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Gravitational-wave astronomy has entered a regime where it can extract information about the population properties of the observed binary black holes. The steep increase in the number of detections will offer deeper insights, but it will…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-01-15 Stefano Rinaldi , Alexandre Toubiana , Jonathan R. Gair

A nonparametric procedure for robust regression estimation and for quantile regression is proposed which is completely data-driven and adapts locally to the regularity of the regression function. This is achieved by considering in each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-06 Markus Reiss , Yves Rozenholc , Charles-Andre Cuenod

The paper develops new methods of non-parametric estimation a compound Poisson distribution. Such a problem arise, in particular, in the inference of a Levy process recorded at equidistant time intervals. Our key estimator is based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-19 Alexey Lindo , Sergei Zuyev , Serik Sagitov

Motivated by applications in statistics and machine learning, we consider a problem of unmixing convex combinations of nonparametric densities. Suppose we observe $n$ groups of samples, where the $i$th group consists of $N_i$ independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Jianqing Fan , Zheng Tracy Ke , Zhaoyang Shi

We propose methodology for statistical inference for low-dimensional parameters of sparse precision matrices in a high-dimensional setting. Our method leads to a non-sparse estimator of the precision matrix whose entries have a Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-13 Jana Jankova , Sara van de Geer

6D pose confidence region estimation has emerged as a critical direction, aiming to perform uncertainty quantification for assessing the reliability of estimated poses. However, current sampling-based approach suffers from critical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Jinghao Wang , Zhang Li , Zi Wang , Banglei Guan , Yang Shang , Qifeng Yu

We study the problem of estimating finite sample confidence intervals of the mean of a normal population under the constraint of differential privacy. We consider both the known and unknown variance cases and construct differentially…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-11-13 Vishesh Karwa , Salil Vadhan

Statistical inference more often than not involves models which are non-linear in the parameters thus leading to non-Gaussian posteriors. Many computational and analytical tools exist that can deal with non-Gaussian distributions, and…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-01-20 Eileen Giesel , Robert Reischke , Björn Malte Schäfer , Dominic Chia

While fiducial inference was widely considered a big blunder by R.A. Fisher, the goal he initially set --`inferring the uncertainty of model parameters on the basis of observations' -- has been continually pursued by many statisticians. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-01 Faming Liang , Sehwan Kim , Yan Sun

In this paper, we argue for the utility of deterministic inference in the classical problem of numerical linear algebra, that of solving a linear system. We show how the Gaussian belief propagation solver, known to work for symmetric…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Vladimir Fanaskov

We discuss non-parametric density estimation and regression for astrophysics problems. In particular, we show how to compute non-parametric confidence intervals for the location and size of peaks of a function. We illustrate these ideas…

We consider the problem of estimating a density $f_X$ using a sample $Y_1,...,Y_n$ from $f_Y=f_X\star f_{\epsilon}$, where $f_{\epsilon}$ is an unknown density. We assume that an additional sample $\epsilon_1,...,\epsilon_m$ from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-21 Jan Johannes

The concept of fiducial inference was introduced by R. A. Fisher in the 1930s to address the perceived limitations of Bayesian inference, particularly the need for subjective prior distributions in cases with limited prior information.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-30 Wei Du , Jan Hannig , Thomas C. M. Lee , Yi Su , Chunzhe Zhang

We study the convergence rates of empirical Bayes posterior distributions for nonparametric and high-dimensional inference. We show that as long as the hyperparameter set is discrete, the empirical Bayes posterior distribution induced by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Fengshuo Zhang , Chao Gao

We study the recovery of the distribution function $F_X$ of a random variable $X$ that is subject to an independent additive random error $\varepsilon$. To be precise, it is assumed that the target variable $X$ is available only in the form…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-31 Henrik Kaiser

R. A. Fisher introduced the fiducial distribution as a potential replacement for the Bayesian posterior distribution in the 1930s. During the past century, fiducial approaches have been explored in various parametric and nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Yifan Cui , Jan Hannig , Paul Edlefsen

A general inversion technique for the recovery of the underlying distribution function for observed galactic disks is presented and illustrated. Under the assumption that these disks are axi-symmetric and thin, the proposed method yields…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-09-25 C. Pichon , E. Thiebaut

This paper introduces to readers the new concept and methodology of confidence distribution and the modern-day distributional inference in statistics. This discussion should be of interest to people who would like to go into the depth of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-07 Yifan Cui , Min-ge Xie

In this paper we offer a unified approach to the problem of nonparametric regression on the unit interval. It is based on a universal, honest and non-asymptotic confidence region which is defined by a set of linear inequalities involving…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-06 P. L. Davies , A. Kovac , M. Meise

Diffusion models have recently shown considerable potential in solving Bayesian inverse problems when used as priors. However, sampling from the resulting denoising posterior distributions remains a challenge as it involves intractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-25 Badr Moufad , Yazid Janati , Lisa Bedin , Alain Durmus , Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson