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The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model as well as its generalizations are extensively used for the study of the spread of infectious diseases, and for the understanding of the dynamical evolution of epidemics. From SIR type…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-02 Tiberiu Harko , Man Kwong Mak

Infection spread among individuals is modelled with a continuous time Markov chain, in which subject interactions depend on their distance in space. The well known SIR model and non local variants of the latter are then obtained as large…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-27 Franco Flandoli , Francesco Grotto , Andrea Papini , Cristiano Ricci

The SIR model is a classical model characterizing the spreading of infectious diseases. This model describes the time-dependent quantity changes among Susceptible, Infectious, and Recovered groups. By introducing space-depend effects such…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-18 Md Abu Talha , Yongjia Xu , Shan Zhao , Weihua Geng

In this manuscript, we develop a mobility-based Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model to elucidate the dynamics of pandemic propagation. While traditional SIR models within the field of epidemiology aptly characterize transitions…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Ciana Applegate , Jiaxu Li , Dan Han

This paper analyses the optimal control of infectious disease propagation using a classic susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model characterised by permanent immunity and the absence of available vaccines. The control is performed over a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-12 Rocío Balderrama , Mariana Inés Prieto , Constanza Sánchez de la Vega , Federico Vazquez

In this paper, we study the dynamics of the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model on a network with community structure, namely the stochastic block model (SBM). As usual, the SIR model is a stochastic model for an epidemic where…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Christian Borgs , Karissa Huang , Christian Ikeokwu

Multiple viruses are widely studied because of their negative effect on the health of host as well as on whole population. The dynamics of coinfection is important in this case. We formulated a SIR model that describes the coinfection of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Samia Ghersheen , Vladimir Kozlov , Vladimir G. Tkachev , Uno Wennergren

We investigate the long-time dynamics of a SIR epidemic model in the case of a population of pathogens infecting a homogeneous host population. The pathogen population is structured by a genotypic variable. When the initial mass of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-06-05 Jean-Baptiste Burie , Arnaud Ducrot , Quentin Griette

This paper is concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an SEIR (susceptible -> exposed (=latent) -> infective -> removed) epidemic with a contact tracing scheme, in which removed individuals may name some of their infectious…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Frank G Ball , Edward S Knock , Philip D O'Neill

We present a unified mathematical approach to epidemiological models with parametric heterogeneity, i.e., to the models that describe individuals in the population as having specific parameter (trait) values that vary from one individuals…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-02-14 Artem S. Novozhilov

Since 1927, until recently, models describing the spread of disease have mostly been of the SIR-compartmental type, based on the assumption that populations are homogeneous and well-mixed. The focus of these models have typically been on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-23 Lara Goscé , David A W Barton , Anders Johansson

The study of social networks, and in particular the spread of disease on networks, has attracted considerable recent attention in the physics community. In this paper, we show that a large class of standard epidemiological models, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. E. J. Newman

We study a susceptible-vaccinated--infected--recovered (SVIR) epidemic-spreading model with diversity of infection rate of the individuals. By means of analytical arguments as well as extensive computer simulations, we demonstrate that the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-12-05 Chao-Ran Cai , Zhi-Xi wu , Jian-Yue Guan

In the Staged Progression (SP) epidemic models, infected individuals are classified into a suitable number of states. The goal of these models is to describe as closely as possible the effect of differences in infectiousness exhibited by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-08 Luis Sanz-Lorenzo , Rafael Bravo de la Parra

We investigate the SIR epidemic on a dynamic inhomogeneous Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph, in which vertices are of one of $k$ types and in which edges appear and disappear independently of each other. We establish a functional law of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Yuanfei Huang , Adrian Röllin

We investigate an epidemic model based on Bailey's continuous differential system. In the continuous time domain, we extend the classical model to time-dependent coefficients and present an alternative solution method to Gleissner's…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Martin Bohner , Sabrina Streipert , Delfim F. M. Torres

This paper proposes a novel discrete-time multi-virus SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) model that captures the spread of competing SIR epidemics over a population network. First, we provide a sufficient condition for the infection level…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-05 Ciyuan Zhang , Sebin Gracy , Tamer Basar , Philip E. Pare

We study the phase transition from the persistence phase to the extinction phase for the SIRS (susceptible/ infected/ refractory/ susceptible) model of diseases spreading on the networks. We derive an analytical expression of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-18 M. Ali Saif

To better describe the spread of a disease, we extend a discrete time stochastic SIR-type epidemic model of Tuckwell and Williams. We assume the dependence on time of the number of daily encounters and include a parameter to represent a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-30 Mireia Besalú , Giulia Binotto

We numerically study the dynamics of the SIR disease model on small-world networks by using a large-deviation approach. This allows us to obtain the probability density function of the total fraction of infected nodes and of the maximum…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-01 Yannick Feld , Alexander K. Hartmann
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