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This article presents a comprehensive study of the continuous McKendrick model, which serves as a foundational framework in population dynamics and epidemiology. The model is formulated through partial differential equations that describe…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-23 Dragos-Patru Covei

We study a multitype SIR epidemic model where individuals are categorized into different types, and where infection spread is characterized by a next-generation matrix $M=\{m_{ij}\}$ with community fractions $\{\pi_j\}$ for the different…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-10 Andrea Bizzotto , Frank Ball , Tom Britton

This paper deals with a simplified SIS model, which describes the transmission of the disease in time-periodic heterogeneous environment. To understand the impact of spatial heterogeneity of environment and small advection on the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-10-14 Jing Ge , Chengxia Lei , Zhigui Lin

In this work, we revisit the basic reproduction rate $\mathcal{R}_{0}$ definition for analysis of epidemic-non-epidemic phases describing the dynamics of the discrete stochastic version of the epidemic $SIR$ model based on the Master…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 O. E. Aiello , M. A. A. da Silva

The effective reproduction number, R(t), is a central point in the study of infectious diseases. It establishes in an explicit way the extent of an epidemic spread process in a population. The current estimation methods for the time…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-26 D. C. P. Jorge , J. F. Oliveira , J. G. V. Miranda , R. F. S. Andrade , S. T. R. Pinho

Analytical expressions for the basic reproduction number, R0, have been obtained in the past for a wide variety of mathematical models for infectious disease spread, along with expressions for the expected final size of an outbreak.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-18 Sherry Towers , Linda J. S. Allen , Fred Brauer , Baltazar Espinoza

In this paper, we propose an SIR spread model in a population network coupled with an infrastructure network that has a pathogen spreading in it. We develop a threshold condition to characterize the monotonicity and peak time of a weighted…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-08 José I. Caiza , Junjie Qin , Philip E. Paré

We present an elementary model of random size varying population given by a stationary continuous state branching process. For this model we compute the joint distribution of: the time to the most recent common ancestor, the size of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-07 Yu-Ting Chen , Jean-François Delmas

This paper analyzes a stochastic logistic difference equation under the assumption that the population distribution follows a normal distribution. Our focus is on the mathematical relationship between the average growth rate and a newly…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Haiyan Wang

We consider linear age-structured population equations with diffusion. Supposing maximal regularity of the diffusion operator, we characterize the generator and its spectral properties of the associated strongly continuous semigroup. In…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2012-01-13 Christoph Walker

We consider a stochastic model of infection spread incorporating monogamous partnership dynamics. In previous work a basic reproduction number $R_0$ is defined with the property that if $R_0<1$ the infection dies out within $O(\log N)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-21 Eric Foxall

We consider the evolution of populations under the joint action of mutation and differential reproduction, or selection. The population is modelled as a finite-type Markov branching process in continuous time, and the associated…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-23 Ellen Baake , Hans-Otto Georgii

This contribution is concerned with mathematical models for the dynamics of the genetic composition of populations evolving under recombination. Recombination is the genetic mechanism by which two parent individuals create the mixed type of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-01-12 Ellen Baake

Modelling, analysing and inferring triggering mechanisms in population reproduction is fundamental in many biological applications. It is also an active and growing research domain in mathematical biology. In this chapter, we review the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Marie Doumic , Marc Hoffmann

We review some results on abstract linear and nonlinear population models with age and spatial structure. The results are mainly based on the assumption of maximal $L_p$-regularity of the spatial dispersion term. In particular, this…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-09-14 Christoph Walker

This paper is concerned with a nonlocal dispersal susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model with Dirichlet boundary condition, where the rates of disease transmission and recovery are assumed to be spatially heterogeneous. We…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-01-21 Fei-Ying Yang , Wan-Tong Li

In this paper, we first prove the stability equivalence between a linear autonomous and cooperative functional differential equation (FDE) and its associated autonomous and cooperative system without time delay. Then we present the theory…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Xiao-Qiang Zhao

Macro-level modeling is still the dominant approach in many demographic applications because of its simplicity. Individual-level models, on the other hand, provide a more comprehensive understanding of observed patterns; however, their…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-14 Daniel Ciganda , Nicolas Todd

Motivated by the question of optimal vaccine allocation strategies in heterogeneous population for epidemic models, we study various properties of the \emph{effective reproduction number}. In the simplest case, given a fixed, non-negative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-23 Jean-François Delmas , Dylan Dronnier , Pierre-André Zitt

Branching processes are models used to describe populations that reproduce and die over time. In the classical setting, an individual's reproductive capacity remains constant throughout its lifetime. However, in real-world situations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Daniela Bertacchi , Elena Montanaro , Fabio Zucca
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