English

Social distancing versus early detection and contacts tracing in epidemic management

Populations and Evolution 2020-07-17 v3

Abstract

Different countries -- and sometimes different regions within the same countries -- have adopted different strategies in trying to contain the ongoing COVID-19 epidemic; these mix in variable parts social confinement, early detection and contact tracing. In this paper we discuss the different effects of these ingredients on the epidemic dynamics; the discussion is conducted with the help of two simple models, i.e. the classical SIR model and the recently introduced variant (A-SIR, arXiv:2003.08720) which takes into account the presence of a large set of asymptomatic infectives.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2003.14102,
  title  = {Social distancing versus early detection and contacts tracing in epidemic management},
  author = {Giuseppe Gaeta},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2003.14102},
  year   = {2020}
}

Comments

16 pages, 8 figures in new version, to appear in Chaos