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We study the properties of the level statistics of 1D disordered systems with long-range spatial correlations. We find a threshold value in the degree of correlations below which in the limit of large system size the level statistics…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 Pedro Carpena , Pedro Bernaola-Galvan , Plamen Ch. Ivanov

In this paper, the problem of quickly detecting an abrupt change on a stochastic process under Bayesian framework is considered. Different from the classic Bayesian quickest change-point detection problem, this paper considers the case…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-08-24 Jun Geng , Erhan Bayraktar , Lifeng Lai

The problem of detection and possible estimation of a signal generated by a dynamic system when a variable number of noisy measurements can be taken is here considered. Assuming a Markov evolution of the system (in particular, the pair…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-12 Emanuele Grossi , Marco Lops

Stochastic point processes with refractoriness appear frequently in the quantitative analysis of physical and biological systems, such as the generation of action potentials by nerve cells, the release and reuptake of vesicles at a synapse,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Moritz Deger , Moritz Helias , Stefano Cardanobile , Fatihcan M. Atay , Stefan Rotter

We study finite horizon optimal switching problems for hidden Markov chain models under partially observable Poisson processes. The controller possesses a finite range of strategies and attempts to track the state of the unobserved state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-05-22 Erhan Bayraktar , Mike Ludkovski

This article brings in two new discrete distributions: multidimensional Binomial distribution and multidimensional Poisson distribution. Those distributions were created in eventology as more correct generalizations of Binomial and Poisson…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2011-02-23 Oleg Yu. Vorobyev , Lavrentiy S. Golovkov

Diffusion-based generative models (DBGMs) perturb data to a target noise distribution and reverse this process to generate samples. The choice of noising process, or inference diffusion process, affects both likelihoods and sample quality.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Raghav Singhal , Mark Goldstein , Rajesh Ranganath

Various and ubiquitous information systems are being used in monitoring, exchanging, and collecting information. These systems are generating massive amount of event sequence logs that may help us understand underlying phenomenon. By…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-13 Yihuang Kang , Vladimir Zadorozhny

This paper considers a sequence of random variables generated according to a common distribution. The distribution might undergo periods of transient changes at an unknown set of time instants, referred to as change-points. The objective is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-26 Javad Heydari , Ali Tajer

We introduce a continuum percolation model defined on the points of a d-dimensional homogeneous Poisson process. Each Poisson point is connected to all points within its connection range, which depends on the distances to the other Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. Gillett , M. Nuyens

At the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic, a number of non-pharmaceutical interventions have been implemented in order to reduce transmission, thus leading to multiple phases of transmission. The disease reproduction number $R_t$, a way of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-03 Petros Barmpounakis , Nikolaos Demiris

In sorting literature, comparative statics for multidimensional assignment models with general output functions and input distributions is an important open question. We provide a complete theory of comparative statics for technological…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-12 Job Boerma , Andrea Ottolini , Aleh Tsyvinski

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

We investigate the online detection of changepoints in the distribution of a sequence of observations using degenerate U-statistic-type processes. We study weighted versions of: an ordinary, CUSUM-type scheme, a Page-CUSUM-type scheme, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Cooper Boniece , Lajos Horvath , Lorenzo Trapani

We study the connection between multi-fractality and crucial events. Multi-fractality is frequently used as a measure of physiological variability. Crucial events are known to play a fundamental role in the transport of information between…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2018-01-03 Gyanendra Bohara , David Lambert , Bruce J. West , Paolo Grigolini

We study the large deviations performance, i.e., the exponential decay rate of the error probability, of distributed detection algorithms over random networks. At each time step $k$ each sensor: 1) averages its decision variable with the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-12-22 Dragana Bajovic , Dusan Jakovetic , Joao Xavier , Bruno Sinopoli , Jose M. F. Moura

We proposed a data-driven approach to dissect multivariate time series in order to discover multiple phases underlying dynamics of complex systems. This computing approach is developed as a multiple-dimension version of Hierarchical Factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Xiaodong Wang , Fushing Hsieh

Temporal point processes offer a powerful framework for sampling from discrete distributions, yet they remain underutilized in existing literature. We show how to construct, for any target multivariate count distribution with…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Cameron A. Stewart , Maneesh Sahani

We investigate the parameter recovery of Markov-switching ordinary differential processes from discrete observations, where the differential equations are nonlinear additive models. This framework has been widely applied in biological…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Katherine Tsai , Mladen Kolar , Sanmi Koyejo

A parametric point process model is developed, with modeling based on the assumption that sequential observations often share latent phenomena, while also possessing idiosyncratic effects. An alternating optimization method is proposed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-14 Hongteng Xu , Lawrence Carin , Hongyuan Zha