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A lower bound is an important tool for predicting the performance that an estimator can achieve under a particular statistical model. Bayesian bounds are a kind of such bounds which not only utilizes the observation statistics but also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-02 Shuo Tang , Gerald LaMountain , Tales Imbiriba , Pau Closas

As an extension of a central limit theorem established by Svante Janson, we prove a Berry-Esseen inequality for a sum of independent and identically distributed random variables conditioned by a sum of independent and identically…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Thierry Klein , A Lagnoux , P Petit

It is expected that the statistical fluctuations of local observables in large quantum systems obey the central limit theorem, and approximate a normal distribution as their size grows. Here, we prove a version of the Berry-Esseen theorem…

We prove an asymptotic Cram\'er's theorem, that is, if the sequence $(X_{n}+ Y_{n})_{n\geq 1}$ converges in law to the standard normal distribution and for every $n\geq 1$ the random variables $X_{n}$ and $Y_{n}$ are independent, then…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-22 Ciprian Tudor

An analogue of the Berry-Esseen inequality is proved for the speed of convergence of free additive convolutions of bounded probability measures. The obtained rate of convergence is of the order n^{-1/2}, the same as in the classical case.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-03 Vladislav Kargin

Let $(Z_n)_{n\geq0}$ be a supercritical Galton-Watson process. The Lotka-Nagaev estimator $Z_{n+1}/Z_n$ is a common estimator for the offspring mean.In this paper, we establish some Cram\'{e}r moderate deviation results for the Lotka-Nagaev…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Paul Doukhan , Xiequan Fan , Zhi-Qiang Gao

The Cram\'er-Rao bound serves as a crucial lower limit for the mean squared error of an estimator in frequentist parameter estimation. Paradoxically, it requires highly accurate prior knowledge of the estimated parameter for constructing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-21 Javier Navarro , Ricard Ravell Rodríguez , Mikel Sanz

We identify the critical deviation scale governing Bayesian evidence accumulation in regular parametric testing. Under integrated Bayes risk with zero-one loss, the risk-optimal rejection boundary lies in a moderate deviation regime, with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Jyotishka Datta , Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim Sokolov , Daniel Zantedeschi

We establish the first quantitative Berry-Esseen bounds for edge eigenvector statistics in random regular graphs. For any $d$-regular graph on $N$ vertices with fixed $d \geq 3$ and deterministic unit vector $\mathbf{q} \perp \mathbf{e}$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-18 Leonhard Nagel

We show, how the classical Berry-Esseen theorem for normal approximation may be used to derive rates of convergence for random sums of centerd, real-valued random variables with respect to a certain class of probability metrics, including…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-24 Christian Döbler

We introduce two new concepts designed for the study of empirical processes. First, we introduce a new Orlicz norm which we call the Bernstein-Orlicz norm. This new norm interpolates sub-Gaussian and sub-exponential tail behavior. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-22 Sara van de Geer , Johannes Lederer

We develop a class of exponential bounds for the probability that a martingale sequence crosses a time-dependent linear threshold. Our key insight is that it is both natural and fruitful to formulate exponential concentration inequalities…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Steven R. Howard , Aaditya Ramdas , Jon McAuliffe , Jasjeet Sekhon

We study the random conductance model on the lattice $\mathbb{Z}^d$, i.e. we consider a linear, finite-difference, divergence-form operator with random coefficients and the associated random walk under random conductances. We allow the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-10 Sebastian Andres , Stefan Neukamm

Let $Z:=\{Z_t,t\geq0\}$ be a stationary Gaussian process. We study two estimators of $\mathbb{E}[Z_0^2]$, namely $\widehat{f}_T(Z):= \frac{1}{T} \int_{0}^{T} Z_{t}^{2}dt$, and $\widetilde{f}_n(Z) :=\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i =1}^{n}…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Soukaina Douissi , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , George Kerchev , Ivan Nourdin

In this paper, we establish a central limit theorem for a large class of general supercritical superprocesses with spatially dependent branching mechanisms satisfying a second moment condition. This central limit theorem generalizes and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-22 Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song , Rui Zhang

A critical branching process $\left\{ Z_{k},k=0,1,2,...\right\} $ in a random environment is considered. A conditional functional limit theorem for the properly scaled process $\left\{ \log Z_{pu},0\leq u<\infty \right\} $ is established…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-11 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

Let $(g_n)_{n\geq 1}$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random elements with law $\mu$ on the general linear group $\textrm{GL}(V)$, where $V=\mathbb R^d$. Consider the random walk $G_n : = g_n \ldots g_1$, $n \geq…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Hui Xiao , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

This manuscript studies the Gaussian approximation of the coordinate-wise maximum of self-normalized statistics in high-dimensional settings. We derive an explicit Berry-Esseen bound under weak assumptions on the absolute moments. When the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Woonyoung Chang , Kenta Takatsu , Konrad Urban , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

This paper deals with U-statistics of Poisson processes and multiple Wiener-It\^o integrals on the Poisson space. Via sharp bounds on the cumulants for both classes of random variables, moderate deviation principles, concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-13 Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

We consider a stable but nearly unstable autoregressive process of any order. The bridge between stability and instability is expressed by a time-varying companion matrix $A_{n}$ with spectral radius $\rho(A_{n}) < 1$ satisfying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Frédéric Proïa