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In this paper, we discuss the Cram\'er-Lundberg model with investments, where the price of the invested risk asset follows a geometric Brownian motion with drift $a$ and volatility $\sigma> 0.$ By assuming there is a cap on the claim sizes,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-02 Shimao Fan , Sheng Xiong , Wei-Shih Yang

We consider the persistence probability for the integrated fractional Brownian motion and the fractionally integrated Brownian motion with parameter $H,$ respectively. For the integrated fractional Brownian motion, we discuss a conjecture…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Frank Aurzada , Martin Kilian

In this paper we investigate continuity properties for ruin probability in the classical risk model. Properties of contractive integral operators are used to derive continuity estimates for the deficit at ruin. These results are also…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Lazaros Kanellopoulos

This paper deals with the Local Asymptotical normality for the joint drift parameter and Hurst parameter $H>3/4$ in the mixed fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Different from the only estimation of the drift parameter when $H$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Chunhao Cai , Cong Zhang

Fractional Brownian motion, a Gaussian non-Markovian self-similar process with stationary long-correlated increments, has been identified to give rise to the anomalous diffusion behavior in a great variety of physical systems. The…

This paper develops asymptotics and approximations for ruin probabilities in a multivariate risk setting. We consider a model in which the individual reserve processes are driven by a common Markovian environmental process. We subsequently…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-24 G. A. Delsing , M. R. H. Mandjes , P. J. C. Spreij , E. M. M. Winands

Let $B^{H}$ be a $d$-dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in(0,1)$, $f:[0,1]\longrightarrow\mathbb{R}^{d}$ a Borel function, and $E\subset[0,1]$, $F\subset\mathbb{R}^{d}$ are given Borel sets. The focus of this paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Mohamed Erraoui , Youssef Hakiki

Consider an estimation of the Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$ and the volatility parameter $\sigma>0$ for a fractional Brownian motion with a drift term under high-frequency observations with a finite time interval. In the present paper, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-13 Tetsuya Takabatake

The study deals with the ruin problem when an insurance company having two business branches, life insurance and non-life insurance, invests its reserve into a risky asset with the price dynamics given by a geometric Brownian motion. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Yuri Kabanov , Nikita Pukhlyakov

The purpose of the article is twofold. Firstly, we review some recent results on the maximum likelihood estimation in the regression model of the form $X_t = \theta G(t) + B_t$, where $B$ is a Gaussian process, $G(t)$ is a known function,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

This paper investigates $\pi_T(a_1,a_2) = \mathbb{P}\left(\sup\limits_{t\in[0,T]} (\sigma_1B(t)-c_1t)>a_1, \sup\limits_{t\in[0,T]}( \sigma_2 B(t)-c_2t)>a_2\right),$ where $\{B(t) : t \geq 0\}$ is a standard Brownian motion, with $T >0,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Krzysztof Kȩpczyński

Fractional Brownian motion is a Gaussian stochastic process with stationary, long-time correlated increments and is frequently used to model anomalous diffusion processes. We study numerically fractional Brownian motion confined to a finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-03-22 T. Guggenberger , G. Pagnini , T. Vojta , R. Metzler

It is well known that for standard Brownian motion $ \{B(t), \;t \geq 0\}$ with values in $\mathbb{R}^d$ its convex hull $ V(t)=\conv \{\{\,B(s),\;s \leq t \}$ with probability 1 contains 0 as an interior point for each $t > 0$ (see…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-31 Youri Davydov

We study the persistence properties of a fractional Brownian motion whose Hurst exponent is a random variable instead of a fixed constant. For each fixed $H \in (0,1)$, it is well known that the persistence probability of an FBM below a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Frank Aurzada , Sabine Müller

We study the ruin problem over a risk process described by a discrete-time Markov model. In contrast to previous studies that focused on the asymptotic behaviour of ruin probabilities for large values of the initial capital, we provide a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-26 Ilya Tkachev , Alessandro Abate

We show that the distribution of the square of the supremum of reflected fractional Brownian motion up to time a, with Hurst parameter-H greater than 1/2, is related to the distribution of its hitting time to level $1,$ using the self…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-14 Ceren Vardar

We consider the problem of efficient estimation for the drift of fractional Brownian motion $B^H:=(B^H_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$ with hurst parameter $H$ less than 1/2. We also construct superefficient James-Stein type estimators which dominate,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-12 Es-Sebaiy Khalifa , Idir Ouassou , Youssef Ouknine

We investigate the asymptotic of ruin probabilities when the company combines the life- and non-life insurance businesses and invests its reserve into a risky asset with stochastic volatility and drift driven by a two-state Markov process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-10 Anastasiya Ellanskaya , Yuri Kabanov

We propose a new algorithm to generate a fractional Brownian motion, with a given Hurst parameter, 1/2<H<1 using the correlated Bernoulli random variables with parameter p; having a certain density. This density is constructed using the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-15 Buket Coskun , Ceren Vardar-Acar , Hakan Demirtas

This paper obtains an asymptotic formula for the finite-time ruin probability of the compound nonhomogeneous Poisson risk model with a constant interest force, in which the claims are conditionally independent random variables with a common…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-30 Hui Xu , Fengyang Cheng