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Localised data aggregation in many countries including Great Britain (GB) is typically done to a geographical level with polygon boundaries that have a robust and trusted governance system in place. At a minimum this will mean there is…

The growing demand for electrified heating, electrified transportation, and power-intensive data centres challenge distribution networks. If electrification projects are carried out without considering electrical distribution…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-18 Yihong Zhou , Chaimaa Essayeh , Thomas Morstyn

To encourage and guide decarbonization efforts, better tools are needed to monitor real-time CO2 and criteria air pollutant emissions from electricity consumption, production, imports, and exports. Using real-time data from the electricity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-22 Jacques A de Chalendar , Sally M Benson

Currently the UK Electric market is guided by load (demand) forecasts published every thirty minutes by the regulator. A key factor in predicting demand is weather conditions, with forecasts published every hour. We present HYENA: a hybrid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Maria Eleni Athanasopoulou , Justina Deveikyte , Alan Mosca , Ilaria Peri , Alessandro Provetti

The demand for electricity is undergoing considerable spatial and temporal change. With the uptake of efficient technologies and increased electrification, a better understanding of how potential changes in demand patterns can affect…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-13 Conrad Zorn , Elco Koks , Sven Eggimann

This paper covers predicting high-resolution electricity peak demand features given lower-resolution data. This is a relevant setup as it answers whether limited higher-resolution monitoring helps to estimate future high-resolution peak…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Jonathan Berrisch , Michał Narajewski , Florian Ziel

Understanding electrical energy demand at the consumer level plays an important role in planning the distribution of electrical networks and offering of off-peak tariffs, but observing individual consumption patterns is still expensive. On…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-29 Gabriel Franco , Camila P. E. de Souza , Nancy L. Garcia

With the ongoing energy transition, power grids are evolving fast. They operate more and more often close to their technical limit, under more and more volatile conditions. Fast, essentially real-time computational approaches to evaluate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-30 Marc Gillioz , Guillaume Dubuis , Philippe Jacquod

Probabilistic forecasting of power consumption in a middle-term horizon (months to a year) is a main challenge in the energy sector. It plays a key role in planning future generation plants and transmission grid. We propose a new model that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-20 Roberto Baviera , Giuseppe Messuti

The decarbonisation of heat in developed economies represents a significant challenge, with increased penetration of electrical heating technologies potentially leading to unprecedented increases in peak electricity demand. This work…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-26 Matthew Deakin , Sarah Sheehy , David M. Greenwood , Sara Walker , Phil C. Taylor

The prediction of electrical power in combined cycle power plants is a key challenge in the electrical power and energy systems field. This power output can vary depending on environmental variables, such as temperature, pressure, and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-06 Jesus L. Lobo , Igor Ballesteros , Izaskun Oregi , Javier Del Ser

Energy system models are increasingly being used to explore scenarios with large shares of variable renewables. This requires input data of high spatial and temporal resolution and places a considerable preprocessing burden on the modeling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-04 Niclas Mattsson , Vilhelm Verendel , Fredrik Hedenus , Lina Reichenberg

Forecasting building energy consumption has become a promising solution in Building Energy Management Systems for energy saving and optimization. Furthermore, it can play an important role in the efficient management of the operation of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Mohamad Khalil , A. Stephen McGough , Hussain Kazmi , Sara Walker

The increasing importance of renewable energy, especially solar and wind power, has led to new forces in the formation of electricity prices. Hence, this paper introduces an econometric model for the hourly time series of electricity prices…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-02 Florian Ziel , Rick Steinert , Sven Husmann

Currently, gas furnaces are common heating systems in Europe. Due to the efforts for decarbonizing the complete energy sector, heat pumps should continuously replace existing gas furnaces. At the same time, the electrification of the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Daniel R. Bayer , Marco Pruckner

Forecasts of regional electricity net-demand, consumption minus embedded generation, are an essential input for reliable and economic power system operation, and energy trading. While such forecasts are typically performed region by region,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-18 V. Gioia , M. Fasiolo , J. Browell , R. Bellio

The use of wind and solar generation is fundamental to the decarbonisation of the United Kingdom electricity system. However, the optimal level of renewable energy as a proportion of total demand is still being debated. In this paper,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-25 Anthony D Stephens , David R Walwyn

Electricity accounts for 25% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Reducing emissions related to electricity consumption requires accurate measurements readily available to consumers, regulators and investors. In this case study, we propose a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-11 Bo Tranberg , Olivier Corradi , Bruno Lajoie , Thomas Gibon , Iain Staffell , Gorm Bruun Andresen

Integration of electronics-based residential appliances and distributed energy resources in homes is expected to rise with grid decarbonization. These devices may introduce significant harmonics into power networks that need to be closely…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-08 Ankit Singhal , Dexin Wang , Andrew P. Reiman , Yuan Liu , Donald J. Hammerstrom , Soumya Kundu

Recent studies indicate that the effects of inter-annual climate-based variability in power system planning are significant and that long samples of demand & weather data (spanning multiple decades) should be considered. At the same time,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-30 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy
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