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The Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, caused by the virus severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), has impacted over 200 countries leading to hospitalizations and deaths of millions of people. Public health…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Shreyasvi Natraj , Malhar Bhide , Nathan Yap , Meng Liu , Agrima Seth , Jonathan Berman , Christin Glorioso

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic radically impacts our lives, while the transmission/infection and recovery dynamics of COVID-19 remain obscure. A time-dependent Susceptible, Exposed, Infectious, and Recovered (SEIR) model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-01 Yong Zhang , Xiangnan Yu , HongGuang Sun , Geoffrey R. Tick , Wei Wei , Bin Jin

This work constructs, analyzes, and simulates a new compartmental SEIR-type model for the dynamics and potential control of the current COVID-19 pandemic. The novelty in this work is two-fold. First, the population is divided according to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-14 Aycil Cesmelioglu , Kenneth L. Kuttler , Meir Shillor , Anna M. Spagnuolo

Phenomenological and deterministic models are often used for the estimation of transmission parameters in an epidemic and for the prediction of its growth trajectory. Such analyses are usually based on single peak outbreak dynamics. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-20 D. P. Mahapatra , S. Triambak

The COVID-19 pandemic has been a great catastrophe that upended human lives and caused millions of deaths all over the world. The rapid spread of the virus, with its early-stage exponential growth and subsequent 'waves', caught many medical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-31 Anne V. Ginzburg , Valeriy V. Ginzburg , Julia O. Ginzburg , Ana Garcia Arias , Leela Rakesh

Over the past two decades there has been a number of global outbreaks of viral diseases. This has accelerated the efforts to model and forecast the disease spreading, in order to find ways to confine the spreading regionally and between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-22 Rafael A. Barrio , Kimmo K. Kaski , Gudmundur G. Haraldsson , Thor Aspelund , Tzipe Govezensky

The 2019 Novel Corona virus infection (COVID 19) is an ongoing public health emergency of international focus. Significant gaps persist in our knowledge of COVID 19 epidemiology, transmission dynamics, investigation tools and management,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-01 Anca Radulescu , Cassandra Williams , Kieran Cavanagh

Recent outbreak of the novel coronavirus COVID-19 has affected all of our lives in one way or the other. While medical researchers are working hard to find a cure and doctors/nurses to attend the affected individuals, measures such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-23 Arkaprava Roy , Sayar Karmakar

The effective control of the COVID-19 pandemic is one the most challenging issues of nowadays. The design of optimal control policies is perplexed from a variety of social, political, economical and epidemiological factors. Here, based on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-03-16 Antonis Armaou , Bryce Katch , Lucia Russo , Constantinos Siettos

An outbreak of respiratory disease caused by a novel coronavirus is ongoing from December 2019. As of July 22, 2020, it has caused an epidemic outbreak with more than 15 million confirmed infections and above 6 hundred thousand reported…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-21 Sk Shahid Nadim , Indrajit Ghosh , Joydev Chattopadhyay

The COVID-19 crisis has shown that we can only prevent the risk of mass contagion through timely, large-scale, coordinated, and decisive actions. However, frequently the models used by experts [from whom decision-makers get their main…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-08 Mauricio Herrera

This paper presents a critical analysis of the literature and perspective research ideas for modeling the epidemics caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. It goes beyond deterministic population dynamics to consider several key complexity features…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-24 Giulia Bertaglia , Andrea Bondesan , Diletta Burini , Raluca Eftimie , Lorenzo Pareschi , Giuseppe Toscani

The main focus of this chapter is on public health control strategies which are currently the main way to mitigate COVID-19 pandemic. We introduce and compare compartmental models of increasing complexity for COVID-19 transmission to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-14 Redouane Qesmi , Aayah Hammoumi

The world is still fighting against COVID-19, which has been lasting for more than a year. Till date, it has been a greatest challenge to human beings in fighting against COVID-19 since, the pathogen SARS-COV-2 that causes COVID-19 has…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-17 P. Tamilalagan , B. Krithika , P. Manivannan

COVID-19 has resulted in a public health global crisis. The pandemic control necessitates epidemic models that capture the trends and impacts on infectious individuals. Many exciting models can implement this but they lack practical…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Ou Deng , Kiichi Tago , Qun Jin

The outbreak of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has been continuously affecting human lives and communities around the world in many ways, from cities…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-24 Ashkan Ebadi , Pengcheng Xi , Stéphane Tremblay , Bruce Spencer , Raman Pall , Alexander Wong

Epidemiological simulations as a method are used to better understand and predict the spreading of infectious diseases, for example of COVID-19. This paper presents an approach that combines person-centric data-driven human mobility…

Epidemic modeling is an essential tool to understand the spread of the novel coronavirus and ultimately assist in disease prevention, policymaking, and resource allocation. In this article, we establish a state of the art interface between…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-17 Li Wang , Guannan Wang , Lei Gao , Xinyi Li , Shan Yu , Myungjin Kim , Yueying Wang , Zhiling Gu

The COVID-19 pandemic left its unique mark on the 21st century as one of the most significant disasters in history, triggering governments all over the world to respond with a wide range of interventions. However, these restrictions come…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Assem Zhunis , Tung-Duong Mai , Sundong Kim

In this work, we adapt the epidemiological SIR model to study the evolution of the dissemination of COVID-19 in Germany and Brazil (nationally, in the State of Paraiba, and in the City of Campina Grande). We prove the well posedness and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-20 Adriano A. Batista , Severino Horácio da Silva