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We develop a general framework for state estimation in systems modeled with noise-polluted continuous time dynamics and discrete time noisy measurements. Our approach is based on maximum likelihood estimation and employs the calculus of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Griffin M. Kearney , Makan Fardad

Graph-based techniques emerged as a choice to deal with the dimensionality issues in modeling multivariate time series. However, there is yet no complete understanding of how the underlying structure could be exploited to ease this task.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-02 Elvin Isufi , Andreas Loukas , Nathanael Perraudin , Geert Leus

Joint utilization of multiple discrete frequency bands can enhance the accuracy of delay estimation. Although some unique challenges of multiband fusion, such as phase distortion, oscillation phenomena, and high-dimensional search, have…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-09 Zhixiang Hu , An Liu , Minjian Zhao

Aperiodic variability is a characteristic feature of young stars, massive stars, and active galactic nuclei. With the recent proliferation of time domain surveys, it is increasingly essential to develop methods to quantify and analyze…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-01 Krzysztof Findeisen , Ann Marie Cody , Lynne Hillenbrand

Many synoptic surveys are observing large parts of the sky multiple times. The resulting lightcurves provide a wonderful window to the dynamic nature of the universe. However, there are many significant challenges in analyzing these light…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-04 Julian Faraway , Ashish Mahabal , Jiayang Sun , Xiaofeng Wang , Yi , Wang , Lingsong Zhang

We propose a new statistical reduced complexity climate model. The centerpiece of the model consists of a set of physical equations for the global climate system which we show how to cast in non-linear state space form. The parameters in…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-08 Mikkel Bennedsen , Eric Hillebrand , Siem Jan Koopman

GRS 1915+105 is a prominent black hole system exhibiting variability over a wide range of time scales and its observed light curves have been classified into 12 temporal states. Here we undertake a complete analysis of these light curves…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2015-05-19 K. P. Harikrishnan , R. Misra , G. Ambika

Standard maximum likelihood or Bayesian approaches to parameter estimation for stochastic differential equations are not robust to perturbations in the continuous-in-time data. In this paper, we give a rather elementary explanation of this…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Sebastian Reich

In this paper, the problem of sequential beam construction and adaptive channel estimation based on reduced rank (RR) Kalman filtering for frequency-selective massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems employing single-carrier…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-10 Gokhan M. Guvensen , Ender Ayanoglu

This study in centered on models accounting for stochastic deformations of sample paths of random walks, embedded either in $\mathbb{Z}^2$ or in $\mathbb{Z}^3$. These models are immersed in multi-type particle systems with exclusion.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Guy Fayolle , Cyril Furtlehner

The issue of single range based observability analysis and observer design for the kinematics model of a 3D vehicle subject to a constant unknown drift velocity is addressed. The proposed method departs from alternative solutions to the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2014-09-02 Giovanni Indiveri , Gianfranco Parlangeli

This paper introduces the multiband periodogram, a general extension of the well-known Lomb-Scargle approach for detecting periodic signals in time-domain data. In addition to advantages of the Lomb-Scargle method such as treatment of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-10-14 Jacob T. VanderPlas , Zeljko Ivezic

General quasi-probabilities are introduced to visualize time-dependent quantum correlations of light in phase space. They are based on the generalization of the Glauber-Sudarshan P function to a time-dependent P functional [W. Vogel, Phys.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-06-14 Fabian Krumm , Werner Vogel , Jan Sperling

Automatic classification methods applied to sky surveys have revolutionized the astronomical target selection process. Most surveys generate a vast amount of time series, or \quotes{lightcurves}, that represent the brightness variability of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-01-31 Nicolas Castro , Pavlos Protopapas , Karim Pichara

A non-Bayesian, regression-based or generalized least squares (GLS)-based approach is formally proposed to estimate a class of time-varying AR parameter models. This approach has partly been used by Ito et al. (2014, 2016a,b), and is proven…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-22 Mikio Ito , Akihiko Noda , Tatsuma Wada

We consider inference for misaligned multivariate functional data that represents the same underlying curve, but where the functional samples have systematic differences in shape. In this paper we introduce a new class of generally…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-23 Niels Lundtorp Olsen , Bo Markussen , Lars Lau Rakêt

We propose and theoretically study a method for the stochastic realization of arbitrary quantum channels on multimode single-photon qudits. In order for our method to be undemanding in its implementation, we restrict our analysis to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-03-21 Marco Piani , David Pitkanen , Rainer Kaltenbaek , Norbert Lutkenhaus

We present an Extended Kalman Filter framework for system identification and control of a stochastic high-dimensional epidemic model. The scale and severity of the COVID-19 emergency have highlighted the need for accurate forecasts of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-29 Francisco Barreras , Mikhail Hayhoe , Hamed Hassani , Victor M. Preciado

We formulate a recursive estimation problem for multiple dynamical systems coupled through a low dimensional stochastic input, and we propose an efficient sub-optimal solution. The suggested approach is an approximation of the Kalman filter…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Leonid Pogorelyuk , Clarence W. Rowley , N. Jeremy Kasdin

We develop a fast algorithm for Kalman Filter applied to the random walk forecast model. The key idea is an efficient representation of the estimate covariance matrix at each time-step as a weighted sum of two contributions - the process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Arvind K. Saibaba , Eric Miller , Peter K. Kitanidis