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In June 2020, Arizona, U.S., emerged as one of the world's worst coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19) spots after the stay-at-home order was lifted in the middle of May. However, with the decisions to reimpose restrictions, the number of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-08 Nao Yamamoto , Haiyan Wang

This paper develops an individual-based stochastic network SIR model for the empirical analysis of the Covid-19 pandemic. It derives moment conditions for the number of infected and active cases for single as well as multigroup epidemic…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-05 M. Hashem Pesaran , Cynthia Fan Yang

I use a very simple deterministic model for the spread of Covid-19 in a large population. Using this to compare the relative decay of the number of deaths per day between different regions in Italy, Spain and England, each applying in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-26 Robert S Thorne

A transmission interval for an infectious disease is important to understand epidemic processes in complex networks. The transmission interval is defined as a time interval between one person's infection and their infection to another…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-14 Yeonji Seo , Okyu Kwon , Hang-Hyun Jo

After the breakout of the disease caused by the new virus COVID-19, the mitigation stage has been reached in most of the countries in the world. During this stage, a more accurate data analysis of the daily reported cases and other…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 S. Maltezos

SARS-COV-2 has stopped the world in its footsteps and a third of the population has been forced to stay at home. Here we present a comparative study of the performance of states of India, in curbing the spread of the disease, that are most…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-29 Chinmay Patwardhan

Battle with COVID-19 turned out to be a marathon, not a sprint, and behavioral adjustments have been unavoidable to stay viable. In this paper, we employ a data-centric approach to investigate individual mobility adaptations and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Jungwoo Cho , Yuyol Shin , Seyun Kim , Namwoo Kim , Soohwan Oh , Haechan Cho , Yoonjin Yoon

An outbreak of respiratory disease caused by a novel coronavirus is ongoing from December 2019. As of July 22, 2020, it has caused an epidemic outbreak with more than 15 million confirmed infections and above 6 hundred thousand reported…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-21 Sk Shahid Nadim , Indrajit Ghosh , Joydev Chattopadhyay

In March 2020, the Austrian government introduced a widespread lock-down in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on subjective impressions and anecdotal evidence, Austrian public and private life came to a sudden halt. Here we assess…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Georg Heiler , Tobias Reisch , Jan Hurt , Mohammad Forghani , Aida Omani , Allan Hanbury , Farid Karimipour

Different countries -- and sometimes different regions within the same countries -- have adopted different strategies in trying to contain the ongoing COVID-19 epidemic; these mix in variable parts social confinement, early detection and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-17 Giuseppe Gaeta

Background: The ongoing COVID-19 epidemic dilated rapidly throughout India. To end the global COVID-19 pandemic major behavioral, social distancing, contact tracing, and state interventions has been undertaken to reduce the outbreak and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-15 Kankan Sarkar , Subhas Khajanchi

The effect of masking the general population on a COVID-19 epidemic is estimated by computer simulation using two separate state-of-the-art web-based softwares, one of them calibrated for the SARS-CoV-2 virus. The questions addressed are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-30 Bjorn Johansson

Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) which is caused by SARS-COV2 has become a pandemic. This disease is highly infectious and potentially fatal, causing a global public health concern. To contain the spread of COVID-19, governments are adopting…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-22 Sayantari Ghosh , Saumik Bhattacharya

To curb the initial spread of SARS-CoV-2, many countries relied on nation-wide implementation of non-pharmaceutical intervention measures, resulting in substantial socio-economic impacts. Potentially, subnational implementations might have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-12-19 Mark M. Dekker , Luc E. Coffeng , Frank P. Pijpers , Debabrata Panja , Sake J. de Vlas

The number of corona virus (COVID-19) infections grows worldwide. In order to create short term predictions to prepare for the extent of the global pandemic we analyze infection data from the top 25 affected countries. It is shown that all…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-27 H. M. Singer

This work systematically conducts a data analysis based on the numbers of both cumulative and daily confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths in a time span through April 2020 to June 2022 for over 200 countries around the world. Such research…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-20 Peng Liu , Yanyan Zheng

The rapid transmission of the highly contagious novel coronavirus has been represented through several data-guided approaches across targeted geographies, in an attempt to understand when the pandemic will be under control and imposed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-05 Joydeep Munshi , Indranil Roy , Ganesh Balasubramanian

With the logistic challenges faced by most countries for the production, distribution, and application of vaccines for the novel coronavirus disease~(COVID-19), social distancing~(SD) remains the most tangible approach to mitigate the…

Countries highly exposed to incoming traffic from China were expected to be at the highest risk of COVID-19 spread. However, COVID-19 case numbers (infection levels) are negatively correlated with incoming traffic-level. Moreover, infection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-15 Hagai B. Perets , Ruth Perets