English

The effective reproduction number: convexity, concavity and invariance

Optimization and Control 2022-11-23 v1 Populations and Evolution

Abstract

Motivated by the question of optimal vaccine allocation strategies in heterogeneous population for epidemic models, we study various properties of the \emph{effective reproduction number}. In the simplest case, given a fixed, non-negative matrix KK, this corresponds mathematically to the study of the spectral radius Re(η)R_e(\eta) of the matrix product Diag(η)K\mathrm{Diag}(\eta)K, as a function of ηR+n\eta\in\mathbb{R}_+^n. The matrix KK and the vector η\eta can be interpreted as a next-generation operator and a vaccination strategy. This can be generalized in an infinite dimensional case where the matrix KK is replaced by a positive integral compact operator, which is composed with a multiplication by a non-negative function η\eta. We give sufficient conditions for the function ReR_e to be convex or a concave. Eventually, we provide equivalence properties on models which ensure that the function ReR_e is unchanged.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2211.11862,
  title  = {The effective reproduction number: convexity, concavity and invariance},
  author = {Jean-François Delmas and Dylan Dronnier and Pierre-André Zitt},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2211.11862},
  year   = {2022}
}

Comments

20 pages, 6 figures. arXiv admin note: substantial text overlap with arXiv:2110.12693