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Learning Epidemiological Dynamics via the Finite Expression Method

Machine Learning 2024-12-31 v1 Numerical Analysis Numerical Analysis

Abstract

Modeling and forecasting the spread of infectious diseases is essential for effective public health decision-making. Traditional epidemiological models rely on expert-defined frameworks to describe complex dynamics, while neural networks, despite their predictive power, often lack interpretability due to their ``black-box" nature. This paper introduces the Finite Expression Method, a symbolic learning framework that leverages reinforcement learning to derive explicit mathematical expressions for epidemiological dynamics. Through numerical experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets, FEX demonstrates high accuracy in modeling and predicting disease spread, while uncovering explicit relationships among epidemiological variables. These results highlight FEX as a powerful tool for infectious disease modeling, combining interpretability with strong predictive performance to support practical applications in public health.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2412.21049,
  title  = {Learning Epidemiological Dynamics via the Finite Expression Method},
  author = {Jianda Du and Senwei Liang and Chunmei Wang},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2412.21049},
  year   = {2024}
}

Comments

13 pages, 5 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-28T20:52:16.718Z