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Limit theorems for critical branching processes in a finite state space Markovian environment

Probability 2024-12-23 v1

Abstract

Let (Zn)n0(Z_n)_{n\geq 0} be a critical branching process in a random environment defined by a Markov chain (Xn)n0(X_n)_{n\geq 0} with values in a finite state space X\mathbb X. Let Sn=k=1nlnfXk(1) S_n = \sum_{k=1}^n \ln f_{X_k}'(1) be the Markov walk associated to (Xn)n0(X_n)_{n\geq 0}, where fif_i is the offspring generating function when the environment is iXi \in \mathbb X. Conditioned on the event {Zn>0}\{ Z_n>0\}, we show the non degeneracy of limit law of the normalized number of particles Zn/eSn{Z_n}/{e^{S_n}} and determine the limit of the law of Snn\frac{S_n}{\sqrt{n}} jointly with XnX_n. Based on these results we establish a Yaglom-type theorem which specifies the limit of the joint law of logZn \log Z_n and XnX_n given Zn>0Z_n>0.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2412.15585,
  title  = {Limit theorems for critical branching processes in a finite state space Markovian environment},
  author = {Ion Grama and Ronan Lauvergnat and Émile Le Page},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2412.15585},
  year   = {2024}
}

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33 pages