English
Related papers

Related papers: Arctic Amplification of Anthropogenic Forcing: A V…

200 papers

The present investigation is directed at exploring southern polar ionospheric responses to intense space weather events and their correlations with plasma convection and auroral precipitation. The main phases of six geomagnetic storms…

Space Physics · Physics 2025-11-07 Sumanjit Chakraborty , Gopi K. Seemala

In an effort to understand the dynamics of the Arctic sea-ice edge, we present a simple model of heat and mass transfer in the Fram Strait that reveals some fundamental mechanisms controlling sea-ice extent in the marginal seas and the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-12-21 Sahil Agarwal , M. Grae Worster

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a tipping element of the climate system. The current estimate of the global warming threshold for the onset of an AMOC collapse is +4.0C (uncertainty range 1.4-8C). However, such a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-30 René M. van Westen , Reyk Börner , Henk A. Dijkstra

Climate anomalies significantly impact terrestrial carbon cycle dynamics, necessitating robust methods for detecting and analyzing anomalous behavior in plant productivity. This study presents a novel application of variational autoencoders…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Bharat Sharma , Jitendra Kumar

We assess evidence for changes in tail characteristics of wind, solar irradiance and temperature variables output from CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs) due to climate forcing. We estimate global and climate zone annual maximum and annual…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-06 Callum Leach , Kevin Ewans , Philip Jonathan

Climate change is progressing asynchronously between the Arctic and Antarctic, with important implications for global climate dynamics. While the Arctic has experienced rapid warming and pronounced amplification, the Antarctic has exhibited…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-22 Hongyu Wang , Jingfang Fan , Fei Xie , Jingyuan Li , Rui Shi , Yan Xia , Deliang Chen , Xiaosong Chen

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is recognized as a tipping element within the global climate system. Central to its tipping behavior is the salt-advection feedback mechanism, which has been extensively studied in box…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-23 Elian Vanderborght , René M. van Westen , Henk A. Dijkstra

Accurate and automated sea ice classification is important for climate monitoring and maritime safety in the Arctic. While Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) is the operational standard because of its all-weather capability, it remains…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-06 David Mike-Ewewie , Panhapiseth Lim , Priyanka Kumar

We study the seasonal changes in the thickness distribution of Arctic sea ice, $g(h)$, under climate forcing. Our analytical and numerical approach is based on a Fokker-Planck equation for $g(h)$ (Toppaladoddi \& Wettlaufer \emph{Phys. Rev.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-12-26 Srikanth Toppaladoddi , John S. Wettlaufer

Emergent constraints use relationships between future and current climate states to constrain projections of climate response. Here, we introduce a statistical, hierarchical emergent constraint (HEC) framework in order to link future and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-01-23 Kevin Bowman , Noel Cressie , Xin Qu , Alex Hall

Learning the governing equations of dynamical systems from data has drawn significant attention across diverse fields, including physics, engineering, robotics and control, economics, climate science, and healthcare. Sparse regression…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-15 Amir Bahador Javadi , Amin Kargarian , Mort Naraghi-Pour

Orbital forcing plays a key role in pacing the glacial-interglacial cycles. However, the mechanistic linkages between the orbital parameters - eccentricity, obliquity, and precession - and global ice volume remain unclear. Here, we…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-12-05 Liam Wheen , Oscar Benjamin , Thomas Gernon , Cameron Hall , Jerry Wright

We examine the long-term correlations and multifractal properties of daily satellite retrievals of Arctic sea ice albedo and extent, for periods of $\sim$ 23 years and 32 years respectively. The approach harnesses a recent development…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-05-08 S. Agarwal , W. Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

The Earth's climate is rapidly changing and some of the most drastic changes can be seen in the Arctic, where sea ice extent has diminished considerably in recent years. As the Arctic climate continues to change, gathering in situ sea ice…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Matthew Parno , Taylor Hodgdon , Brendan West , Devin O'Connor , Arnold Song

This paper reports observations of regional and global upper stratosphere temperature (UST) and surface temperature, as well as various climate drivers including greenhouse gases (GHGs), ozone, aerosols, solar variability, snow cover…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-09 Qing-Bin Lu

Geostationary hyperspectral satellites generate terabytes of data daily, creating critical challenges for storage, transmission, and distribution to the scientific community. We present a variational autoencoder (VAE) approach that achieves…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Core Francisco Park , Manuel Perez-Carrasco , Caroline Nowlan , Cecilia Garraffo

It is shown that global climate exhibits chaotic response to solar forcing variability in a vast range of timescales: from annual to multi-millennium. Unlike linear systems, where periodic forcing leads to periodic response, nonlinear…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-01-05 A. Bershadskii

Snow cover plays a critical yet often underrepresented role in shaping the thermodynamic behavior of Antarctic sea ice. In this study, we investigate the seasonal variability of snow distribution and its impact on surface albedo and energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-16 Ippolita Tersigni , Filippo Nelli , Emiliano Cimoli , Petra Heil , Luke Bennetts , Giulio Passerotti , Alessandro Toffoli

Water ice is a unique material presenting intriguing physical properties, like negative thermal expansion and anomalous volume isotope effect (VIE). They arise from the interplay between weak hydrogen bonds and nuclear quantum fluctuations,…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-02-18 Marco Cherubini , Lorenzo Monacelli , Francesco Mauri

Climate variability on centennial timescales has often been linked to internal variability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). However, due to the scarceness of suitable paleoclimate proxies and long climate model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-30 Oliver Mehling , Katinka Bellomo , Jost von Hardenberg