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In this paper, following earlier results in [2] we derive the asymptotic distribution as $t \to \infty$, of the excursion of Brownian motion straddling $t$, into an interval $(a,b)$, conditional on the event that there is such an excursion.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-25 Rajeev Bhaskaran

In this paper we introduce a definition of a multi-dimensional fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index $H \in (0, 1)$ under volatility uncertainty (in short G-fBm). We study the properties of such a process and provide first results about…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Francesca Biagini , Andrea Mazzon , Katharina Oberpriller

This paper studies risk balancing features in an insurance market by evaluating ruin probabilities for single and multiple components of a multivariate compound Poisson risk process. The dependence of the components of the process is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Anita Behme , Claudia Klüppelberg , Gesine Reinert

In this paper we investigate the boundary non-crossing probabilities of a fractional Brownian motion considering some general deterministic trend function. We derive bounds for non-crossing probabilities and discuss the case of a large…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-01 Enkelejd Hashorva , Yuliya Mishura , Oleg Seleznjev

The paper deals with the asymptotic behavior of the bridge of a Gaussian process conditioned to stay in $n$ fixed points at $n$ fixed past instants. In particular, functional large deviation results are stated for small time. Several…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-06 L. Caramellino , B. Pacchiarotti

Let \(\mathbf B(t)=(B_1(t), \dots,B_d(t))^\top\), \(t\in[0,T]\), \(d\geq 2\) be a \(d\)-dimensional Brownian motion with independent components and let \(\mathbf \eta=(\eta_1,\dots,\eta_d)^\top\) be a random vector independent of \(\mathbf…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-24 Goran Popivoda , Timofei Shashkov

In this paper we consider a compound Poisson risk model with regularly varying claim sizes. For this model in [1] an asymptotic formula for the finite time ruin probability is provided when the time is scaled by the mean excess function. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Søren Asmussen , Dominik Kortschak

We study a Sparre Andersen model in which the business activity of the company is described by a compound renewal process with drift assuming that the capital reserves are invested in a risky asset. The price of the latter is assumed to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Ernst Eberlain , Yuri Kabanov , Thorsten Schmidt

We study the asymptotics of the ruin probability in the Cram\'er-Lundberg model with a modified notion of ruin. The modification is as follows. If the portfolio becomes negative, the asset is not immediately declared ruined but may survive…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-26 Frank Aurzada , Micha Buck

A possible mechanism leading to anomalous diffusion is the presence of long-range correlations in time between the displacements of the particles. Fractional Brownian motion, a non-Markovian self-similar Gaussian process with stationary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-04-03 Alexander H O Wada , Alex Warhover , Thomas Vojta

In this paper we consider the persistence properties of random processes in Brownian scenery, which are examples of non-Markovian and non-Gaussian processes. More precisely we study the asymptotic behaviour for large $T$, of the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Fabienne Castell , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard , Frederique Watbled

In this paper we evaluate the probability of the discrete time Parisian ruin that occurs when surplus process stays below or at zero at least for some fixed duration of time $d>0$. We identify expressions for the ruin probabilities within…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-16 Irmina Czarna , Zbigniew Palmowski , Przemysław Światek

This paper derives an exact asymptotic expression for \[ \mathbb{P}_{\mathbf{x}_u}\{\exists_{t\ge0} \mathbf{X}(t)- \boldsymbol{\mu}t\in \mathcal{U} \}, \ \ {\rm as}\ \ u\to\infty, \] where $\mathbf{X}(t)=(X_1(t),\ldots,X_d(t))^\top,t\ge0$…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-11 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Tomasz Rolski

We study a dynamic model of a non-life insurance portfolio. The foundation of the model is a compound Poisson process that represents the claims side of the insurer. To introduce clusters of claims appearing, e.g. with catastrophic events,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-03 Jonathan Klinge , Maren Diane Schmeck

The aim of the paper is to show the probabilistically strong well-posedness of rough differential equations with distributional drifts driven by the Gaussian rough path lift of fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-17 Konstantinos Dareiotis , Máté Gerencsér , Khoa Lê , Chengcheng Ling

Let $B=\{(B_{t}^{1},..., B_{t}^{d}), t\geq 0\}$ be a $d$-dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H$ and let $R_{t}=% \sqrt{(B_{t}^{1})^{2}+... +(B_{t}^{d})^{2}}$ be the fractional Bessel process. It\^{o}'s formula for…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yaozhong Hu , David Nualart

We investigate models of the life annuity insurance when the company invests its reserve into a risky asset with price following a geometric Brownian motion. Our main result is an exact asymptotic of the ruin probabilities for the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Yuri Kabanov , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

In this paper, we consider the drawdown and drawup of the fractional Brownian motion with trend, which corresponds to the logarithm of geometric fractional Brownian motion representing the stock price in financial market. We derive the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-01 Long Bai , Peng Liu

In this paper, firstly, we generalize the definition of the bifractional Brownian motion $B^{H,K}:=\Big(B^{H,K}\;;\;t\geq 0\Big)$, with parameters $H\in(0,1)$ and $K\in(0,1]$, to the case where $H$ is no longer a constant, but a function…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-09 M. Ait Ouahra , M. Mellouk , H. Ouahhabi , A. Sghir

The main results in this paper concern large and moderate deviations for the radial component of a $n$-dimensional hyperbolic Brownian motion (for $n\geq 2$) on the Poincar\'{e} half-space. We also investigate the asymptotic behavior of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Valentina Cammarota , Alessandro De Gregorio , Claudio Macci
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