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Modeling and forecasting the spread of infectious diseases is essential for effective public health decision-making. Traditional epidemiological models rely on expert-defined frameworks to describe complex dynamics, while neural networks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Jianda Du , Senwei Liang , Chunmei Wang

Bayesian inference methods are useful in infectious diseases modeling due to their capability to propagate uncertainty, manage sparse data, incorporate latent structures, and address high-dimensional parameter spaces. However, parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Xiahui Li , Fergus Chadwick , Ben Swallow

Air pollution is a significant health concern worldwide, contributing to various respiratory diseases. Advances in air quality mapping, driven by the emergence of smart cities and the proliferation of Internet-of-Things sensor devices, have…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-08 Anvita Mahajan , Sayali Mate , Chinmayee Kulkarni , Suraj Sawant

Increased availability of epidemiological data, novel digital data streams, and the rise of powerful machine learning approaches have generated a surge of research activity on real-time epidemic forecast systems. In this paper, we propose…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Ioanna Miliou , Xinyue Xiong , Salvatore Rinzivillo , Qian Zhang , Giulio Rossetti , Fosca Giannotti , Dino Pedreschi , Alessandro Vespignani

Time-synchronized state estimation is a challenge for distribution systems because of limited real-time observability. This paper addresses this challenge by formulating a deep learning (DL)-based approach to perform unbalanced three-phase…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Behrouz Azimian , Reetam Sen Biswas , Anamitra Pal , Lang Tong

A model based on a thermodynamic approach is proposed for predicting the dynamics of communicable epidemics in a city, when the epidemic is governed by controlling efforts of multiple scales so that an entropy is associated with the system.…

Medical Physics · Physics 2013-10-01 W. B. Wang , Z. N. Wu , Z. M. Cao , R. F. Hu

In today's world,the risk of emerging and re-emerging epidemics have increased.The recent advancement in healthcare technology has made it possible to predict an epidemic outbreak in a region.Early prediction of an epidemic outbreak greatly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-01 Akshara Pramod , JS Abhishek , Suganthi K

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is a critical task across diverse domains. Despite significant advancements in LTSF research, we identify a performance bottleneck in existing LTSF methods caused by the inadequate modeling of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Qi Xiong , Kai Tang , Minbo Ma , Ji Zhang , Jie Xu , Tianrui Li

We provide a brief technical description of an online platform for disease monitoring, titled as the Flu Detector (fludetector.cs.ucl.ac.uk). Flu Detector, in its current version (v.0.5), uses either Twitter or Google search data in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-12-19 Vasileios Lampos

Controlling the surrounding world and predicting future events has always seemed like a dream, but that could become a reality using a Brain-Computer/Machine Interface (BCI/BMI). Epilepsy is a group of neurological diseases characterized by…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-10 Zaghloul Saad Zaghloul , Magdy Bayoumi

To infer a diffusion network based on observations from historical diffusion processes, existing approaches assume that observation data contain exact occurrence time of each node infection, or at least the eventual infection statuses of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Hao Huang , Qian Yan , Keqi Han , Ting Gan , Jiawei Jiang , Quanqing Xu , Chuanhui Yan

Influence propagation in social networks has recently received large interest. In fact, the understanding of how influence propagates among subjects in a social network opens the way to a growing number of applications. Many efforts have…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-30 Luca Luceri , Torsten Braun , Silvia Giordano

Machine learning techniques combined with in-home monitoring technologies provide a unique opportunity to automate diagnosis and early detection of adverse health conditions in long-term conditions such as dementia. However, accessing…

This study incorporates mathematical analysis, focusing on developing theories and conducting numerical simulations of Influenza virus transmission using real-world data. The terms in the equations introduce parameters which are determined…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Md Kamrujjaman , Kazi Mehedi Mohammad

In this work, we integrate the predictive capabilities of compartmental disease dynamics models with machine learning ability to analyze complex, high-dimensional data and uncover patterns that conventional models may overlook.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Muhammad Awais , Abu Safyan Ali , Giacomo Dimarco , Federica Ferrarese , Lorenzo Pareschi

The long duration of the COVID-19 pandemic allowed for multiple bursts in the infection and death rates, the so-called epidemic waves. This complex behavior is no longer tractable by simple compartmental model and requires more…

Traditional epidemic detection algorithms make decisions using only local information. We propose a novel approach that explicitly models spatial information fusion from several metapopulations. Our method also takes into account…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-15 Michael Ludkovski , Katherine Shatskikh

Time series forecasting plays a critical role in decision-making across many real-world applications. Unlike data in vision and language domains, time series data is inherently tied to the evolution of underlying processes and can only…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Suhan Guo , Bingxu Wang , Shaodan Zhang , Furao Shen

Timely and effective decision-making is critical during epidemics to reduce preventable infections and deaths. This demands integrated models that jointly capture disease dynamics, vaccine distribution, regional disparities, and behavioral…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Kimiya Jozani , Nihal A. Sageer , Hode Eldardiry , Sait Tunc , Esra Buyuktahtakin Toy

Identifying the parameters of a non-linear model that best explain observed data is a core task across scientific fields. When such models rely on complex simulators, evaluating the likelihood is typically intractable, making traditional…