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This paper derives analytic expressions for the expected value of sample information (EVSI), the expected value of distribution information (EVDI), and the optimal sample size when data consists of independent draws from a bounded sequence…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-13 Adam Fleischhacker , Pak-Wing Fok , Mokshay Madiman , Nan Wu

We propose a new forecasting method for predicting load demand and generation scheduling. Accurate week-long forecasting of load demand and optimal power generation is critical for efficient operation of power grid systems. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-10 Tong Ma , Renke Huang , David Barajas-Solano , Ramakrishna Tipireddy , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky

Recent studies concerning the point electricity price forecasting have shown evidence that the hourly German Intraday Continuous Market is weak-form efficient. Therefore, we take a novel, advanced approach to the problem. A probabilistic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-02 Michał Narajewski , Florian Ziel

India is expected to witness rapid growth in electricity use over the next two decades. Here, we introduce a custom regression model to project electricity consumption in India over the coming decades, which includes a bottom-up estimate of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-11 Marc Barbar , Dharik Mallapragada , Meia Alsup , Robert Stoner

In this paper, we present the Home Electricity Data Generator (HEDGE), an open-access tool for the random generation of realistic residential energy data. HEDGE generates realistic daily profiles of residential PV generation, household…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-04 Flora Charbonnier , Thomas Morstyn , Malcolm McCulloch

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian reverse unrestricted mixed-frequency model applied to a panel of nine European electricity markets. Our model analyzes the impact of daily fossil fuel prices and hourly renewable energy generation on…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-01 Francesco Ravazzolo , Luca Rossini , Andrea Viselli

This paper explores the impacts of decarbonisation of heat on demand and subsequently on the generation capacity required to secure against system adequacy standards. Gas demand is explored as a proxy variable for modelling the…

In order to foster renewable energy integration, improve power quality and reliability, and reduce hydrocarbon emissions, there is a strong need to deploy energy storage systems (ESSs), which can provide a control medium for peak hour…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Islam Safak Bayram , Mohamed Abdallah , Ali Tajer , Khalid Qaraqe

Building Information Modeling has been used to analyze as well as increase the energy efficiency of the buildings. It has shown significant promise in existing buildings by deconstruction and retrofitting. Current cities which were built…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Rucha Bhalchandra Joshi , Annada Prasad Behera , Subhankar Mishra

The rapid development of renewable energy in the energy Internet is expected to alleviate the increasingly severe power problem in data centers, such as the huge power costs and pollution. This paper focuses on the eco-friendly power cost…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Chunlei Sun , Xiangming Wen , Zhaoming Lu , Wenpeng Jing , Michele Zorzi

Extreme weather events during peak winter periods drive resource adequacy risk in Great Britain (GB), with weather sensitivity of the supply-demand balance increasing through additional electric heating and wind generation. This work…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-23 Aninda Bhattacharya , Chris J. Dent , Amy L. Wilson , Gabriele C. Hegerl

The increasing use of renewable energy sources with variable output, such as solar photovoltaic and wind power generation, calls for Smart Grids that effectively manage flexible loads and energy storage. The ability to forecast consumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-02 Andreas Veit , Christoph Goebel , Rohit Tidke , Christoph Doblander , Hans-Arno Jacobsen

Recent technological advances have greatly improved the performance and features of embedded systems. With the number of just mobile devices now reaching nearly equal to the population of earth, embedded systems have truly become…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2014-01-07 Sparsh Mittal

Achieving decarbonization across energy sectors requires demand-side transformation such as behavioural changes and end-use efficiency improvements to complement supply-side technological shifts. However, changing consumption patterns is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-07 Parisa Rahdan , Mirko Schäfer , Ana Belén Cristóbal López , Marta Victoria

Accurate estimation and forecasting of energy consumption are important for power-system operation, planning, and demand-side management. In practice, however, complete and timely measurements may not always be available, and the observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Ruoyu Hu , Dahai Yu , Feng Bao , Guang Wang , Guannan Zhang

Electric Vehicles (EVs) are emerging as battery energy storage systems (BESSs) of increasing importance for different power grid services. However, the unique characteristics of EVs makes them more difficult to operate than dedicated BESSs.…

Short-term forecasts of energy consumption are invaluable for the operation of energy systems, including low voltage electricity networks. However, network loads are challenging to predict when highly desegregated to small numbers of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-10 Ciaran Gilbert , Jethro Browell , Bruce Stephen

Electroencephalography (EEG) plays a significant role in the Brain Computer Interface (BCI) domain, due to its non-invasive nature, low cost, and ease of use, making it a highly desirable option for widespread adoption by the general…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-13 Giulio Tosato , Cesare M. Dalbagno , Francesco Fumagalli

Estimation of the generated power of renewable energy resources is in general important for planning operations as well as demand balance and power quality. This paper addresses the problem of the estimation of the short-term (3-hour ahead)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-20 L. A. Dao , L. Ferrarini , D. La Carrubba

The undergoing energy transition is causing behavioral changes in electricity use, e.g. with self-consumption of local generation, or flexibility services for demand control. To better understand these changes and the challenges they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Tahar Nabil , Ghislain Agoua , Pierre Cauchois , Anne De Moliner , Benoît Grossin
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