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Social distancing strategies have been adopted by governments to manage the COVID-19 pandemic, since the first outbreak began. However, further epidemic waves keep out the return of economic and social activities to their standard levels of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-07 J. E. Sereno , A. D' Jorge , A. Ferramosca , E. A. Hernandez-Vargas , A. H. Gonzalez

In this paper, we study an optimal control problem of a communicable disease in a prison population. In order to control the spread of the disease inside a prison, we consider an active case-finding strategy, consisting on screening a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-06 Pedro Gajardo , Victor Riquelme , Diego Vicencio

This paper is based on the observation that, during Covid-19 epidemic, the choice of which individuals should be tested has an important impact on the effectiveness of selective confinement measures. This decision problem is closely related…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-24 Matthias Pezzutto , Nicolas Bono Rossello , Luca Schenato , Emanuele Garone

Stochastic models are widely used to investigate the spread of epidemics in a complex environment. This paper extends a deterministic SAIRS epidemic model to a stochastic case with limited patient capacity and exposure. We first study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Xiaohui Zhang , Zhiming Li , Shenglong Chen , Jikai Yang

This paper introduces a spatiotemporal SEIQR epidemic model governed by a system of reaction-diffusion partial differential equations that incorporates optimal control strategies. The model captures the transmission dynamics of an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Achraf Zinihi , Matthias Ehrhardt , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi

In this paper, we study the optimal control for an SEIR model adapted to the vaccination strategy of susceptible individuals. There are factors associated with a vaccination campaign that make this strategy not only a public health issue…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Nelson L. Santos Junior , João A. M. Gondim

This paper is concerned with the well-posedness and optimal control problem of a reaction-diffusion system for an epidemic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) mathematical model in which the dynamics develops in a spatially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-24 Pierluigi Colli , Gianni Gilardi , Gabriela Marinoschi , Elisabetta Rocca

Cost-effectiveness analysis is a mode of determining both the cost and economic health outcomes of one or more control interventions. In this work, we have formulated a non-autonomous nonlinear deterministic model to study the control of…

Several mathematical models in SARS-CoV-2 have shown how target-cell model can help to understand the spread of the virus in the host and how potential candidates of antiviral treatments can help to control the virus. Concepts as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-24 Mara Perez , Pablo Abuin , Marcelo Actis , Antonio Ferramosca , Esteban A. Hernandez-Vargas , Alejandro H. Gonzalez

We devise a theoretical model for the optimal dynamical control of an infectious disease whose diffusion is described by the SVIR compartmental model. The control is realized through implementing social rules to reduce the disease's spread,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-10 Alessandro Ramponi , Maria Elisabetta Tessitore

In this article we propose a compartmental model for the dynamics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). We take into account the presence of asymptomatic infections and the main policies that have been adopted so far to contain the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-18 M. Soledad Aronna , Roberto Guglielmi , Lucas M. Moschen

In the framework of homogeneous susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) models, we use a control theory approach to identify optimal pandemic mitigation strategies. We derive rather general conditions for reaching herd immunity while…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-05 Prakhar Godara , Stephan Herminghaus , Knut M. Heidemann

We study the problem of optimal control of the stochastic SIR model. Models of this type are used in mathematical epidemiology to capture the time evolution of highly infectious diseases such as COVID-19. Our approach relies on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-04 Andrew Lesniewski

This work introduces a novel epidemiological model that simultaneously considers multiple viral strains, reinfections due to waning immunity response over time and an optimal control formulation. This enables us to derive optimal mitigation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-10 Edilson F. Arruda , Dayse H. Pastore , Clauda M. Dias , Shyam S. Das

We consider here an extended SIR model, including several features of the recent COVID-19 outbreak: in particular the infected and recovered individuals can either be detected (+) or undetected (-) and we also integrate an intensive care…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-25 Arthur Charpentier , Romuald Elie , Mathieu Laurière , Viet Chi Tran

In the context of epidemiology, policies for disease control are often devised through a mixture of intuition and brute-force, whereby the set of logically conceivable policies is narrowed down to a small family described by a few…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-04 Miguel Navascues , Costantino Budroni , Yelena Guryanova

We establish a Pontryagin maximum principle for discrete time optimal control problems under the following three types of constraints: a) constraints on the states pointwise in time, b) constraints on the control actions pointwise in time,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Pradyumna Paruchuri , Debasish Chatterjee

This paper deals with an SIR model with saturated incidence rate affected by inhibitory effect and saturated treatment function. Two control functions have been used, one for vaccinating the susceptible population and other for the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-07-17 Jayanta Kumar Ghosh , Uttam Ghosh , M. H. A. Biswas , Susmita Sarkar

A deterministic mathematical model is formulated and analyzed to study the transmission dynamics of Nipah virus both qualitatively and numerically. Existence and stability of equilibria were investigated and the model was rigorously…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-10-09 BI Omede , PO Ameh , A Omame , B Bolaji

To curb the spread of COVID-19, many governments around the world have implemented tiered lockdowns with varying degrees of stringency. Lockdown levels are typically increased when the disease spreads and reduced when the disease abates. A…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-16 Laurentz E. Olivier , Stefan Botha , Ian K. Craig