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Optimizing the impact on the economy of control strategies aiming at containing the spread of COVID-19 is a critical challenge. We use daily new case counts of COVID-19 patients reported by local health administrations from different…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-12 Afroza Shirin , Yen Ting Lin , Francesco Sorrentino

We develop a mathematical model for transferring the vaccine BNT162b2 based on the heat diffusion equation. Then, we apply optimal control theory to the proposed generalized SEIR model. We introduce vaccination for the susceptible…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-22 Mohamed Abdelaziz Zaitri , Mohand Ouamer Bibi , Delfim F. M. Torres

Quarantine measure is a commonly used non-pharmaceutical intervention during the outbreak of infectious diseases. A key problem for implementing quarantine measure is to determine the duration of quarantine. In this paper, a policy with…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-26 Ruoyu Wang , Qihua Wang

This study aims to determine an optimal control strategy for vaccine scheduling in COVID-19 pandemic treatment by converting widely acknowledged infectious disease model named SEIR into an optimal control problem. The problem is augmented…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-26 Syed Irfan Ali Meerza , Seyed M. Karimi , Bert B. Little , Jacek M. Zurada , Tamer Inanc

We investigate the time-optimal control problem in SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) epidemic models, focusing on different control policies: vaccination, isolation, culling, and reduction of transmission. Applying the Pontryagin's…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-15 Luca Bolzoni , Elena Bonacini , Cinzia Soresina , Maria Groppi

In this study, we first develop SIV model by incorporating the intercellular time delay and analyze the stability of the equilibrium points. The model dynamics admits disease-free equilibrium and the infected equilibrium with their…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Bishal Chhetri , Vijay M. Bhagat , Swapna Muthusamy , Ananth V S , D. K. K. Vamsi , Carani B Sanjeevi

In this paper, an SIR epidemic model with variable size of population is considered. We study optimal control problem for an SIR model with "vaccination" and "treatment" as controls. It is shown that an optimal control exists. We have…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Olga Klimenkova

Ever since the outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic, various public health control strategies have been proposed and tested against the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2. We study three specific COVID-19 epidemic control models: the susceptible, exposed,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-09 Zhe Xu , Bo Wu , Ufuk Topcu

During decades, mathematical models have been used to predict the behavior of physical and biologic systems, and to define strategies aiming the minimization of the effects regarding different types of diseases. In the present days, the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-22 Gustavo Barbosa Libotte , Fran Sérgio Lobato , Gustavo Mendes Platt , Antônio José da Silva Neto

This paper investigates the optimal control of an epidemic governed by a SEIR model with an operational delay in vaccination. We address the mathematical challenge of imposing hard healthcare capacity constraints (e.g., ICU limits) over an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Behrooz Moosavi Ramezanzadeh

The spread of COVID-19 has been thwarted in most countries through non-pharmaceutical interventions. In particular, the most effective measures in this direction have been the stay-at-home and closure strategies of businesses and schools.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-04 G. Dimarco , G. Toscani , M. Zanella

The aim of this paper is to provide a rigorous mathematical analysis of an optimal control problem with SIR dynamics. The main feature of our study is the presence of state constraints (related to intensive care units ICU capacity) and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-25 Florin Avram , Lorenzo Freddi , Dan Goreac

We have developed a globally applicable diagnostic Covid-19 model by augmenting the classical SIR epidemiological model with a neural network module. Our model does not rely upon previous epidemics like SARS/MERS and all parameters are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-24 Raj Dandekar , Chris Rackauckas , George Barbastathis

In this work, we develop a spatial SEIAR-type epidemic model considering a quarantined population (denoted as Q), which we call the SQEIAR model. The dynamics of the SQEIAR model are described by six Partial Differential Equations (PDEs)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-01-27 Elghandouri Mohammed , Ezzinbi Khalil , Youness Mezzan

This article considers the optimal control of the SIR model with both transmission and treatment uncertainty. It follows the model presented in Gatto and Schellhorn (2021). We make four significant improvements on the latter paper. First,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Yujia Ding , Henry Schellhorn

Understanding how to effectively control an epidemic spreading on a network is a problem of paramount importance for the scientific community. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need for policies that mitigate the spread,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-14 Carlo Cenedese , Lorenzo Zino , Michele Cucuzzella , Ming Cao

The paper considers the problems of optimal vaccination control in the classical SIR model under constraints on the resource capabilities of the insurance medical system, in particular under constraints on the possible absolute rate of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Bogdan Norkin , Vladimir Norkin

In this paper, we propose a dynamical model to describe the transmission of COVID-19, which is spreading in China and many other countries. To avoid a larger outbreak in the worldwide, Chinese government carried out a series of strong…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-09 Jiwei Jia , Jian Ding , Siyu Liu , Guidong Liao , Jingzhi Li , Ben Duan , Guoqing Wang , Ran Zhang

The SEIR model is a compartmental model used to simulate the dynamics of an epidemic. In this chapter, we introduce two control functions in the compartmental SEIR model representing vaccination and plasma transfusion. Optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-23 Juliana Couras , Ivan Area , Juan J. Nieto , Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

This research introduces a new approach utilizing optimal control theory (OCT) to assess the Social Optimum (SO) of a vaccination game, navigating the intricate considerations of cost, availability, and distribution policies. By integrating…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Md. Mamun-Ur-Rashid Khan , Jun Tanimoto