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The issue of longevity has been long time recognized as one of key concepts in demography. A particular aspect of longevity addressed in this paper is the difference in average observed duration of life for female and male population,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-09 Toni Cosic , Roko Misetic , Hrvoje Stefancic

We present a simple technique to compare the development of the Covid-19 epidemic in different regions, based only on the time series of confirmed cases. Weekly new infections, taken for every day, are interpreted as infection potential of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-04 Christoph Bandt

In this paper, we study the trending behaviour of COVID-19 data at country level, and draw attention to some existing econometric tools which are potentially helpful to understand the trend better in future studies. In our empirical study,…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-25 Chaohua Dong , Jiti Gao , Oliver Linton , Bin Peng

The number of Covid-19 cases is increasing dramatically worldwide. Therefore, the availability of reliable forecasts for the number of cases in the coming days is of fundamental importance. We propose a simple statistical method for…

We study how available data on COVID-19 cases and deaths in different countries are reliable. Our analysis is based on a modification of the law of anomalous numbers, the Newcomb-Benford law, applied to the daily number of deaths and new…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-08-25 T. M. Rocha Filho , J. F. F. Mendes , M. L. Lucio , M. A. Moret

In this paper, we propose a dynamical model to describe the transmission of COVID-19, which is spreading in China and many other countries. To avoid a larger outbreak in the worldwide, Chinese government carried out a series of strong…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-09 Jiwei Jia , Jian Ding , Siyu Liu , Guidong Liao , Jingzhi Li , Ben Duan , Guoqing Wang , Ran Zhang

Emerging at the end of 2019, COVID-19 has become a public health threat to people worldwide. Apart from the deaths who tested positive for COVID-19, many others have died from causes indirectly related to COVID-19. Therefore, the COVID-19…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-18 Han Lin Shang , Ruofan Xu

We present a very simple and transparent method to interpret time series of confirmed Covid-19 cases. Roughly speaking, the analysis of weekly new infections for each day is a tool for the definition and early detection of the turning point…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-13 Christoph Bandt

Disadvantaged groups around the world have suffered and endured higher mortality during the current COVID-19 pandemic. This contrast disparity suggests that socioeconomic and health-related factors may drive inequality in disease outcome.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Behzad Javaheri

Analytical descriptions of patterns concerning spread and fatality during an epidemic, covering natural as well as restriction periods, are important for reducing damage. We employ a scaling model to investigate this aspect in the real data…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-25 Subir K. Das

We analysed publicly available data on place of occurrence of COVID-19 deaths from national statistical agencies in the UK between March 9 2020 and February 28 2021. We introduce a modified Weibull model that describes the deaths due to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-30 Spencer A. Thomas

Widespread growth signatures in COVID-19 confirmed case counts are reported, with sharp transitions between three distinct dynamical regimes (exponential, superlinear and sublinear). Through analytical and numerical analysis, a novel…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-26 Magdalena Djordjevic , Marko Djordjevic , Bojana Ilic , Stefan Stojku , Igor Salom

Understanding disease spread through data visualisation has concentrated on trends and maps. Whilst these are helpful, they neglect important multi-dimensional interactions between characteristics of communities. Using the Topological Data…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-21 Pawel Dlotko , Simon Rudkin

The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 is one of the measures of disease impact that can be of importance for policy making. Here we show that many of the studies on which these estimates are based are scientifically flawed for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-24 Chen Shen , Derrick Van Gennep , Alexander F. Siegenfeld , Yaneer Bar-Yam

Previous research has demonstrated that various properties of infectious diseases can be inferred from online search behaviour. In this work we use time series of online search query frequencies to gain insights about the prevalence of…

One of the central tools to control the COVID-19 pandemics is the knowledge of its spreading dynamics. Here we develop a fractal model capable of describe this dynamics, in term of daily new cases, and provide quantitative criteria for some…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-16 Oscar Sotolongo-Costa , José Weberszpil , Oscar Sotolongo-Grau

Coronavirus outbreak is one of the most challenging pandemics for the entire human population of the planet Earth. Techniques such as the isolation of infected persons and maintaining social distancing are the only preventive measures…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Rahul Mishra , Hari Prabhat Gupta , Tanima Dutta

Understanding causal mechanisms across different populations is essential for designing effective public health interventions. Recently, difference graphs have been introduced as a tool to visually represent causal variations between two…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Charles K. Assaad

Visualizing data plays a pivotal role in portraying important scientific information. Hence, visualization techniques aid in displaying relevant graphical interpretations from the varied structures of data, which is found otherwise. In this…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Swayamjit Saha , Kuntal Ghosh , Garga Chatterjee , J. Edward Swan

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected all countries of the world producing a substantial number of fatalities accompanied by a major disruption in their social, financial, and educational organization. The strict disciplinary measures…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-28 G. D. Barmparis , G. P. Tsironis
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