English

Simulated Performance of Timescale Metrics for Aperiodic Light Curves

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics 2026-04-01 v1 Solar and Stellar Astrophysics Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability

Abstract

Aperiodic variability is a characteristic feature of young stars, massive stars, and active galactic nuclei. With the recent proliferation of time domain surveys, it is increasingly essential to develop methods to quantify and analyze aperiodic variability. We develop three timescale metrics that have been little used in astronomy -- {\Delta}m-{\Delta}t plots, peak-finding, and Gaussian process regression -- and present simulations comparing their effectiveness across a range of aperiodic light curve shapes, characteristic timescales, observing cadences, and signal to noise ratios. We find that Gaussian process regression is easily confused by noise and by irregular sampling, even when the model being fit reflects the process underlying the light curve, but that {\Delta}m-{\Delta}t plots and peak-finding can coarsely characterize timescales across a broad region of parameter space. We make public the software we used for our simulations, both in the spirit of open research and to allow others to carry out analogous simulations for their own observing programs.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1410.7882,
  title  = {Simulated Performance of Timescale Metrics for Aperiodic Light Curves},
  author = {Krzysztof Findeisen and Ann Marie Cody and Lynne Hillenbrand},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1410.7882},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

39 pages, 16 figures, 3 tables. To be published in The Astrophysical Journal. Simulation software is available online at http://ascl.net/1408.012