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The Hurst exponent is a significant metric for characterizing time sequences with long-term memory property and it arises in many fields. The available methods for estimating the Hurst exponent can be categorized into time-domain and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-23 Hong-Yan Zhang , Zhi-Qiang Feng , Si-Yu Feng , Yu Zhou

Hurst Exponent has been widely used in different fields as a measure of long range dependence in time series. It has been studied in hydrology and geophysics, economics and finance, and recently, it is still a hot topic in the different…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-24 Roel F. Ceballos , Fe F. Largo

We present a purely deep neural network-based approach for estimating long memory parameters of time series models that incorporate the phenomenon of long-range dependence. Parameters, such as the Hurst exponent, are critical in…

This article explores the required amount of time series points from a high-speed computer network to accurately estimate the Hurst exponent. The methodology consists in designing an experiment using estimators that are applied to time…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-28 Ginno Millán , Román Osorio-Comparán , Gastón Lefranc

The fractional stable motion is a prototypical stochastic process exhibiting both heavy tails and long-range dependence, parameterized via a stability index $\alpha$ and a Hurst exponent $H$. We consider a nonstationary extension where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Fabian Mies , Duuk Sikkens

It is empirically established that order flow in the financial markets is positively auto-correlated and can serve as an example of a social system with long-range memory. Nevertheless, widely used long-range memory estimators give varying…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-02 Vygintas Gontis

We introduce two new estimators of the bivariate Hurst exponent in the power-law cross-correlations setting -- the cross-periodogram and local $X$-Whittle estimators -- as generalizations of their univariate counterparts. As the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-11 Ladislav Kristoufek

In order to interpret and explain the physiological signal behaviors, it can be interesting to find some constants among the fluctuations of these data during all the effort or during different stages of the race (which can be detected…

Applications · Statistics 2011-12-06 Imen Kammoun , Véronique Billat , Jean-Marc Bardet

In this paper, we show how the sampling properties of the Hurst exponent methods of estimation change with the presence of heavy tails. We run extensive Monte Carlo simulations to find out how rescaled range analysis (R/S), multifractal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-24 Jozef Barunik , Ladislav Kristoufek

Fractal behavior and long-range dependence have been observed in an astonishing number of physical systems. Either phenomenon has been modeled by self-similar random functions, thereby implying a linear relationship between fractal…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-26 Tilmann Gneiting , Martin Schlather

We investigate the use of the Hurst exponent, dynamically computed over a moving time-window, to evaluate the level of stability/instability of financial firms. Financial firms bailed-out as a consequence of the 2007-2010 credit crisis show…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-24 Raffaello Morales , T. Di Matteo , Ruggero Gramatica , Tomaso Aste

In this paper it presents, develops and discusses the existence of a process with long scope memory structure, representing of the independence between the degree of randomness of the traffic generated by the sources and flow pattern…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-01 G. Millán

The diversity of diffusive systems exhibiting long-range correlations characterized by a stochastically varying Hurst exponent calls for a generic multifractional model. We present a simple, analytically tractable model which fills the gap…

We empirically investigated the relationships between the degree of efficiency and the predictability in financial time-series data. The Hurst exponent was used as the measurement of the degree of efficiency, and the hit rate calculated…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Cheoljun Eom , Sunghoon Choi , Gabjin Oh , Woo-Sung Jung

Since the middle of the 90's, multifractional processes have been introduced for overcoming some limitations of the classical Fractional Brownian Motion model. In their context, the Hurst parameter becomes a Holder continuous function H(?)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Antoine Ayache , Julien Hamonier

We extend the theoretical results for any FOU(p) processes for the case in which the Hurst parameter is less than 1/2 and we show theoretically and by simulations that under some conditions on T and the sample size n it is possible to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-10 Juan Kalemkerian

Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) is the most popular fractal analytical technique used to evaluate the strength of long-range correlations in empirical time series in terms of the Hurst exponent, $H$. Specifically, DFA quantifies the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-27 Aaron D. Likens , Madhur Mangalam , Aaron Y. Wong , Anaelle C. Charles , Caitlin Mills

Long-range dependence induced by heavy tails is a widely reported feature of internet traffic. Long-range dependence can be defined as the regular variation of the variance of the integrated process, and half the index of regular variation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-10-01 Gilles Fay , François Roueff , Philippe Soulier

The Bayesian Hurst-Kolmogorov (HK) method estimates the Hurst exponent of a time series more accurately than the age-old detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), especially when the time series is short. However, this advantage comes at the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-31 Madhur Mangalam , Taylor Wilson , Joel Sommerfeld , Aaron D Likens

We propose an algorithm to estimate the Hurst exponent of high-dimensional fractals, based on a generalized high-dimensional variance around a moving average low-pass filter. As working examples, we consider rough surfaces generated by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-11-20 Anna Carbone
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