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The task of statistical inference, which includes the building of confidence intervals and tests for parameters and effects of interest to a researcher, is still an open area of investigation in a differentially private (DP) setting.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-17 Ogonnaya Michael Romanus , Younes Boulaguiem , Roberto Molinari

A new multifidelity method is developed for nonlinear orbit uncertainty propagation. This approach guarantees improved computational efficiency and limited accuracy losses compared to fully high-fidelity counterparts. The initial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Alberto Fossà , Roberto Armellin , Emmanuel Delande , Matteo Losacco , Francesco Sanfedino

An established and growing literature on generalized fiducial inference and related fiducial ideas points to the adoption of fiducial inference as a mainstream perspective among modern statisticians. Like Bayesian posteriors, generalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-03 J. E. Borgert , Jan Hannig

The notion of confidence distributions is applied to inference about the parameter in a simple autoregressive model, allowing the parameter to take the value one. This makes it possible to compare to asymptotic approximations in both the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-28 Rolf Larsson

Inference for GP models with non-Gaussian noises is computationally expensive when dealing with large datasets. Many recent inference methods approximate the posterior distribution with a simpler distribution defined on a small number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Linfeng Liu , Liping Liu

We study a new parametric approach for hidden discrete-time diffusion models. This method is based on contrast minimization and deconvolution and leads to estimate a large class of stochastic models with nonlinear drift and nonlinear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-01 Salima El Kolei , Florian Pelgrin

The subject of this paper is the problem of nonparametric estimation of a continuous distribution function from observations with measurement errors. We study minimax complexity of this problem when unknown distribution has a density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-27 I. Dattner , A. Goldenshluger , A. Juditsky

Deconvolution is a statistical inverse problem to estimate the distribution of a random variable based on its noisy observations. Despite the extensive studies on the topic, deconvolution with unknown noise distribution remains as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-06 Devavrat Shah , Dogyoon Song

Stationary Random Functions have been successfully applied in geostatistical applications for decades. In some instances, the assumption of a homogeneous spatial dependence structure across the entire domain of interest is unrealistic. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-04 Francky Fouedjio , Nicolas Desassis , Thomas Romary

In the past two decades, there has been a fast-growing literature on fiducial inference since it was first proposed by R. A. Fisher in the 1930s. However, most of the fiducial inference based methods and related approaches have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Yifan Cui , Jan Hannig

Generalized Fiducial Inference (GFI) is motivated by R.A. Fisher's approach of obtaining posterior-like distributions when there is no prior information available for the unknown parameter. Without the use of Bayes' theorem GFI proposes a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-26 Abhishek Pal Majumder , Jan Hannig

Fiducial inference was introduced in the first half of the 20th century by Fisher (1935) as a means to get a posterior-like distribution for a parameter without having to arbitrarily define a prior. While the method originally fell out of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-01 Alexander C. Murph , Jan Hannig , Jonathan P. Williams

We study the question of extracting a sequence of functions $\{\boldsymbol{f}_i, \boldsymbol{g}_i\}_{i=1}^s$ from observing only the sum of their convolutions, i.e., from $\boldsymbol{y} = \sum_{i=1}^s \boldsymbol{f}_i\ast…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-11-29 Shuyang Ling , Thomas Strohmer

We consider the problem of statistical inference on parameters of a target population when auxiliary observations are available from related populations. We propose a flexible empirical Bayes approach that can be applied on top of any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-15 Michael Law , Peter Bühlmann , Ya'acov Ritov

Stein's (1959) problem highlights the phenomenon called the probability dilution in high dimensional cases, which is known as a fundamental deficiency in probabilistic inference. The satellite conjunction problem also suffers from…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Hangbin Lee , Youngjo Lee

We generalize the well-known mixtures of Gaussians approach to density estimation and the accompanying Expectation--Maximization technique for finding the maximum likelihood parameters of the mixture to the case where each data point…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-01 Jo Bovy , David W. Hogg , Sam T. Roweis

The estimation of the potential impact fraction (including the population attributable fraction) with continuous exposure data frequently relies on strong distributional assumptions. However, these assumptions are often violated if the…

The aim of this paper is to firmly establish subjective fiducial inference as a rival to the more conventional schools of statistical inference, and to show that Fisher's intuition concerning the importance of the fiducial argument was…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-08 Russell J. Bowater

Longitudinal or panel data can be represented as a matrix with rows indexed by units and columns indexed by time. We consider inferential questions associated with the missing data version of panel data induced by staggered adoption. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-02 Yuling Yan , Martin J. Wainwright

This paper proposes a unified framework to quantify local and global inferential uncertainty for high dimensional nonparanormal graphical models. In particular, we consider the problems of testing the presence of a single edge and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-01 Quanquan Gu , Yuan Cao , Yang Ning , Han Liu