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We consider the problem of event detection based upon a (typically multivariate) data stream characterizing some system. Most of the time the system is quiescent - nothing of interest is happening - but occasionally events of interest…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-03-16 Werner Stuetzle , Donald B. Percival , Caren Marzban

This article introduces a novel Bayesian method for asynchronous change-point detection in multivariate time series. This method allows for change-points to occur earlier in some (leading) series followed, after a short delay, by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Carson McKee , Maria Kalli

Dynamic networks exhibit temporal patterns that vary across different time scales, all of which can potentially affect processes that take place on the network. However, most data-driven approaches used to model time-varying networks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-27 Tiago P. Peixoto , Laetitia Gauvin

Distributed diffusion is a powerful algorithm for multi-task state estimation which enables networked agents to interact with neighbors to process input data and diffuse information across the network. Compared to a centralized approach,…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-03-27 Jiani Li , Xenofon Koutsoukos

The problem of a random walk in a disordered media is mapped into a model of a random walk with memory. The latter model, as opposed to the former one, does not make reference to a particular realization of the disorder. The equivalence of…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Michele Vendruscolo , Matteo Marsili

Consider the problem on sequential change-point detection on multiple data streams. We provide the asymptotic lower bounds of the detection delays at all levels of change-point sparsity and we derive a smaller asymptotic lower bound of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-02 Jingyan Huang

Detecting damage in critical structures using monitored data is a fundamental task of structural health monitoring, which is extremely important for maintaining structures' safety and life-cycle management. Based on statistical pattern…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-21 Xinyi Lei , Zhicheng Chen

While previous distribution shift detection approaches can identify if a shift has occurred, these approaches cannot localize which specific features have caused a distribution shift -- a critical step in diagnosing or fixing any underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Sean Kulinski , Saurabh Bagchi , David I. Inouye

We consider a stochastic, dynamic job scheduling problem, formulated as a queueing control problem, in which a single server processes jobs of different types that arrive according to independent Poisson processes. The problem is defined on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Dongnuan Tian , Rob Shone

Motivated by the recent contribution \cite{BB17} we study the scaling limit behavior of a class of one-dimensional stochastic differential equations which has a unique attracting point subject to a small additional repulsive perturbation.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-06-26 Martin Kolb , Matthias Liesenfeld

The random connection model is a random graph whose vertices are given by the points of a Poisson process and whose edges are obtained by randomly connecting pairs of Poisson points in a position dependent but independent way. We study…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-06 Günter Last , Franz Nestmann , Matthias Schulte

The Poisson distribution is the probability distribution of the number of independent events in a given period of time. Although the Poisson distribution appears ubiquitously in various stochastic dynamics of gene expression, both as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-02 Julian Lee

We are concerned with the absolute continuity of stationary distributions corresponding to some piecewise deterministic Markov process, being typically encountered in biological models. The process under investigation involves a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Dawid Czapla , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

In many change point problems it is reasonable to assume that compared to a benchmark at a given time point $t_0$ the properties of the observed stochastic process change gradually over time for $t >t_0$. Often, these gradual changes are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-23 Patrick Bastian , Holger Dette

We consider the drift and diffusion properties of periodically driven renewal processes. These processes are defined by a periodically time dependent waiting time distribution, which governs the interval between subsequent events. We show…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Tobias Prager , Lutz Schimansky-Geier

Graph representations offer powerful and intuitive ways to describe data in a multitude of application domains. Here, we consider stochastic processes generating graphs and propose a methodology for detecting changes in stationarity of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi , Lorenzo Livi

In this paper, a partially observed stochastic linear Stackelberg differential game with mean-variance criteria is studied. Randomness comes from Brownian motions and Poisson random measures. which leads to a circular dependency. We follow…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Jingtao Lin , Jingtao Shi

A method for change point detection is proposed. We consider a univariate sequence of independent random variables with piecewise constant expectation and variance, apart from which the distribution may vary periodically. We aim to detect…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-23 Michael Messer

The paper deals with a certain class of random evolutions. We develop a construction that yields an invariant measure for a continuous-time Markov process with random transitions. The approach is based on a particular way of constructing…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Y. Belopolskaya , Y. Suhov

We present a detection problem where several spatially distributed sensors observe Poisson signals emitted from a single source of unknown position. The measurements at each sensor are modeled by independent inhomogeneous Poisson processes.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Christian Farinetto , Yury A. Kutoyants , Alioune Top