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In the context of smart grids and load balancing, daily peak load forecasting has become a critical activity for stakeholders of the energy industry. An understanding of peak magnitude and timing is paramount for the implementation of smart…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Yvenn Amara-Ouali , Matteo Fasiolo , Yannig Goude , Hui Yan

We consider an increasingly popular demand-response scenario where a user schedules the flexible electric vehicle (EV) charging load in response to real-time electricity prices. The objective is to minimize the total charging cost with user…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-20 Hanling Yi , Qiulin Lin , Minghua Chen

The flexibility in electricity consumption and production in communities of residential buildings, including those with renewable energy sources and energy storage (a.k.a., prosumers), can effectively be utilized through the advancement of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Aleksei Kychkin , Georgios C. Chasparis

As the popularity of electric vehicles increases, the demand for more power can increase more rapidly than our ability to install additional generating capacity. In the long term we expect that the supply and demand will become balanced.…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Yingjie Zhou , Nicholas Maxemchuk , Xiangying Qian , Chen Wang

With the rapid acceleration of transportation electrification, public charging stations are becoming vital infrastructure in a smart sustainable city to provide on-demand electric vehicle (EV) charging services. As more consumers seek to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-04-28 Roozbeh Bostandoost , Bo Sun , Carlee Joe-Wong , Mohammad Hajiesmaili

We formulate optimization problems to study how data centers might modulate their power demands for cost-effective operation taking into account three key complex features exhibited by real-world electricity pricing schemes: (i)…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-09-05 Cheng Wang , Bhuvan Urgaonkar , Qian Wang , George Kesidis , Anand Sivasubramaniam

Transmission system operators have a growing need for more accurate forecasting of electricity demand. Current electricity systems largely require demand forecasting so that the electricity market establishes electricity prices as well as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Oscar Trull , J. Carlos García-Díaz , Angel Peiró-Signes

Electrified heating systems with thermal storage, such as electric boilers and heat pumps, represent a major source of demand-side flexibility. Under current electricity market designs, balance responsible parties (BRPs) operating such…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-20 Alessandro Quattrociocchi , Manisha Talukdar , Pere Izquierdo Gómez , Tomislav Dragicevic

Probabilistic forecasting, i.e. estimating the probability distribution of a time series' future given its past, is a key enabler for optimizing business processes. In retail businesses, for example, forecasting demand is crucial for having…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-25 David Salinas , Valentin Flunkert , Jan Gasthaus

This article presents a novel hybrid approach using statistics and machine learning to forecast the national demand of electricity. As investment and operation of future energy systems require long-term electricity demand forecasts with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Tatiana Gonzalez Grandon , Johannes Schwenzer , Thomas Steens , Julia Breuing

The increasing penetration of intermittent renewables, storage devices, and flexible loads is introducing operational challenges in distribution grids. The proper coordination and scheduling of these resources using a distributed approach…

In two-stage electricity markets, renewable power producers enter the day-ahead market with a forecast of future power generation and then reconcile any forecast deviation in the real-time market at a penalty. The choice of the forecast…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-15 Vladimir Dvorkin

We consider the problem of optimal bidding for virtual trading in two-settlement electricity markets. A virtual trader aims to arbitrage on the differences between day-ahead and real-time market prices; both prices, however, are random and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-08-02 Sevi Baltaoglu , Lang Tong , Qing Zhao

Quantifying the uncertainty of forecasting models is essential to assess and mitigate the risks associated with data-driven decisions, especially in volatile domains such as electricity markets. Machine learning methods can provide highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Arkadiusz Lipiecki , Bartosz Uniejewski

Coordination of distributed energy resources is critical for electricity grid management. Although nodal pricing schemes can mitigate congestion and voltage deviations, the resulting prices are not necessarily equitable. In this work, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-15 Emmanuel Balogun , Sonia Martin , Anthony Degleris , Ram Rajagopal

Due to the liberalization of markets, the change in the energy mix and the surrounding energy laws, electricity research is a dynamically altering field with steadily changing challenges. One challenge especially for investment decisions is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-27 Rick Steinert , Florian Ziel

Probabilistic electricity price forecasting (PEPF) is vital for short-term electricity markets, yet the multivariate nature of day-ahead prices - spanning 24 consecutive hours - remains underexplored. At the same time, real-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Simon Hirsch

This study delves into the shift from centralized to decentralized approaches in the electricity industry, with a particular focus on how machine learning (ML) advancements play a crucial role in empowering renewable energy sources and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Mohammad Mohammadi , Ali Mohammadi

We investigate the problem of allocating energy from renewable sources to flexible consumers in electricity markets. We assume there is a renewable energy supplier that provides energy according to a time-varying (and possibly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-06-25 Michael J. Neely , Arash Saber Tehrani , Alexandros G. Dimakis

This paper presents issues regarding short term electric load forecasting using feedforward and Elman recurrent neural networks. The study cases were developed using measured data representing electrical energy consume from Banat area.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-04-19 Cristian Vasar , Iosif Szeidert , Ioan Filip , Gabriela Prostean