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Among various spatio-temporal prediction tasks, epidemic forecasting plays a critical role in public health management. Recent studies have demonstrated the strong potential of spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) in extracting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Yufan Zheng , Wei Jiang , Tong Chen , Alexander Zhou , Nguyen Quoc Viet Hung , Choujun Zhan , Hongzhi Yin

It is a widely accepted fact that data representations intervene noticeably in machine learning tools. The more they are well defined the better the performance results are. Feature extraction-based methods such as autoencoders are…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-06-12 Naima Chouikhi , Boudour Ammar , Adel M. Alimi

This paper is the second in a series of two, and describes the current state of the art in modelling and prediction of chaotic time series. Sampled data from deterministic non-linear systems may look stochastic when analysed with linear…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Bjoern Lillekjendlie , Dimitris Kugiumtzis , Nils Christophersen

A subthreshold signal is transmitted through a channel and may be detected when some noise -- with known structure and proportional to some level -- is added to the data. There is an optimal noise level, called stochastic resonance, that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Stefano M. Iacus

We propose a mixed deep neural network strategy, incorporating parallel combination of Convolutional (CNN) and Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN), cascaded with deep autoencoders and fully connected layers towards automatic identification of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-10 Pramit Saha , Sidney Fels

The applicability of machine learning for predicting chaotic dynamics relies heavily upon the data used in the training stage. Chaotic time series obtained by numerically solving ordinary differential equations embed a complicated noise of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-10-13 Igor A Khovanov

Two recent papers on prediction of chaotic systems, one on multi-view embedding1 , and the second on prediction in projection2 provide empirical evidence to support particular prediction methods for chaotic systems. Multi-view embedding1 is…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-14 M. LuValle

The mean exit time escaping basin of attraction in the presence of white noise is of practical importance in various scientific fields. In this work, we propose a strategy to control mean exit time of general stochastic dynamical systems to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-09 Yang Li , Shenglan Yuan , Shengyuan Xu

We introduce a robust framework for learning various generalized Hamiltonian dynamics from noisy, sparse phase-space data and in an unsupervised manner based on variational Bayesian inference. Although conservative, dissipative, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Luke McLennan , Yi Wang , Ryan Farell , Minh Nguyen , Chandrajit Bajaj

Sensitivity analysis in chaotic dynamical systems is a challenging task from a computational point of view. In this work, we present a numerical investigation of a novel approach, known as the space-split sensitivity or S3 algorithm. The S3…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-01-22 Adam A. Sliwiak , Nisha Chandramoorthy , Qiqi Wang

Effect of noise in inducing order on various chaotically evolving systems is reviewed, with special emphasis on systems consisting of coupled chaotic elements. In many situations it is observed that the uncoupled elements when driven by…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 Manojit Roy , R. E. Amritkar

Simulating massively separated turbulent flows over bodies is one of the major applications for large-eddy simulation (LES). In the current work, we propose a machine-learning-based LES framework for the rapid simulation of turbulent flows…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-17 Yunpeng Wang , Huiyu Yang , Zelong Yuan , Zhijie Li , Wenhui Peng , Jianchun Wang

We propose a neural network model with transient chaos, or a transiently chaotic neural network (TCNN) as an approximation method for combinatorial optimization problem, by introducing transiently chaotic dynamics into neural networks.…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Luonan Chen , Kazuyuki Aihara

The reconstruction from observations of high-dimensional chaotic dynamics such as geophysical flows is hampered by (i) the partial and noisy observations that can realistically be obtained, (ii) the need to learn from long time series of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-31 Marc Bocquet , Julien Brajard , Alberto Carrassi , Laurent Bertino

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is challenging due to complex time series (TS) which express three seasonal patterns and a nonlinear trend. This paper proposes a novel hybrid hierarchical deep learning model that deals with multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Slawek Smyl , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

Random metastability occurs when an externally forced or noisy system possesses more than one state of apparent equilibrium. This work investigates a class of random dynamical systems, arising from perturbing a one-dimensional piecewise…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-27 Cecilia González-Tokman , Joshua Peters

We introduce HTAD, a novel model for diagnosis prediction using Electronic Health Records (EHR) represented as Heterogeneous Information Networks. Recent studies on modeling EHR have shown success in automatically learning representations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Anahita Hosseini , Tyler Davis , Majid Sarrafzadeh

The reconstruction of sparse signal is an active area of research. Different from a typical i.i.d. assumption, this paper considers a non-independent prior of group structure. For this more practical setup, we propose EM-aided HyGEC, a new…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-05 Qiuyun Zou , Haochuan Zhang , Hongwen Yang

In many complex systems, elementary units live in a chaotic environment and need to adapt their strategies to perform a task, by extracting information from the environment and controlling the feedback loop on it. One of the main example of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-09-26 Samantha J. Fournier , Pierfrancesco Urbani

Collective decision-making requires aggregating multiple noisy information channels about an unknown state of the world. Classical epistemic justifications of majority rule rely on homogeneity assumptions often violated when individual…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-09 Enrico Manfredi