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We consider the problem of demand-side energy management, where each household is equipped with a smart meter that is able to schedule home appliances online. The goal is to minimize the overall cost under a real-time pricing scheme. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-24 Joash Lee , Wenbo Wang , Dusit Niyato

Estimation of the generated power of renewable energy resources is in general important for planning operations as well as demand balance and power quality. This paper addresses the problem of the estimation of the short-term (3-hour ahead)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-20 L. A. Dao , L. Ferrarini , D. La Carrubba

Demand response (DR), as one of the important energy resources in the future's grid, provides the services of peak shaving, enhancing the efficiency of renewable energy utilization with a short response period, and low cost. Various…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-10 Kuan-Cheng Lee , Hong-Tzer Yang , Wenjun Tang

Energy market rules should incentivize market participants to behave in a market and grid conform way. However, they can also provide incentives for undesired and unexpected strategies if the market design is flawed. Multi-agent…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-02 Thomas Wolgast , Astrid Nieße

The growing importance of intraday electricity trading in Europe calls for improved price forecasting and tailored decision-support tools. In this paper, we propose a novel generative neural network model to generate probabilistic path…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-03 Jieyu Chen , Sebastian Lerch , Melanie Schienle , Tomasz Serafin , Rafał Weron

There is an intrinsic value in higher integration of multi-carrier energy systems (especially gas and electricity), to increase operational flexibility in the electricity system and to improve allocation of resources in gas and electricity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Shahab Shariat Torbaghan , Mehdi Madani , Peter Sels , Ana Virag , Hélène Le Cadre , Kris Kessels , Yuting Mou

Online decision-making in the presence of uncertain future information is abundant in many problem domains. In the critical problem of energy generation scheduling for microgrids, one needs to decide when to switch energy supply between a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-20 Ali Menati , Sid Chi-Kin Chau , Minghua Chen

Daily electricity consumption forecasting is a classical problem. Existing forecasting algorithms tend to have decreased accuracy on special dates like holidays. This study decomposes the daily electricity consumption series into three…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Zhou Lan , Ben Liu , Yi Feng , Danhuang Dong , Peng Zhang

Our paper aims to model supply and demand curves of electricity day-ahead auction in a parsimonious way. Our main task is to build an appropriate algorithm to present the information about electricity prices and demands with far less…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-04 Mariia Soloviova , Tiziano Vargiolu

Price-based demand response (DR) of heating, ventilating, and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems is a challenging task, requiring comprehensive models to represent the building thermal dynamics and game theoretic interactions among…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-15 Youngjin Kim

The availability of historical data related to electricity day-ahead prices and to the underlying price formation process is limited. In addition, the electricity market in Europe is facing a rapid transformation, which limits the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-27 Raffaele Sgarlato

We consider the process of bidding by electricity suppliers in a day-ahead market context where each supplier bids a linear non-decreasing function of her generating capacity with the goal of maximizing her individual profit given other…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-16 Ruidi Chen , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis , Michael C. Caramanis , Panagiotis Andrianesis

We propose a multi-factor polynomial framework to model and hedge long-term electricity contracts with delivery period. This framework has several advantages: the computation of forwards, risk premium and correlation between different…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-11 Xi Kleisinger-Yu , Vlatka Komaric , Martin Larsson , Markus Regez

The intraday (ID) electricity market has received an increasing attention in the recent EU electricity-market discussions. This is partly because the uncertainty in the underlying power system is growing and the ID market provides an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-14 Saeed Mohammadi , Mohammad Reza Hesamzadeh

The recent research report of U.S. Department of Energy prompts us to re-examine the pricing theories applied in electricity market design. The theory of spot pricing is the basis of electricity market design in many countries, but it has…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-10-24 Haoyong Chen , Lijia Han

The conventional practice of retail electric utilities is to aggregate customers geographically. The utility purchases electricity for its customers via bulk transactions on the wholesale market, and it passes these costs along to its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-08 Siddharth Patel , Raffi Sevlian , Baosen Zhang , Ram Rajagopal

The article describes the algorithm used to define the electricity price in day-ahead and itraday energy markets in Italy. Details of Matlab implementation of one of its simplified versions, capable of producing good results in a extremely…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-30 Matteo Gardini , Marco Diana

Energy imbalance reserve (EIR) product is introduced into the Independent System Operator (ISO) of New England's day-ahead wholesale electricity market to provide a better fuel procurement incentive for generating resources. Different from…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-07 Ryan Ent , Golbon Zakeri , Tongxin Zheng , Jinye Zhao

An effective way to oppose global warming and mitigate climate change is to electrify our energy sectors and supply their electric power from renewable wind and solar. Spatio-temporal predictions of electric load become increasingly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Arsam Aryandoust , Anthony Patt , Stefan Pfenninger

We propose a new forward electricity market framework that admits heterogeneous market participants with second-order cone strategy sets, who accurately express the nonlinearities in their costs and constraints through conic bids, and a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-12-20 Anubhav Ratha , Pierre Pinson , Hélène Le Cadre , Ana Virag , Jalal Kazempour
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