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In this paper, we proved moderate deviation principles for a fully coupled two-time-scale stochastic systems, where the slow process is given by stochastic differential equations with small noise, while the fast process is a rapidly…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Hongjiang Qian

Permutation tests have been proposed by Albert et al. (2015) to detect dependence between point processes, modeling in particular spike trains, that is the time occurrences of action potentials emitted by neurons. Our present work focuses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Josué Tchouanti , Éva Löcherbach , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Etienne Tanré

We provide an overview of the state-of-the-art in the area of sequential change-point detection assuming discrete time and known pre- and post-change distributions. The overview spans over all major formulations of the underlying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-21 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Because of the curse-of-dimensionality, high-dimensional processes present challenges to traditional multivariate statistical process monitoring (SPM) techniques. In addition, the unknown underlying distribution and complicated dependency…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-26 Zezhong Wang , Inez Maria Zwetsloot

Epidemic spreading often occurs in spatially heterogeneous environments, yet how quenched heterogeneity reshapes its onset and critical dynamics remains poorly understood. The diffusive epidemic process, a minimal reaction-diffusion model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-24 Valentin Anfray , Hong-Yan Shih

In this paper a stochastic reaction diffusion system is considered, which models the spread of a finite population reacting with a non-renewable resource in the presence of individual based noise. A two-parameter phase diagram is…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-27 Carl Mueller , Roger Tribe

We present a machine learning model for the analysis of randomly generated discrete signals, modeled as the points of an inhomogeneous, compound Poisson point process. Like the wavelet scattering transform introduced by Mallat, our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Michael Perlmutter , Jieqian He , Matthew Hirn

We study detection methods for multivariable signals under dependent noise. The main focus is on three-dimensional signals, i.e. on signals in the space-time domain. Examples for such signals are multifaceted. They include geographic and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-20 Annabel Prause , Ansgar Steland

Online detection of changes in stochastic systems, referred to as sequential change detection or quickest change detection, is an important research topic in statistics, signal processing, and information theory, and has a wide range of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-12 Liyan Xie , Shaofeng Zou , Yao Xie , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

The diffraction of various random subsets of the integer lattice $\mathbb{Z}^{d}$, such as the coin tossing and related systems, are well understood. Here, we go one important step beyond and consider random point sets in $\mathbb{R}^{d}$.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-05-18 Michael Baake , Holger Koesters

Resetting a stochastic process is an important problem describing the evolution of physical, biological and other systems which are continually returned to their certain fixed point. We consider the motion of a subdiffusive particle with a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-18 Aleksander A. Stanislavsky

A large deviation principle is established for a two-scale stochastic system in which the slow component is a continuous process given by a small noise finite dimensional It\^{o} stochastic differential equation, and the fast component is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Arnab Ganguly

Model-Based Diagnosis deals with the identification of the real cause of a system's malfunction based on a formal system model and observations of the system behavior. When a malfunction is detected, there is usually not enough information…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-11-16 Patrick Rodler , Wolfgang Schmid , Konstantin Schekotihin

The authors present a method of indicator random processes, applicable to constructing models of jump processes associated with diffusion process. Indicator random processes are processes that take only two values: 1 and 0, in accordance…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Valery Doobko , Elena Karachanskaya

Very long and noisy sequence data arise from biological sciences to social science including high throughput data in genomics and stock prices in econometrics. Often such data are collected in order to identify and understand shifts in…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-15 Yue S. Niu , Ning Hao , Heping Zhang

This paper studies the unsupervised change point detection problem in time series of networks using the Separable Temporal Exponential-family Random Graph Model (STERGM). Inherently, dynamic network patterns are complex due to dyadic and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Yik Lun Kei , Hangjian Li , Yanzhen Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

This work considers the problem of detecting signals from multiple sequentially observed data streams, where only one stream can be observed at every time instant. The goal is to detect signals as quickly as possible while controlling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Yiming Xing , Georgios Fellouris

Process Monitoring involves tracking a system's behaviors, evaluating the current state of the system, and discovering interesting events that require immediate actions. In this paper, we consider monitoring temporal system state sequences…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-11 Yihuang Kang , Vladimir Zadorozhny

In this paper we consider a diffusion process obtained as a small random perturbation of a dynamical system attracted to a stable equilibrium point. The drift and the diffusive perturbation are assumed to evolve slowly in time. We describe…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-23 Mark Freidlin , Leonid Koralov

The Poisson distribution has been widely studied and used for modeling univariate count-valued data. Multivariate generalizations of the Poisson distribution that permit dependencies, however, have been far less popular. Yet, real-world…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-28 David I. Inouye , Eunho Yang , Genevera I. Allen , Pradeep Ravikumar
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