Related papers: Modeling Stochastic Variability in Multi-Band Time…
Classical discriminant analysis assumes identically distributed training data, yet in many applications observations are collected over time and the class-conditional distributions drift. This population drift renders stationary classifiers…
The damped random walk (DRW) model is increasingly used to model the variability in quasar optical light curves, but it is still uncertain whether the DRW model provides an adequate description of quasar optical variability across all time…
In this paper, we introduce a variant of spectral sparsification, called probabilistic $(\varepsilon,\delta)$-spectral sparsification. Roughly speaking, it preserves the cut value of any cut $(S,S^{c})$ with an $1\pm\varepsilon$…
The classic, two-component, crust-superfluid model of a neutron star can be formulated as a noise-driven, linear dynamical system, in which the angular velocities of the crust and superfluid are tracked using a Kalman filter applied to…
The performance of ensemble-based data assimilation techniques that estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations depends crucially on the prescribed uncertainty of the model dynamics and of the observations. These are…
This paper studies the distributed state estimation problem for a class of discrete-time stochastic systems with nonlinear uncertain dynamics over time-varying topologies of sensor networks. An extended state vector consisting of the…
We introduce Gaussian orthogonal latent factor processes for modeling and predicting large correlated data. To handle the computational challenge, we first decompose the likelihood function of the Gaussian random field with a…
In an age of exponentially increasing data generation, performing inference tasks by utilizing the available information in its entirety is not always an affordable option. The present paper puts forth approaches to render tracking of…
Many physical datasets are generated by collections of instruments that make measurements at regular time intervals. For such regular monitoring data, we extend the framework of half-spectral covariance functions to the case of…
This paper considers the Linear Minimum Variance recursive state estimation for the linear discrete time dynamic system with random state transition and measurement matrices, i.e., random parameter matrices Kalman filtering. It is shown…
State-space mixed-frequency vector autoregressions are now widely used for nowcasting. Despite their popularity, estimating such models can be computationally intensive, especially for large systems with stochastic volatility. To tackle the…
Deep learning has the potential to dramatically impact navigation and tracking state estimation problems critical to autonomous vehicles and robotics. Measurement uncertainties in state estimation systems based on Kalman and other Bayes…
In the era of rapidly increasing amounts of time series data, classification of variable objects has become the main objective of time-domain astronomy. Classification of irregularly sampled time series is particularly difficult because the…
In this paper, state and noise covariance estimation problems for linear system with unknown multiplicative noise are considered. The measurement likelihood is modelled as a mixture of two Gaussian distributions and a Student's t…
Variational Bayes methods are a potential scalable estimation approach for state space models. However, existing methods are inaccurate or computationally infeasible for many state space models. This paper proposes a variational…
Using an unprecedented cadence of 30 minutes provided by the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS), we have examined the optical light curves (LCs) of the blazar S5 0716+714 obtained from its Sectors 40, 47, and 53 over a period of…
Future cellular networks that utilize millimeter wave signals provide new opportunities in positioning and situational awareness. Large bandwidths combined with large antenna arrays provide unparalleled delay and angle resolution, allowing…
The beam squint effect, which manifests in different steering matrices in different sub-bands, has been widely considered a challenge in millimeter wave (mmWave) multiinput multi-output (MIMO) channel estimation. Existing methods either…
Time-scale theory, due to its ability to unify the continuous and discrete cases, allows handling intractable non-uniform measurements, such as intermittent received signals. In this work, we address the state estimation problem of a…
We test a method to reduce unwanted sample variance when predicting Lyman-$\alpha$ (ly$\alpha$) forest power spectra from cosmological hydrodynamical simulations. Sample variance arises due to sparse sampling of modes on large scales and…