aim to account for emissions associated with power transmission from distant regions, as opposed to measures which only consider local power generation. Outlining key differences between two…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-10 Mirko Schäfer , Bo Tranberg , Dave Jones , Anke Weidlich

The majority of electric vehicles (EVs) are charged domestically overnight, where the precise timing of power allocation is not important to the user, thus representing a source of flexibility that can be leveraged by charging control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-09 Felix Wieberneit , Emanuele Crisostomi , Anthony Quinn , Robert Shorten

Energy-Based Models (EBMs) offer a versatile framework for modeling complex data distributions. However, training and sampling from EBMs continue to pose significant challenges. The widely-used Denoising Score Matching (DSM) method for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-20 Mingtian Zhang , Alex Hawkins-Hooker , Brooks Paige , David Barber

The collection of electrical consumption time series through smart meters grows with ambitious nationwide smart grid programs. This data is both highly sensitive and highly valuable: strong laws about personal data protect it while laws…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Antonin Voyez , Tristan Allard , Gildas Avoine , Pierre Cauchois , Elisa Fromont , Matthieu Simonin

The liberalization of electricity markets and the development of renewable energy sources has led to new challenges for decision makers. These challenges are accompanied by an increasing uncertainty about future electricity price movements.…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-12 Florian Ziel , Rick Steinert

Accurate short-term electricity price forecasting is crucial for strategically scheduling demand and generation bids in day-ahead markets. While data-driven techniques have shown considerable prowess in achieving high forecast accuracy in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Maria Margarida Mascarenhas , Jilles De Blauwe , Mikael Amelin , Hussain Kazmi

In the context of smart grids and load balancing, daily peak load forecasting has become a critical activity for stakeholders of the energy industry. An understanding of peak magnitude and timing is paramount for the implementation of smart…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Yvenn Amara-Ouali , Matteo Fasiolo , Yannig Goude , Hui Yan

The large variability of renewable power sources is a central challenge in the transition to a sustainable energy system. Electricity markets are central for the coordination of electric power generation. These markets rely evermore on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-07 Chengyuan Han , Hannes Hilger , Eva Mix , Philipp C. Böttcher , Mark Reyers , Christian Beck , Dirk Witthaut , Leonardo Rydin Gorjão

Policy targets are being set increasingly for social and economic variables in the UK. This approach requires that reasonably successful ex ante forecasts can be made. We propose a general methodology for assessing the extent to which this…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Paul Ormerod , Laurence Smith

We propose a new method to combine adaptive processes with a class of entropy estimators for the case of streams of data. Starting from a first estimation obtained from a batch of initial data, model parameters are estimated at each step by…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-15 Mario Angelelli , Enrico Ciavolino , Paola Pasca