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Animal acoustic communication often exhibits temporal dependence, with calls triggering or suppressing subsequent calls within and across call types, individuals, or species. While Hawkes processes provide a natural framework for modeling…

The goal of this work is the development of a motion model for sequentially timed movement actions in robotic systems under specific consideration of temporal stabilization, that is maintaining an approximately constant overall movement…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-07-30 Sebastian Doliwa , Muhammad Ayaz Hussain , Tim Sziburis , Ioannis Iossifidis

Event history data from sports competitions have recently drawn increasing attention in sports analytics to generate data-driven strategies. Such data often exhibit self-excitation in the event occurrence and dependence within event…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 K. Ken Peng , X. Joan Hu , Tim B. Swartz

In this work, we propose to catch the complexity of the membrane potential's dynamic of a motoneuron between its spikes, taking into account the spikes from other neurons around. Our approach relies on two types of data: extracellular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Anna Bonnet , Charlotte Dion , François Gindraud , Sarah Lemler

Hawkes processes are point process models that have been used to capture self-excitatory behavior in social interactions, neural activity, earthquakes and viral epidemics. They can model the occurrence of the times and locations of events.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-24 Xenia Miscouridou , Samir Bhatt , George Mohler , Seth Flaxman , Swapnil Mishra

Social networks represent complex ecosystems where the interactions between users or groups play a pivotal role in information dissemination, opinion formation, and social interactions. Effectively harnessing event sequence data within…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Zizhuo Meng , Ke Wan , Yadong Huang , Zhidong Li , Yang Wang , Feng Zhou

The emergence of online social platforms, such as social networks and social media, has drastically affected the way people apprehend the information flows to which they are exposed. In such platforms, various information cascades spreading…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Gaspard Abel , Argyris Kalogeratos , Jean-Pierre Nadal , Julien Randon-Furling

Mobile phones contain a wealth of private information, so we try to keep them secure. We provide large-scale evidence that the psychological profiles of individuals and their relations with their peers can be predicted from seemingly…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-01-26 Mateusz Nurek , Radosław Michalski , Omar Lizardo , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu

Personality detection from text aims to infer an individual's personality traits based on linguistic patterns. However, existing machine learning approaches often struggle to capture contextual information spanning multiple posts and tend…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Guanming Chen , Lingzhi Shen , Xiaohao Cai , Imran Razzak , Shoaib Jameel

Predicting discrete events in time and space has many scientific applications, such as predicting hazardous earthquakes and outbreaks of infectious diseases. History-dependent spatio-temporal Hawkes processes are often used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Negar Erfanian , Santiago Segarra , Maarten de Hoop

Traditionally, the regime of mental healthcare has followed an episodic psychotherapy model wherein patients seek care from a provider through a prescribed treatment plan developed over multiple provider visits. Recent advances in wearable…

Many networks have event-driven dynamics (such as communication, social media and criminal networks), where the mean rate of the events occurring at a node in the network changes according to the occurrence of other events in the network.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-22 Santitissadeekorn N. , Delahaies S. , Lloyd D. J. B

Physiological signal analysis often involves identifying events crucial to understanding biological dynamics. Traditional methods rely on handcrafted procedures or supervised learning, presenting challenges such as expert dependence, lack…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-26 Guillaume Staerman , Virginie Loison , Thomas Moreau

Feature extraction is crucial for human activity recognition (HAR) using body-worn movement sensors. Recently, learned representations have been used successfully, offering promising alternatives to manually engineered features. Our work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Harish Haresamudram , Irfan Essa , Thomas Ploetz

Over the past few decades, the Hawkes process has become a popular framework for modeling temporal events thanks to its flexibility to capture different dependency structures. The objective of this work is to model call sequences emitted by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Anna Bonnet , Stéphane Robin

The Hawkes process is a widely used model in many areas, such as finance, seismology, neuroscience, epidemiology, and social sciences. Estimation of the Hawkes process from continuous observations of a sample path is relatively…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-23 Feng Chen , Jeffrey Kwan , Tom Stindl

Residential electricity demand at granular scales is driven by what people do and for how long. Accurately forecasting this demand for applications like microgrid management and demand response therefore requires generative models that can…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-24 Rohit Dube , Natarajan Gautam , Amarnath Banerjee , Harsha Nagarajan

Bursty dynamics characterizes systems that evolve through short active periods of several events, which are separated by long periods of inactivity. Systems with such temporal heterogeneities are not only found in nature but also include…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-19 Márton Karsai , Hang-Hyun Jo

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs), especially Hawkes Process are commonly used for modeling asynchronous event sequences data such as financial transactions and user behaviors in social networks. Due to the strong fitting ability of neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Anningzhe Gao , Shan Dai

Learning the causal-interaction network of multivariate Hawkes processes is a useful task in many applications. Maximum-likelihood estimation is the most common approach to solve the problem in the presence of long observation sequences.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-04 Farnood Salehi , William Trouleau , Matthias Grossglauser , Patrick Thiran
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