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Given a supercritical branching random walk $\{Z_n\}_{n\geq 0}$ on $\mathbb{R}$, let $Z_n([y,\infty))$ be the number of particles located in $[y,\infty)\subset\mathbb{R}$ at generation $n$. Let $m$ be the mean of the offspring law of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-07 Shuxiong Zhang , Lianghui Luo

In Stein's method, the exchangeable pair approach is commonly used to estimate the approximation errors in normal approximation. In this paper, we establish a Cram\'er-type moderate deviation theorem of normal approximation for unbounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-26 Zhuo-Song Zhang

We investigate the long-time evolution of branching diffusion processes (starting with a finite number of particles) in inhomogeneous media. The qualitative behavior of the processes depends on the intensity of the branching. In the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-23 Leonid Koralov

In this paper, we establish optimal Berry--Esseen bounds for the generalized $U$-statistics. The proof is based on a new Berry--Esseen theorem for exchangeable pair approach by Stein's method under a general linearity condition setting. As…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-09 Zhuo-Song Zhang

We develop novel empirical Bernstein inequalities for the variance of bounded random variables. Our inequalities hold under constant conditional variance and mean, without further assumptions like independence or identical distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Aaditya Ramdas

We prove that supercritical branching random walk on a transient graph converges almost surely under rescaling to a random measure on the Martin boundary of the graph. Several open problems and conjectures about this limiting measure are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Elisabetta Candellero , Tom Hutchcroft

In this work, we provide a $(n/m)^{-1/2}$-rate finite sample Berry-Esseen bound for $m$-dependent high-dimensional random vectors over the class of hyper-rectangles. This bound imposes minimal assumptions on the random vectors such as…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Heejong Bong , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Alessandro Rinaldo

By using the conjugate distribution technique of Cram\'er, we obtain some expansions of large deviation probabilities for martingales with differences satisfying the conditional Bernstein's condition. The expansions are of the same order as…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

Random-cluster measures on infinite regular trees are studied in conjunction with a general type of `boundary condition', namely an equivalence relation on the set of infinite paths of the tree. The uniqueness and non-uniqueness of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Geoffrey Grimmett , Svante Janson

The purpose of this paper is to estimate the limiting variance of asymptotically stationary Gaussian processes observed at high frequency, using the second moment estimator (SME). We study rates of convergence of the central limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Yong Chen

For a much-studied model of random copolymer at a selective interface we prove that the slope of the critical curve in the weak-disorder limit is strictly smaller than 1, which is the value given by the annealed inequality. The proof is…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-25 F. Toninelli

We consider a supercritical general branching population where the lifetimes of individuals are i.i.d. with arbitrary distribution and each individual gives birth to new individuals at Poisson times independently from each others. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-21 Benoît Henry

We develop techniques for determining an explicit Berry-Esseen bound in the Kolmogorov distance for the normal approximation of a ratio of Gaussian functionals. We provide an upper bound in terms of the third and fourth cumulants, using…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-07 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Fares Alazemi

Neyman (1923/1990) introduced the randomization model, which contains the notation of potential outcomes to define causal effects and a framework for large-sample inference based on the design of the experiment. However, the existing theory…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-16 Lei Shi , Peng Ding

A nonuniform version of the Berry-Esseen bound has been proved. The most important feature of the new bound is a monotonically decreasing function C(|t|) instead of the universal constant C=29.1174: C(|t|)<C if |t| > 3.2, and C(|t|) tends…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-04-06 Vladimir Nikulin

We consider the diffusion approximation of branching processes in random environment (BPREs). This diffusion approximation is similar to and mathematically more tractable than BPREs. We obtain the exact asymptotic behavior of the survival…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-02 Christian Böinghoff , Martin Hutzenthaler

Branching Processes in Random Environment (BPREs) $(Z_n:n\geq0)$ are the generalization of Galton-Watson processes where in each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly in an i.i.d. manner. In the supercritical case, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-17 Vincent Bansaye , Christian Boeinghoff

The Cram\'er-Rao bound (CRB), a well-known lower bound on the performance of any unbiased parameter estimator, has been used to study a wide variety of problems. However, to obtain the CRB, requires an analytical expression for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Hai Victor Habi , Hagit Messer , Yoram Bresler

The classical Cram\'er-Rao inequality gives a lower bound for the variance of a unbiased estimator of an unknown parameter, in some statistical model of a random process. In this note we rewrite the statment and proof of the bound using…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-10-27 Anthony D. Blaom

Let $(Z_n)_{n\geq 0}$ be a critical branching process in a random environment defined by a Markov chain $(X_n)_{n\geq 0}$ with values in a finite state space $\mathbb X$. Let $ S_n = \sum_{k=1}^n \ln f_{X_k}'(1)$ be the Markov walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Ion Grama , Ronan Lauvergnat , Émile Le Page