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This paper presents some considerations regarding the prediction of the electrical energy consumption. It is well known that the central element of a microeconomic analysis is represented by the economical agents actions, actions that…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-03-28 Cristian Vasar , Octavian Prostean , Ioan Filip , Iosif Szeidert

Electricity demand forecasting is key to ensuring that supply meets demand lest the grid would blackout. Reliable short-term forecasts may be obtained by combining a Generalized Additive Models (GAM) with a State-Space model (Obst et al.,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-01 Keshav Das , Julie Keisler , Margaux Brégère , Amaury Durand

The increasing penetration of Electric Vehicles (EVs) and renewable energies into the grid necessitates tools to smooth the demand curve. To this end, this paper suggests an EV charging scheduling algorithm and a smart charging price. As…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-04-26 Benoît Sohet , Yezekael Hayel , Olivier Beaude , Jean-Baptiste Bréal , Alban Jeandin

The mushrooming of distributed energy resources turns end-users from passive price-takers to active market participants. To manage those massive proactive end-users efficiently, virtual power plant (VPP) as an innovative concept emerges. It…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-15 Yue Chen , Tongxin Li , Changhong Zhao , Wei Wei

A study on power market price forecasting by deep learning is presented. As one of the most successful deep learning frameworks, the LSTM (Long short-term memory) neural network is utilized. The hourly prices data from the New England and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-24 Yongli Zhu , Songtao Lu , Renchang Dai , Guangyi Liu , Zhiwei Wang

Load-serving entities which procure electricity from the wholesale electricity market to service end-users face significant quantity and price risks due to the volatile nature of electricity demand and quasi-fixed residential tariffs at…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-03-21 Datong P. Zhou , Munther A. Dahleh , Claire J. Tomlin

The integration of renewable generation poses operational and economic challenges for the electricity grid. For the core problem of power balance, the legacy paradigm of tailoring supply to follow random demand may be inappropriate under…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-09-25 Ashutosh Nayyar , Matias Negrete-Pincetic , Kameshwar Poolla , Pravin Varaiya

The problem of dynamic pricing of electricity in a retail market is considered. A Stackelberg game is used to model interactions between a retailer and its customers; the retailer sets the day-ahead hourly price of electricity and consumers…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Liyan Jia , Lang Tong

This paper addresses the mid-term electricity load forecasting problem. Solving this problem is necessary for power system operation and planning as well as for negotiating forward contracts in deregulated energy markets. We show that our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Boris N. Oreshkin , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka , Ekaterina Turkina

Forecasting imbalance prices is essential for strategic participation in the short-term energy markets. A novel two-step probabilistic approach is proposed, with a particular focus on the Belgian case. The first step consists of computing…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-15 Jonathan Dumas , Ioannis Boukas , Miguel Manuel de Villena , Sébastien Mathieu , Bertrand Cornélusse

With the increasing penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) into the automotive market, the electricity peak demand would increase significantly due to home-EV-charging. This paper tackles this problem by defining an 'ideal' EV consumption…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-20 Qun Zhang , Gururaghav Raman , Jimmy Chih-Hsien Peng

Assessing the effects of the energy transition and liberalization of energy markets on resource adequacy is an increasingly important and demanding task. The rising complexity in energy systems requires adequate methods for energy system…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Jan Priesmann , Justin Münch , Elias Ridha , Thomas Spiegel , Marius Reich , Mario Adam , Lars Nolting , Aaron Praktiknjo

As electricity consumption grows, reducing peak demand--the maximum load on the grid--has become critical for preventing infrastructure strain and blackouts. Pricing mechanisms that incentivize consumers with flexible loads to shift…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Vade Shah , Jason R. Marden

Electricity price forecasting supports decision-making in energy markets and asset operation. Probabilistic forecasts are increasingly adopted to explicitly quantify uncertainty, typically issued as quantile predictions or ensembles of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-22 Simon Hirsch , Florian Ziel

High performance grid computing is a key enabler of large scale collaborative computational science. With the promise of exascale computing, high performance grid systems are expected to incur electricity bills that grow super-linearly over…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2018-01-01 Prakash Murali , Sathish Vadhiyar

Accurate electricity price forecasting is the main management goal for market participants since it represents the fundamental basis to maximize the profits for market players. However, electricity is a non-storable commodity and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-21 Souhir Ben Amor , Heni Boubaker , Lotfi Belkacem

Electricity price forecasts play a crucial role in making key business decisions within the electricity markets. A focal point in this domain are probabilistic predictions, which delineate future price values in a more comprehensive manner…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Grzegorz Zakrzewski , Kacper Skonieczka , Mikołaj Małkiński , Jacek Mańdziuk

The growing reliance on renewable energy sources, particularly solar and wind, has introduced challenges due to their uncontrollable production. This complicates maintaining the electrical grid balance, prompting some transmission system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-18 Fabio Pavirani , Jonas Van Gompel , Seyed Soroush Karimi Madahi , Bert Claessens , Chris Develder

Electricity prices in liberalized markets are determined by the supply and demand for electric power, which are in turn driven by various external influences that vary strongly in time. In perfect competition, the merit order principle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-12 Julius Trebbien , Leonardo Rydin Gorjão , Aaron Praktiknjo , Benjamin Schäfer , Dirk Witthaut

Electricity price prediction plays a vital role in energy storage system (ESS) management. Current prediction models focus on reducing prediction errors but overlook their impact on downstream decision-making. So this paper proposes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Linwei Sang , Yinliang Xu , Huan Long , Qinran Hu , Hongbin Sun